The United States, Brazil, and India, the three hardest hit areas, predict the development trend. Who will be at the top of the list in the end?
From a global perspective, the epidemic in the three countries of the United States, Brazil, and India is indeed the most serious. If we predict the development trend, the author believes that India may eventually be the worst affected by the epidemic. The country is the top one. Let’s first take a look at the specific epidemic data of these three countries. So far, the United States has a total of 6,588,163 confirmed cases, 38,688 new confirmed cases, and a total of 196,328 deaths. ; ?The cumulative number of confirmed cases in India has reached 4,562,414, with a staggering 96,760 new confirmed cases, and the cumulative death toll has reached 76,304; ?The cumulative number of confirmed cases in Brazil has reached 4,239,763, with 40,431 newly confirmed cases. The cumulative death toll reached 129,575.
From a comparison of the epidemic data of these three countries, the United States temporarily ranks first with 6.58 million confirmed cases, India temporarily ranks second with 4.56 million, and Brazil ranks third with 4.23 million. Let’s talk about the United States. Judging from the epidemic data in the United States, their number of new confirmed cases has indeed shown a slight downward trend in recent times. It has dropped from 70,000 to 80,000 people per day to 2~ today. 40,000 people per day. From this perspective, the peak period of the epidemic in the United States seems to have passed, and the current epidemic situation should be in a stable period.
Let’s talk about the epidemic situation in Brazil. In fact, the epidemic situation in Brazil is somewhat similar to that in the United States. The number of new confirmed cases in a single day has dropped from the previous 50,000 to 80,000 people to the current 2~20,000 per day. There are about 40,000 people. It can be judged from this that the peak period of the epidemic in Brazil may have passed. Of course, this does not mean that the epidemic in Brazil and the United States will end soon, because, judging from the epidemic situation in these two countries, The epidemic may still be in a stable period for a long time to come, and we do not even rule out the possibility of another major outbreak after winter.
Compared with the United States and Brazil, the epidemic situation in India is obviously not optimistic. Judging from the cumulative confirmed cases in India, they have now surpassed Brazil’s 4.23 million, becoming the country with the second most severe epidemic in the world. If This is even more obvious when looking at the newly confirmed cases of the epidemic in India. In the past 24 hours alone, the number of newly confirmed cases in India reached 96,760. This is a very alarming number, and it has even set a new record since the outbreak. The highest number of confirmed cases in a single day. If we pull the timeline back one month, in the past month, we can see that it only took 13 days for the cumulative number of confirmed cases in India to go from 3 million to 4 million. Because of this, India also set a record for the shortest time to confirm one million cases.
Considering that India itself is a developing country with more than 1.3 billion people, its medical level is much worse than that of developed countries in Europe and the United States. With its own medical capabilities, India simply cannot deal with this crisis alone. A large-scale epidemic has broken out and is out of control. Indian medical experts have also warned that due to weak medical facilities in rural areas, the Indian government needs to focus on rural areas in the next stage. Jacob John, a virologist at Christian Medical College in India, also said that due to the wide spread of the epidemic, he hopes that the Indian government can increase testing as much as possible so that the infected can be tracked and isolated, which will be crucial to controlling the epidemic in the future. Dissemination in rural areas is critical.
It can be seen that the current epidemic situation in India is indeed very pessimistic. In response, Agarwal, the former head of the Indian Medical Association, said that if the epidemic continues to develop according to the current trend, it may be around 10 By January, India will become the country with the worst epidemic in the world, and there is a high probability that it will surpass the United States to become the country with the worst epidemic in the world by mid-October. According to Agarwal, the cumulative number of confirmed cases of the epidemic in India may soon surpass that of the United States. The same is true in reality. The current number of confirmed cases in a single day in India remains at the level of 80,000 to 100,000 almost every day, surpassing the number in the United States. The cumulative number of confirmed cases may be just a matter of time.