The core data of this paper: the market scale of CNC machine tools in China and the downstream application scenarios of CNC machine tools in China.
The industry is in the stage of localization of high-end products.
For a long time, domestic CNC machine tools have always been in a situation of rapid expansion of low-grade, slow progress of mid-grade and import of high-grade, especially the key equipment needed by national key projects mainly depends on imports, and the technology is subject to people. The growth of the industry needs a slow "quantitative change", and the industry is in the localization stage of high-end products. The localization of high-end CNC in China CNC machine tool industry will not come soon.
In 2020, the market scale will plummet by nearly 1/4.
In 20 17-20 19, the scale of China's CNC machine tool industry fluctuated greatly. In 20 18, the scale of China's CNC machine tool industry was 334.7 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 10.50%, which was slower than that in 20 17. In 20 19, the scale of China's CNC machine tool industry was 327 billion yuan, down 2.30% year-on-year. Mainly due to the adjustment and upgrading of the overall demand structure of the CNC machine tool industry, and the downturn in the downstream field. Affected by the epidemic in 2020, the scale of CNC machine tool industry in China reached 247.3 billion yuan, down 24.37% year-on-year.
Abrasive grinding tools have the largest number of related enterprises.
Statistics from the National Bureau of Statistics and China Machine Tool Association show that the machine tool market in 20 19 was characterized by fluctuating contraction of total demand and adjustment and upgrading of demand structure, which was accompanied by the breakdown of industry structure and balance. In the adjustment process of this change and development, industry enterprises have made unremitting efforts to adapt to the drastic changes in the market. Some enterprises have focused on their main business, deepened market demand and further improved their ability to adapt to the market. However, quite a few enterprises have fallen into more and more serious operational difficulties, suffered serious losses, and are short of funds. Some even have to reorganize or are in a state of suspension or semi-suspension, and the industry pattern has undergone major differentiation.
According to the data of China Machine Tool Association, as of 20201February, the composition of enterprises above designated size in China's machine tool industry is as follows: the total number of enterprises is * * * 5,720, It involves eight sub-industries: 833 metal cutting machine tools (accounting for 14.56%), 529 metal forming machine tools (accounting for 9.25%), 747 measuring tools and meters (accounting for 13.06%), 2025 abrasive tools (accounting for 35.4%), machine tool functional parts and. There are 27 wood and bamboo processing machines/kloc-0 (2.22%) and 636 other metal processing machines (1 1. 12%).
Automobile is the most important demand downstream of CNC airport.
Judging from the proportion of downstream consumer demand in CNC machine tool industry, automobile is the main downstream demand field, with consumption accounting for about 40%; Followed by aerospace, the consumption proportion is about 17%; Mould and construction machinery are the third and fourth consumption areas of CNC machinery respectively, accounting for about 13% and 10% respectively.
It is estimated that the market scale will exceed 540 billion yuan in 2026.
From the perspective of market sales scale, in 20021-2026, automobiles, the main demand field of CNC machine tools in China, will enter the adjustment period, which will affect the sales of CNC machine tools for a period of time. After the adjustment period in the downstream field, the demand for CNC machine tools will increase greatly, which will accelerate the sales growth of CNC machine tools.
In 2020, affected by the epidemic, the demand for machine tools in the downstream application market will be reduced in a short time, but in the long run, due to the convenience of CNC machine tools, the demand for CNC machine tools will resume positive growth in 20021year, and it will exceed 540 billion yuan in 2026 according to preliminary calculations.
The above data refer to Foresight Industry Research Institute's Market Demand Forecast and Investment Strategic Planning Analysis Report of China CNC Machine Tool Industry.