Different investors have different ways to judge the buyer's timing by using the moving average. Generally speaking, when the EMA deviates upward for the first time, radical investors can buy first. When the moving average diverges upward for the second and third time, the best buying opportunity comes. Steady investors can actively do more, and aggressive investors can buy more.
It is estimated that some investors will ask: Why is this? Is there a general or best time to buy?
The answer is yes! This is because when the EMA diverged upward for the first time, many forces were not strong enough and market knowledge was not fully achieved. If the empty side suppresses strongly at this time, or many parties fail to gather more upward forces for the time being, then the rebound market may fail at any time. Therefore, in this case, in order to be on the safe side, prudent investors had better continue to wait and see first, and never venture into the market. Moreover, even if aggressive investors are long, their positions should not be too heavy, and they will try their best to buy people with light positions. If the EMA diverges upward again or many times, it shows that the multi-party pull-up has been recognized by the market and the popularity is gradually rising; When the main forces of many parties attack again, it is easy to attract followers to cooperate, and the inertia of the stock price continuing to rise is much greater than when it diverges upward for the first time. At this time, steady investors can take the initiative to attack, and radical investors can also boldly increase their positions.
There must be some people who don't understand: why do the moving averages diverge upward for the first time, and the investment strategies adopted by radical investors and steady investors are so different? Actually, it's easy to put it bluntly. Because aggressive investors pursue high risks and high returns, they feel the opportunity to buy stocks when they see the upward divergence of the moving average, so they enter the market in advance. However, it should be noted that if the main force deliberately lures more people, then those who enter the market first may encounter great risks. The steady investors who enter the market after the trend is formed will earn less, but they don't have to take too much risk.
How to use the change of moving average to judge the market trend?
It stands to reason that everyone uses the same indicators and methods in stock market operations, but why do some people often make money and others often lose money? The reason is that profitable people are good at summing up, while losers are good at following suit. If retail investors want to be winners, the following methods deserve careful study.
1. When the market enters a bull market, the index will break through the 5-day, 10, 30-day and 60-day moving averages from bottom to top. At this time, you can be cautious and do more.
2. When the bull market tends to be stable, the 5-day, 10, 30-day and 60-day moving averages are all hooked up, forming a long arrangement from top to bottom. At this time, you can boldly do more.
3. When the 10 moving average moves from rising to the lower right, the 30-day moving average still moves to the upper right, indicating that the decline is only a technical correction, and the bull market is still not over, so you can continue to hold shares.
4. When the 30-day moving average follows the 10 moving average downward, and the 60-day moving average still moves upward, it means that the callback range is large. At this time, you can go out and wait and see first.
5. When the 60-day moving average follows the 10 and the 30-day moving average, it means that the bull market has ended and a new round of short market is coming. At this moment, you should be short and try not to buy stocks against the trend.
6. When the market is in a sideways stage, the 5-day, 10, 30-day and even 60-day moving averages will be intertwined, indicating that the two sides have a balanced power and the market direction is unknown. At this time, it is advisable to wait and see.
7. When the market is in the market, such as the 5 th and 10 moving averages, the market outlook is mostly higher; If the 5 th and 10 moving averages go down, most of the market outlook will fall. Continue to wait and see at this time.
8. When the market turns from a bull market to a bear market, the index first falls below the 5-day and 10 moving averages, and then falls below the 30-day and 60-day moving averages in turn. It is not appropriate to buy stocks at this time.
9. When the short market is established, the short-term and medium-term moving averages will be all the way above the stock price, and their order is the bottom-up 5-day, 10, 30-day and 60-day moving averages, that is, the short-term moving averages are arranged. It is not appropriate to buy stocks at this time.
10. When the market is in a short position, if the index breaks through the 5-day and 10 moving averages and stands firm, it is a precursor to the initial rebound of the stock price. At this time, you can do more lightly.
1 1. When the market is in the late stage of short market, if the index breaks through the 5-day and 10 moving averages and stands on the 30-day moving averages, and 10 and 30-day moving averages form a golden cross, the rebound will continue. At this time, you can copy the bottom.
12. When the short market is about to end, the index will break through the 5-day moving average, 10, 30-day moving average, and break through the 60-day moving average, which basically indicates that the bull market has started again. At this time, you can pursue the whole warehouse.
It should be noted that although the above technology is based on the broader market, it can also be used flexibly when operating individual stocks.
Why do you insist on "weekly stock selection" for a long time?
"Monthly trend, weekly stock selection, daily time-sharing." In the market, many investors often stare at the daily K-line chart when observing and analyzing the market and individual stocks, but rarely look at the weekly and monthly lines and do little research.
However, if you can skillfully use the weekly table and stock selection, you will be more sober and calm, and at the same time reduce operational mistakes.
Skills of using weekly lines
Tip 1: judge the rebound
When the weekly K-line is oversold due to the continuous negative line, it generally means that the market may rebound or reverse strongly after the combination of weekly K-lines shows signs of stopping falling for more than two weeks. At this point, according to the daily K-line analysis after buying, it is not necessary to sell prematurely, and the holding time can be appropriately increased.
Tip 2: Grasp the timing of intervention.
