Entering 20 19 years, China's real estate market has adhered to the keynote of "housing and not speculating", and "one city, one policy" has become the main scheme for the regulation of the real estate market in various provinces. According to local conditions, the regulation and control policies are also showing a trend of "loose and tight". For example, Xi' an has further tightened real estate regulation and control measures recently, while some areas in Nanjing have relaxed the purchase restriction policy.
Under the control of "one city, one policy", house prices in all provinces remained basically stable during the year. Recently, the Beijing News reporter learned from Zhuge Housing Search Data Research Center that in May of 20 19, the average listing price of second-hand houses in 100 key cities was 15008 yuan/square meter, up 0. 14% from April of 20 19. Among them, there are 59 rising cities, with an average increase of1.11%; There were 4 1 cities, with an average decline of 0.8 1%.
Visit to Beijing
The overall market is stable, and the second-hand housing prices in some districts have "not changed much" in the past year.
"From 20 18 to now, the average price of houses in this area (the southwest second ring road in Xicheng District) is basically around 70,000 to 80,000, and it has not changed much." Bing Lin, a large real estate agent who has worked for 10 years, told reporters that the market in Beijing is relatively stable now. The so-called "this area" refers to the second ring road in the southwest of Xicheng District, Beijing, where second-hand housing transactions are the main ones. Because the area is equipped with primary schools and junior high schools, the educational resources are relatively rich, so the house price is also higher than the average price in Beijing.
In April of 20 18, Wang Su (a pseudonym) bought a house here. He told the Beijing News reporter that when he bought a house at that time, the house price was about 80,000 yuan/square meter, but there were no McDonald's and 71convenience stores downstairs at that time. I didn't expect these stores to open now, and the price was still the same in the community. "It seems that.
Bing Lin also told reporters that Beijing's housing prices reached a high point in 20 17, and then declined after the introduction of the "317 New Deal". Now the price is 15%~20% lower than the peak in 20 17. "The market is generally stable and the trading volume is generally good. People who buy a house don't have to grab a house now, they can pick it slowly, but it is not easy to meet a house with the right location, area and price. "
In terms of new houses, according to the data of official website, there are 84 new residential buildings for sale in Beijing, most of which are located in Daxing, Fangshan, Mentougou, Miyun and other areas. There are also a few new buildings in Fengtai and Chaoyang, and the average price of new houses is between 30,000 yuan/m2 ~120,000 yuan/m2 due to different regions and other factors.
Among them, there are very few small-sized houses, and there are only two new buildings of 60 square meters and below. Even if the area is below 100 square meter, only 40 properties have such a unit, and the housing area of the remaining 44 properties is above 100 square meter. Large units mean high total price and high down payment.
The reporter noticed that even though the geographical location of large-sized new houses is good, there are still cases where the buildings are still on sale for nearly a year. For example, the average price of the building is 79,500 yuan/square meter, and the opening time is August 4, 20 18, of which 83 square meters and 84 square meters have all been sold out, leaving130.
Wang Meng (a pseudonym), a "northern drifter" who needs to buy a house, told the reporter, "This year 1 1 month, my social security will be over five years, and I am qualified to buy a house, so I want to know the house price in Beijing in advance and choose the area to buy a house, so that I can make a decision at that time. Now that I have seen some houses, I feel that some second-hand houses are really too old and uncomfortable to live in. The size of the new house is too large, the budget is not enough, and I don't want to buy an auction house for fear of becoming an unfinished building. So you have to pick slowly, find the right one and then consider starting. "
However, recently, some intermediaries told reporters that second-hand houses in Beijing are "not so good at bargaining".
On April 23rd, according to the news that WeChat official account lives in Beijing via WeChat of Beijing Municipal Commission of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, Beijing has resolutely implemented the decision-making arrangements of the CPC Central Committee, implemented the positioning that "houses are used for living, not for speculation", and accelerated the improvement of the housing security system with both rent and purchase. Among them, it is an important part and strong support to establish and improve the housing security system in the capital to vigorously develop the housing with property rights and meet the basic housing needs of families without housing.
National observation
Second-hand housing prices in second-tier cities fell, and the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development warned the rising cities twice in January.
From a national perspective, in recent months, the sales prices of new houses and second-hand houses in first-tier cities have increased steadily, while the sales prices of second-hand houses in second-tier cities and new houses in third-tier cities have dropped significantly.
