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The Impact of the Oil Crisis on China
With the rapid depreciation of the dollar in some countries, the crazy rise of oil and the reduction of world grain production have begun to bring direct chaos to many countries around the world. It is an extremely dangerous signal that the US dollar has been around 6.8 yuan against the RMB. If many foreign-funded enterprises in China can survive this year, they may have a chance to make a difference next year. If they don't survive this year, then we'll close the door. With the RMB floating all the way, the Vietnamese dong has been falling all the way (until June 23rd, the black market price was about 1 USD/17600 Vietnamese dong), which will bring a new round of inflation to Asia and the world. Because the raw materials of export enterprises are all purchased in RMB, the price of export to the United States has not changed much. This has led to an increase in the product cost of most export enterprises. However, the unbalanced fluctuation of the international financial system settled in dollars leads to the evaporation of at least several billion dollars of foreign exchange reserves in China every day. The oil economy and food economy established by the dollar system, like a plague, have rapidly affected developing countries and countries with more foreign exchange reserves of dollars all over the world. At present, China, as the country with the largest US dollar reserves in the world, may suffer the most among the developing China countries in Asia. Because of the continuous appreciation of RMB, the domestic inflation situation is becoming more and more severe. Because China people's appreciation of RMB has not brought benefits to China people, China people do not have many opportunities to use this advantage to consume American products. At the same time, when other countries in the world are related to the fluctuation of the dollar system, it indirectly helps the United States to eliminate the pressure of the subprime mortgage crisis, which is also the situation that Americans want to control. But now, it depends on the actual situation of luck, because their hands can't reach that long, and even the United States can't control the situation. Then China, the country with the largest dollar reserves in the world, will dance disco with the United States.

Now, oil has risen to about $65,438+045 a barrel. A few days ago, some oil exporting countries joked that it might rise to $300 a barrel. If it comes to this, it will really be bad for China. China is the largest consumer of petroleum energy in the world, and the original dollar can buy less and less oil. The dollar is becoming less and less valuable. With the weakness of oil exporting countries against the US dollar, raising prices to avoid the pressure of devaluation will bring greater energy crisis to oil demanding countries, such as the United States, China and Japan, which indirectly makes the possibility of energy war more and more.

Some people say that the rise and fall of the US dollar has no influence on China people. Now, it may not stand: the impact of oil on inflation in today's countries: when your car runs on the road, it costs 2 yuan a kilometer, can you still say that it has nothing to do with you? (of course, it hasn't reached this price yet. This is just an example. If the average fuel consumption of 100 km 100 liter, the current 97# gasoline is about 6.7 yuan liter; Diesel oil is about 6.3 yuan liters), and a Dongfeng Shen Xing 2.4 commercial vehicle in our company needs about 65,438+000 liters of oil per kilometer. According to the current oil price, every kilometer needs to be in 0.8 yuan. If you are a private car, especially a mortgage owner, you will run 20 kilometers a day on average, and the fuel cost 16 yuan+insurance day/12 yuan+road maintenance day /2 yuan+personal living expenses 10 yuan +30 yuan+social and personal daily expenses 10 yuan = 80 yuan every day. These. A company spends 20,000 yuan a month on cars, and now it is 30,000 yuan or even 40,000 yuan. Can you still say that it has no impact on the healthy development of the company? When the material of petroleum products has risen from several thousand yuan/1 ton to 20,000 yuan/30,000 tons now, can you still say that it has no impact on the product price of the company? However, more than 70% of our products exported to the United States or other countries in the world are settled in US dollars. If it is settled in RMB, then the appreciation of RMB is really good for China. In particular, if we want to import more foreign goods, all goods should be paid in RMB according to the proportion of US dollars. All petroleum products should also be settled in RMB, so that the appreciation of RMB in China can bring some tangible benefits to China. Otherwise, like the present situation, except that there is a large amount of waste paper in the hands of the China government, with the rapid price increase of various energy sources (including oil) at any time, the dollar in China's hand will eventually become an expired ship ticket, which is worthless!

In February, 2007, I suggested that the China government buy a large number of gold and energy products with the function of preserving value, but some people who don't know whether I am a netizen openly said that I betrayed my country, which is nonsense or even worse. Actually, as an ordinary person in China, I can see the situation. I can't believe the China government can't see it? Do national leaders really not know this? I don't think so, mainly because there are too many flies selling the country. Many of these people have come back from studying abroad, and their heads have long been filled with the degenerate sense of superiority in western society, as if they were foreigners. On some occasions, they even say what people in your country are like. They completely forgot that their parents or ancestors used to come from China, and even some people still come from China just because they went abroad to study. With a layer of gold plating, he thought he had become a first-class citizen, but when he had the opportunity to display it, Cheng Tiandi used a set of foreign practices to actually manage enterprises or governments. There are many such people. Companies, institutions and civil servants in this array occupy more fields than the top leadership in China can control. China is in danger! If the top leaders in the most important economic fields and national strategic units cannot be cleaned up from top to bottom in time, China will spend ten or twenty years of development to pay for the scum of these countries.

