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Why predictions of US presidential election results are never accurate
Any statistics and so-called polls can actually be manipulated.

If the sample was chosen by concentrating only on the East and West coasts, such as New York and California, which are supposed to be pro-Democratic areas, and ignoring the percentage of the sample that refused to take the survey (which, according to the disclosure after the fact, was as high as 70%). Then this survey is so skewed that it's already completely distorted.

In psychology there is a problem of leading the waver, i.e., deliberately creating a so-called trend to imply and lead the waverers, who are themselves undecided, to follow the principle of herd mentality and run with it.

So this time, the so-called forecasts and surveys conducted by the US mainstream media no longer have much to do with statistics, but rather with psychological warfare.

Don't look at Hillary, who has a bunch of young people from so-called Ivy League schools working on big data analysis at her campaign headquarters every day. It's all theater there.