According to the data of the National Bureau of Statistics, in April, the sales price of new commercial housing in four first-tier cities increased by 0.6% month-on-month, and the sales price of second-hand housing increased by 0.4% month-on-month; 3 1 the sales price of new commercial housing in second-tier cities increased by 0.8% month-on-month, and the sales price of second-hand housing increased by 0.6%, with the growth rate dropping by 0.6 percentage points; The sales price of new commercial housing in 35 third-tier cities increased by 0.5% month-on-month, down by 0.2 percentage points from last month, while the price of second-hand housing increased by 0.6%.
According to the data obtained by Zhuge Housing Search Data Research Center, the average listing price of second-hand houses in 20 100 key cities was 15008 yuan/square meter, up 0. 14% from April 20 19, which was lower than last month. Among them, there are 59 rising cities, with an average increase of1.11%; There were 4 1 cities, with an average decline of 0.8 1%.
While the overall property market is stable and controllable, there are still some hot cities with large price increases, which has also attracted the attention of relevant authorities. The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development issued early warning tips twice in a row within 1 month.
Xinhua News Agency reported on May 18 that the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, on the basis of giving early warning to six cities on April 19, also gave early warning to four cities, namely Foshan, Suzhou, Dalian and Nanning, where the price index of newly-built commercial housing and second-hand housing has increased greatly in the past three months.
the local regulation
"One city, one policy" as the key word "loose and tight" may become the norm in the future
Behind the cooling of the property market is frequent policy regulation all over the country. According to statistics, since May, all localities, including ministries and commissions, have carried out 4 1 regulation on real estate.
From the perspective of regulation and control policies, under the keynote of "housing and not speculating", "one city, one policy" is becoming the key word of real estate regulation and control in various places. According to the incomplete statistics of the Beijing News reporter, at least Fujian, Henan, Hangzhou, Ningbo and Jinan have announced that they will study, formulate or implement the "one city, one policy" property market regulation plan this year.
Yan Yuejin, research director of the think tank center of Yiju Research Institute, believes that the emphasis on "one city, one policy" now means that local governments have greater regulatory autonomy. Various types of regulation will have different assessment systems, that is, local governments need to bear the responsibility of regulation.
Under the "one city, one policy", some cities "relaxed", such as Nanjing. Yesterday, according to a number of media reports, starting from June 4, foreigners can buy a house in Gaochun District of Nanjing, as long as they hold a residence permit in Nanjing, or carry the labor contract and business license of the employer, they can issue proof of purchase. Previously, foreigners who wanted to buy a house in Nanjing needed to provide a tax or social security certificate accumulated in Nanjing for two years in the past three years.
Some cities are "tightening", such as Xi' an. On the evening of June 4th, Xi 'an Real Estate Transaction Management Center issued the Statement on Qualification Examination of House Purchase (hereinafter referred to as the Statement), which further emphasized the qualification examination of house purchase.
The "Statement" stated that the qualification examination for purchasing houses is a housing market regulation policy implemented according to the orientation of "housing and not speculating" of the state, provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities, aiming at further maintaining the order of the real estate market and maintaining the stable and healthy development of the real estate market; Since July 20 17, our center has established a relatively perfect verification mechanism with public security, taxation, human society and other departments. Individuals who cheat the purchase qualification by providing false information, once verified, cancel the online contract signed by the parties and cancel the purchase qualification of the family members of the purchaser in our city within 5 years.
Mu Ding, a financial commentator, said that a close look at the current real estate control measures has implemented the overall requirements of the state on "insisting on the positioning of houses for living, not for speculation" and embodied macro-control requirements such as "implementing the main responsibility of cities, reforming and improving the housing market system and security system, and promoting the stable and healthy development of the real estate market".
Duan Yutong, an analyst at Zhuge Housing Search Data Research Center, also told the Beijing News reporter that the relaxation and tightening of regulatory policies may affect the expectations of the real estate market in the short term, so there may be short-term impacts. In the long run, it depends on whether these policies have affected the supply and demand of the real estate industry, for example, whether restrictions on purchases and loans have really affected the demand and purchasing power of buyers.
Duan Yutong believes that the proposal of "one city, one policy" is mainly because the government realizes that the real estate market is different in different cities, so it is not possible to use the "one size fits all" model, and it is necessary to make regulation in different directions according to the specific conditions of each place. The overall purpose is to establish a long-term mechanism of the real estate market, ensure the healthy and stable development of the real estate market, and avoid the situation of ups and downs in the market.
Some analysts said that in the future, the local property market policy regulation will be "loose and tight" or become the norm.