A country without a sense of national crisis is extremely dangerous. After the reform and opening-up, talents in China have just begun to be popular, but some so-called elite flies have "found a good house in China and found a good one abroad." There is a yellow-faced woman in their family, and 234 years of milk is actually a bag. Tens of thousands of meals, one hundred pets and tens of millions of cars. " There are many such civil servants and many such elite flies. If the state does not punish them, the future is really bleak.

I don't like the Japanese, but it is precisely because all Japanese have a sense of crisis that their products and economy become the second in the world, and even the United States has to despise the creativity of the Japanese. It is precisely because of the sense of crisis that Japanese talents will try their best to absorb energy from other countries and constantly buy back energy for future generations at low prices, whether as national strategic energy or as energy for future survival. Anyway, they buy back what they need most with paper. Instead of "advanced equipment", luxury cars, etc. bought by some official institutions or individuals in China, which are not better than domestic products. Do we really need these products? Only they know! A common people like us, even if they have more good suggestions, can only complain online, and no one cares at all. At most, it is just a few like-minded people who are worried about the country and the people. Posting is the greatest reward for the author to find a bosom friend. The Impact of Food Products on the Economic and Social Stability of Countries: When the price of food products and edible oil is 1 liter /25 yuan, will you say that it has nothing to do with you? (Now it is about 5 liters of ordinary cooking oil /75 yuan); When ordinary rice rises to 3 yuan/Jin, do you dare to say that it has nothing to do with you? (Now it has risen to 1.5 yuan/kg). On June 23rd, CCTV International News reported that Ren Zhiyan, a reporter from People's Daily, sent back the latest report. Rice in India has risen to 44 rupees 65,438+0 kg, compared with more than 20 rupees 65,438+0 kg at this time last year. The middle class in India now eats two meals a day. The exchange rate of rupee against RMB and USD is as follows:

1 rupee = 0. 1903 RMB, 1 RMB = 5.2556 rupees.

1 rupee = 0.02299 USD, 1 USD = 43.495 Rs. If the price of rice in China rises to India, it will be about 6.8 yuan/Jin, and a family (family of three) with a monthly income of less than 2,000 yuan will really be the same as India.

