The analysis is as follows:
1. With the introduction of environmental protection tax, the cost of breeding has increased, and some free-range households and small pig farms have been forced to retreat because the environmental protection facilities are not up to standard, which has made it more difficult for small and medium-sized feed enterprises in 20 18 to survive and intensified feed competition. However, with the increase of raw material cost, some small and medium-sized feed enterprises will also close down and concentrate their production capacity, which may lead to the increase of feed prices.
Second, the pig price may fall to the loss line, and a large number of free-range pig farmers continue to withdraw. The collective layout of the pig industry by large enterprises has led to a sharp expansion of production capacity to seize the market left by free-range pig farmers. With the formal transformation of newly-built pig farms in the early stage of 2065438+2008 into production capacity, the price of pigs will decrease steadily, and some pig farmers may face loss pressure if their breeding level is not good.
Third, imported pork will continue to affect the domestic pig price, but with the decline of pig price, the quantity of imported pork will also decline to some extent, but the cost of imported pork is far lower than the domestic pig price, so the quantity of imported pork may tend to be stable in 20 17 years.
Fourth, the pig industry model will change to some extent. The model of "company+farmer" will test the comprehensive strength of breeding groups. If the 20 18 aquaculture market declines and farmers start to lose money, the disadvantages of this model will be highlighted, and enterprises with poor strength will be eliminated.
5. With the country's increasing support for the rural poor to get rid of poverty, raising pigs to help the poor is a quick way, so the pig industry in poor and underdeveloped areas should develop to some extent.
6. Brand pork will be more and more sought after. With the gradual improvement of people's living standards, people pay more and more attention to food safety, and healthy and pollution-free pork will also rise. Brand pork is a niche product, and some enterprises have already had successful and mature models and cases. To build brand pork, it is important to be healthy and pollution-free, and at the same time to convince consumers. Therefore, the model of "Internet plus adoption" will be developed to a certain extent.