In the continuous decline of the market, for the weekly K-line, it is necessary to wait until the long shadow line and the extremely shrinking volume appear at the same time before considering whether to intervene, rather than just judging the operation opportunity through the analysis of the daily K-line.
In the rising market, if the weekly K-line shows a trend of rising volume and price, there should be a new high next week. At this point, if there is a low point in the intraday trading at the beginning of the week, it is generally not necessary to consider selling according to the tips of the K-line on that day. Instead, it should be considered as a good short-term intervention opportunity, considering short-term buying.
Tip 3: High volume.
Note that the high point here does not mean the highest point of the stock price, but the price after the cumulative increase of more than 40%. When the cumulative increase of the stock price exceeds 40%, there will be heavy volume, especially the phenomenon that the latter volume is ahead of the latter, and the position should be reduced or withdrawn for observation. If the weekly turnover rate of the stock price does not exceed 20% at the highest point in history, the risk is great at this time, and you should flee as soon as possible.
Weekly operation skills, regardless of gains and losses in the day.
The daily line is a reflection of the daily fluctuation of the stock price, but if we are too addicted to the daily fluctuation of the stock price, we will "see only the trees but not the forest". Therefore, to grasp the trend of stock price from a longer period of time, weekly chart must be used to observe. Generally speaking, on the weekly chart, we can look for trading points by observing the phenomena of * * * vibration, secondary gold fork, resistance level, deviation between weekly and daily lines.
1, weekly and daily * * * vibration
The weekly line reflects the medium-term trend of the stock price, and the daily line reflects the daily fluctuation of the stock price. If the weekly indicator and the daily indicator send out a buy signal at the same time, the reliability of the signal will be greatly increased. For example, the vibration of weekly KDJ and daily KDJ is often a better buying point. Daily KDJ is a sensitive index, which changes quickly and has strong randomness. False buying and selling signals often occur, leaving investors at a loss. Using the same golden fork (producing "* * * vibration") of week KDJ and day KDJ can filter out false buying signals and find high-quality buying signals. However, in practice, we often encounter such a problem: because the daily line KDJ changes faster than the weekly line KDJ, when the weekly line KDJ crosses the gold, the daily line KDJ has crossed the gold several days in advance, and the stock price has also risen for a while, and the buying cost has risen. Therefore, aggressive investors can buy in advance when the weekly lines K and J are hooked up to form a golden fork to reduce costs.
2, weekly secondary gold fork
When the stock price (weekly chart) rebounds after a period of decline and breaks through the 30-week line, we call it "weekly golden fork". However, at this time, it is often precisely the banker who is building a position. We should not participate and should wait and see; When the stock price (weekly chart) breaks through the 30-week line again, we call it "the second golden fork of the weekly line", which means that the dealer's dishwashing is over, and it is about to enter the pull-up period, and the market outlook will increase greatly. At this time, you can pay close attention to the trend of the stock, and once its daily system sends out a buy signal, you can boldly follow up.
3, the resistance of the weekly line
The support and resistance of the weekly line are more reliable than those on the daily chart. From the market since this year, we can find a rule. From the weekly point of view, the first wave of rebound of many oversold varieties often changes greatly when they reach the 60-week moving average. From the form analysis of weekly K-line, if the upward trend K-line touches the 60-week moving average with a long upper shadow line, this trend shows that the pressure on the 60-week line is greater and the market price is likely to be adjusted back; If you wear or even touch the 60-week moving average on the physical weekly line, then the market outlook is likely to continue to rise and completely break through the 60-week moving average. In fact, the 60-week moving average is the annual line in the daily chart, but it is difficult to distinguish the willingness to break through just by looking at the annual line. Trends are often difficult to divide because of the continuity of one-day fluctuations, while weekly inspections take a long time. Once the breakthrough is stable, we will have enough time to determine the investment strategy.
Step 4 deviate from the weekly line
The deviation of the daily line cannot confirm whether the stock price has peaked or bottomed out, but if the important indicators on the weekly chart have bottom deviation and top deviation, it is almost a reliable signal of the bottom (top) above the intermediate level. You may wish to review the important weekly indicators at the bottom and top in the past, which should be a good reference for finding the bottom in the future.
Operational essentials of buying tactics of weekly breakthrough platform or K-line breakthrough 60-week moving average
1, the weekly line should break through the long-term shock platform. If it is in 1 month and February, it does not conform to the tactics we are talking about here.
2. The K line is above the 60th week line, and the 5th, 10 and 20th week lines are above the 60th week line.
3.MACD breaks through the 0 axis and a red column appears.
When the weekly line breaks through the platform or the K line breaks through the 60-week line, we will use the combination of daily lines to determine the trading point.
Technical points of weekly breakthrough platform or lifeline (60-EMA buying method);
1, the weekly line breaks through the high point of long-term shock or consolidation (the time period can be set to 3- 12 months or longer) before buying.
2.macd indicator deviates from the breakthrough 0 column! After the green column is finished, the red column looks the best, which is a good time to intervene.
3. The lifeline crosses on the K line, and 5. 10 and 20 are above the lifeline, so buying is right.