But the reality is that a scientist, Professor Yuan Longping, was born in China. He used the least land to feed 654.38+300 million people, at least not to let these 654.38+300 million people go hungry. This is a world miracle created by his old man's house, and it also ensures the minimum living requirements for people to eat. The actual situation in our hometown now is that the land is barren and uncultivated, leaving behind all the old, the young and the sick. In addition to planting one season of rice a year, it is enough for a family to eat for one year. We don't grow any other crops, such as rapeseed, wheat and cotton. All of them were planted in our early years. There are basically no seeds now. Except for planting a few grains, all other living materials are bought in town by children who work outside the home. More than half of the prices in the town are much more expensive than those in Shenzhen Special Economic Zone. Fortunately, there is at least self-sufficient food in rural China. However, like some African countries, more than half of the population lives in hunger, and many children die of hunger or chronic malnutrition because they don't get enough food. I saw a country on the internet, but now I can't remember which country it is. In order to fill their stomachs, people there dug some kind of mud in the mountains and used it to make mud cakes to satisfy their hunger. In such a country, even the minimum food is a luxury idea. European and American countries, led by the United States, are refining energy products with grain to fill the domestic energy crisis. In fact, this is a blatant anti-human survival behavior. They keep saying that the rapid development of China has led to the soaring prices of energy and raw materials in the world, completely forgetting that they are using the anti-human survival law to show off their country's scientific and technological development level to underdeveloped and poor countries. China people use energy reasonably and legally, but they try their best to demonize it. Because of the manipulation of a rogue country like the United States, people have gradually become a problem even eating. I used to drink soy milk in the morning, but now I can only drink soy milk that can show people, because soybeans have risen to 5 yuan a catty! You can eat steamed buns as big as fists, but now you can only eat steamed buns as big as two-thirds of fists, because the price of flour is also rising rapidly! I could have drunk a little mung bean soup, but now I can only drink most of the mung bean soup with seasoning, because mung beans have risen to six or seven yuan a catty! Rapeseed oil, which used to be smelled far away, can only be eaten as tasteless but too expensive blended oil, and it is also a genetically modified product. In short, there are so many such things that many people are numb, because everything is nonsense, and the government always seems to think more about businessmen. The price increase of Jinlong fish oil was approved without any worries. Enterprises in China stopped approving applications when they applied, leaving Arowana with a reputation as a businessman with moral conscience. In fact, the countries that really affect the global food crisis, in terms of grain output, the United States, Australia, Brazil and other countries occupy monopoly positions. Only the United States has a stable annual share of global grain exports of about 35%, of which wheat is as high as 60%. The United States is the largest grain producer, exporter and ethanol fuel producer in the world today. The existing cultivated land area in the United States is1.900 million hectares. Due to high production efficiency and surplus agricultural products, some land has been fallow for a long time and can be cultivated quickly once needed. At present, most land is harvested only once a year, and its climatic conditions can be harvested twice a year. It can be seen that the international "food shortage" and rising food prices are still under control, and the control handle is in the hands of countries such as the United States and Australia, especially the United States. Once they decide to increase the grain planting area, the United States will control the world grain market, and it is an inevitable trend for grain importing countries to be controlled by the United States. The United States spares no effort to promote its agricultural products to India every year, while India refuses to import a large number of American agricultural products in order to protect the interests of its agriculture and farmers, in an effort to achieve food self-sufficiency. The struggle between control and anti-control has always been a repeated contest between big powers. At present, India is a negative example of its decline from an "exporter" to an "importer" of grain. India's detour in grain production is worth learning from many countries. India has been self-sufficient in food for a long time, but since 2005, the problem of food security in India has gradually emerged, and the grain output has begun to fail to meet the daily needs of the domestic population. In desperation, the Indian government changed from a "wheat exporter" to a "wheat importer" for the first time in July 2006, importing more than 3 million tons of wheat to alleviate the domestic food crisis. In 2007, India imported wheat from the international market for the second consecutive year. An official of the Indian Agriculture Committee told reporters that the Singh government has realized that the low grain output "has seriously threatened the healthy development of India's entire national economy" and "food security is even more important than energy security such as oil and natural gas for the lives of ordinary people in India". Due to the recent crazy rise in food prices, "food riots" have begun to threaten the survival of governments around the world, and this situation may spread in these countries at war. This is a war of human survival, especially the "hunger riots" have spread to North Africa, South Asia and other areas closely related to the interests of the United States and Europe. In North Africa, radical Islamic militants are using the food crisis to strengthen themselves. In South Asia, in the parliamentary elections held in Pakistan in June, 5438+ 10, voters dealt a heavy blow to the party led by President Musharraf, partly because many people could not stand the soaring food prices and blamed the government. "We care about terrorism and other things, but first we care about the basic needs of life," said Agati, a 24-year-old nurse in Islamabad. "People want to find someone who can solve this problem."

The Middle East is another hot spot. In Jordan, the price of staple food has also increased by 60% in one year. Hussein Brady, who runs a stall near the Grand Mosque in the Jordanian capital, said: "I can hardly sell my vegetables. "How can this go on?" King Abdullah feared that the "food riots" in 1996 would resume, when angry citizens stormed the police station in Calaque. The Yemeni government is more worried. The average income of Yemenis is only $65,438 +0.86 a day, and the government has to face the tide of Somali refugees, tribal conflicts in the north and the continuous threat of terrorism. Rising food prices are like adding fuel to the fire. Since February this year, the price of wheat in Yemen has doubled, and the price of rice and edible oil has increased by one fifth. Since the end of March, conflicts caused by bread prices have caused several deaths. In the past quarter, the food price in Lebanon increased by 145%, while the food price in Syria increased by 20%. A Damascus resident complained: "Even the price of parsley, which used to be worthless, suddenly tripled." Even in a wealthy place like Dubai, the impact of the food crisis is great, where supermarkets promise not to raise prices for 20 staple foods for at least one year. Obviously, this commitment is made to prevent the dissatisfaction and panic of the local Indian and Pakistani "construction corps". Without these construction factories, the magnificent hotels, museums and art islands that Dubai is busy building will all go up in smoke. The wages of these foreign workers are very high, but their wages are paid in the local currency dirham, which is linked to the declining dollar. In the shadow of skyscrapers and shopping centers, it is difficult for the beneficiaries of globalization in the Gulf region to cope with this "food riot". "Compared with other places, the consequences of dissatisfaction and anger in the Middle East are more geopolitical and more serious." Robin Lodge, a staff member of the United Nations World Food Program, said. Conclusion: Oil, grain and US dollar are increasingly affecting our lives. Friends, are you ready to take part in this war without smoke? In short, friends living in the countryside, please be sure to tell your parents at home not to trade food for some paper! Saving money is more affordable than saving money! ! Grain will never depreciate. Wait until the new grain comes out before selling the old grain! Tu Guangming