Shaanxi Province is located in the hinterland of my country, with a small area and a small population. Both are in the middle of the country. In the current increasingly severe population environment, the overall population problem of Shaanxi Province is It can be said that the situation is better than the previous situation, and there is still much potential for the future, because the population of Shaanxi Province is currently on the rise.

According to the fifth national census in 2000, the permanent population of Shaanxi Province was 36.05 million, slightly lower than Heilongjiang Province and slightly higher than Guizhou Province. It ranked 16th in the country, accounting for 2.848% of the total population in mainland China. %;

According to the sixth national census in 2010, the permanent population of Shaanxi Province was 37.33 million, slightly lower than Heilongjiang Province and slightly higher than Fujian Province, ranking 16th in the country, accounting for the total population of mainland China. 2.786%;

According to the seventh national census in 2020, the permanent population of Shaanxi Province is 39.53 million, slightly lower than Fujian Province and slightly higher than Guizhou Province, ranking 16th in the country, accounting for 10% of the mainland population 2.8% of the total population.

Comparing the latest three national census data, it can be found that in the ten years from 2000 to 2010, the population growth rate of Shaanxi Province was lower than the total population growth rate of the mainland, because it accounted for the total population growth of the mainland. The proportion of the population has declined slightly; in the ten years from 2010 to 2020, the population growth rate of Shaanxi Province is higher than the growth rate of the total population of the mainland, because its proportion of the total population of the mainland has increased slightly.

Generally speaking, in the ten years before and after 2010, although the proportion of Shaanxi Province’s population in the total population of mainland China fell first and then increased, the changes were relatively small. It is not difficult to see that Shaanxi Province’s population has The population growth rate in 2010 was generally the same as, slightly higher than, or slightly lower than the total population growth rate in mainland China. The performance was very stable, and the population growth rate in Shaanxi Province accelerated in the decade after 2010.

Judging from the national population ranking, the population of Shaanxi Province has long been ranked 16th in the country, but the neighbors have changed significantly. Compared with the sixth national census in 2010, the number of permanent residents in Shaanxi Province The population surpassed that of Heilongjiang Province, but was also surpassed by Fujian Province. According to the seventh census population data, Shaanxi Province has 2.02 million fewer people than its predecessor, Fujian Province, and 970,000 more people than its predecessor, Guizhou Province. Taking into account the economic development trends of each province, there is a high probability that Shaanxi Province will be demolished at the population level in the next ten years. Guizhou Province took the lead.

The birth rate is one of the core factors influencing the population growth of a region. For Shaanxi Province specifically, the birth rate of Shaanxi Province was 9.73‰ in 2010, rose to 9.75‰ in 2011, and rose to 10.12‰ in 2012. , dropped to 10.01‰ in 2013, rose to 10.13‰ in 2014, and dropped to 10.1‰ in 2015. After the two-child policy was fully liberalized in 2016, the birth rate in Shaanxi Province rose to 10.64‰, then rose to 11.11‰ in 2017, dropped to 10.67‰ in 2018, and dropped again to 10.55‰ in 2019.

Comparing the birth rate of Shaanxi Province in the ten years from 2010 to 2019, it can be found that the birth rate of Shaanxi Province hovered above 10‰ in most years. It exceeded 11‰ in 2017 after the second child was fully opened. However, In 2018, it quickly fell back to the 10‰ range. Judging from the trend, there are signs of falling below 10‰ before 2016. The birth rate has increased significantly after the change in population policy, but residents’ enthusiasm for childbirth has not been sustained for a long time. Based on the current situation, I personally think that there is a high probability that it will be for a long time in the future. It is hovering in the range above 10‰, and it is unlikely to fall below 10‰ in the short term.

From a national perspective, the national birth rate in 2019 was 10.48‰, and Shaanxi Province’s birth rate of 10.55‰ was slightly higher than the national average, ranking 18th among 31 provinces and municipalities in mainland China. , at the middle and lower reaches of the country.

On the one hand, the population growth rate is flat, and on the other hand, the birth rate is flat. The population development situation of Shaanxi Province is not good, but it is not bad. After all, as an inland province in the northwest, it performs like this Relatively speaking, it is quite good.

According to the results of the seventh national census, the permanent population of Shaanxi Province is 39.529 million. Compared with the sixth national census in 2010, it has increased by 2.2016 million people in ten years, and the population has increased by 5.9% in ten years. .

From a national perspective, from 2010 to 2020, the total population growth rate in mainland China was 5.38%. The ten-year population growth rate in Shaanxi Province was slightly higher than the total population growth rate in mainland China, which was 17 One of the provinces with a higher population growth rate than mainland China.

1. The permanent population of Xi'an Qipu is 12.9529 million, an increase of 4.4851 million in ten years, a population growth of 52.97%, ranking first in Shaanxi Province in terms of total population, population increase, and population growth rate. It is also the eighth most populous city in the country. Its permanent population is slightly lower than Tianjin (13.866 million) and slightly higher than Suzhou (12.7483 million).

2. The population rankings of many cities have changed:

The permanent population of Yulin’s 7th Census is 3.6248 million, which surpasses Baoji and Hanzhong compared with the 6th Census;

The permanent population of the seventh census in Yan'an is 2.2826 million, which is overtaken by Shangluo compared with the sixth census.

3. Negative growth in resident population in many cities:

Among the ten prefecture-level cities in Shaanxi Province, only Xi'an, Yulin, and Yan'an achieved positive growth in resident population, and the remaining seven The permanent population of prefecture-level cities is experiencing negative growth, and the population of many prefecture-level cities has dropped significantly, among which:

The permanent population of Tongchuan Qipu is 698,300, with a population decrease of 16.31% in ten years;

The permanent population of Qipu in Shangluo is 2.0412 million, a population decrease of 12.83% in ten years;

The permanent population of Qipu in Weinan is 4.6887 million, a population decrease of 11.3% in ten years;

The permanent population of Xianyang Qipu is 3.9598 million, and the population has decreased by 7.68% in ten years;

The permanent population of Qipu in Hanzhong is 3.2115 million, and the population has decreased by 5.99% in ten years;

The permanent population of Qipu in Ankang is 2.4934 million, and the population has decreased by 5.19% in ten years.

Taken together, the population changes in the ten prefecture-level cities in Shaanxi Province in the ten years from 2010 to 2020 can be said to be extremely polarized. The population increase in Xi'an, the provincial capital, is the total population increase in the province. More than twice the population, the population siphon is extremely obvious, and the city’s primacy has increased rapidly. After the seventh census, the permanent population of Xi'an accounted for 32.77% of the total population of Shaanxi Province, which means that nearly 1/3 of the population of Shaanxi Province lives in Xi'an. The population of Guanzhong and cities in southern Shaanxi has generally decreased significantly. On the contrary, the two cities in northern Shaanxi, Yulin and Yan'an's population growth rate is high, and its performance is surprising and expected. The increase in Yulin's population is closely related to its strong industrial economy.

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