Technically, this head is a little more troublesome than 85 14g and a little simpler than 24 14g, so the final price in the same period must be between 85 14g and 24 14, and according to the present situation, the price should be closer to 24 14. After all, the 35L of the C family has no pressure on the N family, and both the 35L and the new zf35 will appear. Moreover, even if the production process problems are solved, it is unlikely that 35 14g will be sold in large quantities in a short time, because the wide-angle 1635 will not sell well after 35g goes on the market. So I guess that the price reduction of N lens, excluding the influence of tariffs and foreign exchange, may occur in April-May, not only for the sales peak during May1,but also to stimulate the product gap before the release of d4 in the second half of the year.
Finally, I personally think that the current price will not change at least before May 1 day (at most, it will fall by 300 to 500 yuan, and may even rise), and it will not fall below 12k within one quarter after d4 liberalization (assuming that the foreign exchange market has not changed). I don't guess the forward price. After all, this series of difficulties are all new, and there is no precedent for price operation. Therefore, there will be no price reduction in the coming year. Lz will either go to zf35, or leave early and release early.