According to the data of National Health and Wellness Committee, as of February 6th 10:32, there were 28,060 confirmed cases in novel coronavirus.
At the beginning of 2020, a sudden epidemic caught the whole country off guard, and all walks of life (except emergency supplies) fell into a state of suspension. People could only stay at home every day and were forced to enjoy retirement.
The need for epidemic prevention and control? The freight market is greatly affected.
The shutdown of these industries will have a great impact on the transportation industry, which will gradually emerge with the end of the Spring Festival holiday.
Jia Ge will briefly introduce some changes in the field of transportation in the short term, starting from the aspects that card friends often contact: express delivery, daily necessities transportation and ordinary goods transportation.
Express delivery
Referring to the situation during SARS in 2003, it is predicted that the new pneumonia epidemic will significantly enhance consumers' willingness to buy online and the express delivery business will increase.
According to the data of the State Post Bureau, from June 24 to 29, 65438 10, the volume of parcels collected/delivered by the national postal industry increased by 77%/10% respectively, and the performance of parcels in the off-season exceeded expectations. Therefore, it is estimated that the cumulative growth rate of packages in the industry in February is expected to exceed 30%.
This also means that card friends who are engaged in express delivery will basically not have an empty window period, and even enter the peak period in advance, so card friends who are engaged in express delivery need not worry too much.
Transportation of living materials
After the Spring Festival holiday, the demand for living has increased, and relevant domestic departments and major cities will focus on ensuring the transportation of living materials.
According to Lian, deputy director of the National Development and Reform Commission, at the press conference on the key medical and living materials support for epidemic prevention and control, "the supply of food and daily necessities, in order to cope with the rising demand after the holiday, will even choose to increase inventory instead of using it or using it less, and resolutely prevent shortages."
○? Tu San's transportation of living materials
For the transportation of living materials, such as travel transportation, all localities will certainly keep the logistics and transportation environment smooth. At the same time, according to the "Emergency Notice on Effectively Ensuring the Smooth Traffic of Emergency Materials Transportation Vehicles for Epidemic Prevention and Control" issued by the Ministry of Transport, important living materials will be included in the scope of emergency transportation, and the green channel policy will be implemented to ensure that materials transportation vehicles "do not stop, check or charge", giving priority to convenient traffic.
So don't worry about the part where card friends transport daily necessities. The supply of goods is still available, and the roads are still open.
○? Figure 1 Transportation of Emergency Goods
These types of transportation, even in the special period of epidemic prevention and control, are carried out stably under the protection of various departments. The only one is general cargo transportation, which has neither sources of goods nor smooth roads.
General cargo transportation
The epidemic was caught off guard. In order to prevent the spread of the epidemic, the factory extended employees' holidays and delayed the start-up time, which made some transportation businesses enter the window period. In addition, after the start of construction, it faces road ban and quarantine. The superposition of the two factors will bring a short-term devastating blow to bulk cargo transportation.
Although it won't last long, it needs to test the pressure resistance of transportation users, especially loan users or small transportation companies. How to spend this empty window period has become a big challenge for them after the New Year.
The transportation company stopped working for a month? Lose 3 million pounds
How big is this influence? The boss of a transportation company that my brother knows calculated an account for us: 400 employees have a monthly salary of 2 million, the rent is 6.5438+0.3 million, the vehicle lost more than 6.5438+0 million due to shutdown, the tax quota is 6.5438+0 million, and the water and electricity loss is 200,000.
Although wages can be reduced, the rent will not be less, and the loss of one month's lost time is 3 million. How many logistics companies can have so much liquidity to cover costs?
Card friends stop working for a month? The monthly supply of 654.38+0.3 million is unfunded.
Card friends my brother knows bought a Liu Qi Lapras H5 car with a loan. The car has just been brought back for 8 months, with more than 400 thousand in front. Monthly payment 1.3 million, to be paid off in 24 installments. You can usually earn 20 thousand a month. But in this case, a month's suspension of work means a loss of 20 thousand, not only the living expenses have not been earned, but also the money for repaying the loan has not been settled.
In this case, both small logistics enterprises and individual transporters will be greatly affected, affecting their livelihood in recent months. Transport companies with a little more money may last for a month or two, but individual carriers with weak funds, that is, most card friends, are hard to resist this sudden risk.
How to deal with the "empty window period" Delayed repayment can be alleviated.
At the end of the Spring Festival holiday every year, the freight industry will gradually return to normal until the arrival of the small peak season in the first half of April, May and June, but before that, card friends need to survive this period to usher in the recovery of freight, so what choices do card friends have during this period?
1. Continue to wait-wait until all walks of life recover and meet the peak season of transportation, but for cardholders with great repayment pressure, this time may be quite embarrassing.
2. Choose to transport urban living materials or emergency materials-but this part of the transportation task generally has the cost of self-built fleet or large fleet, and it is not easy for retail investors to get some business from it.
3.？ Delayed repayment reduces the financial pressure during downtime-this can alleviate the urgent need, avoid the credit stain caused by overdue repayment, and reduce the psychological burden of card friends.
Among these methods, my brother prefers the third way, delaying repayment for card friends. Optimistically, enterprises such as faw liberation, Dongfeng Commercial Vehicle, China National Heavy Duty Truck, Foton Motor and Jiefang Qingqi have begun to provide caring services such as delayed repayment of loans and free maintenance, so as to better help those card friends who cannot leave on time due to the spread of the epidemic and voluntarily deliver materials to the disaster area.
However, a considerable number of card friends buy cars through bank loans. Jia Ge also called on major banks and credit companies to have a flexible solution to the repayment time of commercial vehicles.
Please give more support to the most beautiful retrograde: truck drivers.
○? Digital help card friends in the front line of epidemic prevention and control
Truck players hereby appeal that for the livelihood of more than 30 million card friends, the repayment time can be appropriately delayed for card friends, and the industry will not be greatly affected during the epidemic prevention and control period.
In addition, many card friends are making selfless contributions to epidemic prevention and control. In addition to loans, they also hope that car companies and parts suppliers will provide all kinds of technical support for card friends who are transporting in the front line of epidemic prevention and control, so that they can have no worries.
This article comes from car home, the author of the car manufacturer, and does not represent car home's position.