Listen to the predictions made by six famous football players (for the hottest topics)

Italy/Huang Jianxiang: Blue blood is thin.

A few World Cup qualifiers are enough for an old team with profound heritage and tradition like Italy, especially after Lippi returned to coach. The main problem for Italy now is that both Totti and Nesta have retired, especially Totti. Lippi wants to continue to use the system of the 2006 World Cup, but he can't find a suitable person. In this World Cup, he can only adjust while playing.

Italy did encounter some troubles in the first few games, and Lippi had to push Pirlo to the front waist position, but instead made the whole team work. In fact, when discussing "the best player in the World Cup" after the 2006 World Cup, Pirlo's voice was very high. According to several statistics of FIFA, Pirlo was really excellent, but he regretted that he was not a scorer. After Totti retired, Lippi changed the combination of "Totti (front waist)+Pirlo (back waist)" to "Pirlo+Derossi" in 2006. Derossi is not as skilled as Pirlo in that year, and his overall situation and awareness of the field are also weak. If the "brain" of the "combat headquarters" is moved to the back waist position, it will not work, and Derossi can only be regarded as a midfielder killer. Pirlo, however, is old, and his front waist is the position where he is kicked. I'm afraid he can't afford it at his present age and body.

There is stability in Italy, after all, the tactical style, players and coaches are the same as those used three years ago. This is not to say that Lippi is a conservative. He can push Pirlo's position in the national team to the front waist, which means that he still dares to try. A successful star like Pirlo himself will not rashly change his position, and he definitely needs the coach to convince the players to make a change as a whole.

Italy's current problem may also lie in this "wholeness". Their tradition of playing football has always been to put the whole first. The past practical experience of coaches like Capello, Donadoni and Lippi shows that football can restrain the development of superstars through the use of team skills and tactics. It is not easy to take stars like C Ronaldo and Kaka to break through Italy.

Emphasizing tactics means emphasizing the whole. Italy's first-class echelon players started from teenagers, and their tactics are to play for the collective. Italy won't produce individual cyclists like C Ronaldo and quaresma, so why Cassano is an alternative? Lippi doesn't want to recruit him into the national team. This kind of overall tactical system can achieve good results for a period of time, but it is easy to cause defects in talent training in China. To understand Lippi from this perspective, it is very difficult for him to completely replace the team in 2006. First, there is a gap in talents, and there are not enough dazzling players to realize the cycle of "the waves behind the Yangtze River push the waves before". Lack of fresh blood.

However, there is no available "fresh blood" for Lippi to use. There is no such Mr.Right, such as Messi, C Ronaldo and Kaka, which make people feel that their technical ability is indispensable and can bring tactical changes. Lippi can only rely on a patchwork combination, but this combination is three years older than in 2006. Some changes are patchwork replacement. Old people, injured people and retired people have to be replaced, not by the undisputed strength of new people. Only chiellini, who was injured in the centre-back, passed the training of last year's European Cup and the club. He was the new face of this Italian team who rose to the top by virtue of his personal strength.

Lippi said that he had a good idea of the 15 or 16 players in South Africa's World Cup squad, and he had to add six or seven. These fifteen or sixteen people are his main team. Apart from 1 1, there are also main substitutes, and the rest are patch backups. In this case, Lippi will choose those who are in good health and can play in multiple positions, especially the versatile players in the center and backcourt. Their average age is definitely less than the average age of fifteen or sixteen people that Lippi has determined.

This Italian team, I expect that if they can get into the top eight in South Africa, even if they have completed their task, Lippi can be regarded as an explanation to the country. Whether there can be another breakthrough depends on how their competition experience and maturity are brought into play. Italy is an elimination team, and they may stumble and lose to some middle and lower reaches teams in the group stage, but in the elimination stage, Italy's concept of "playing in order not to lose" can be clearly reflected, at least it is difficult for opponents to beat Italy in the regular time of 90 minutes. Considering the penalty in 2006, Italy also has Buffon, so if it means that there are the most worthy people in this team in 2006, I will choose Buffon.

England/Su Dong: It's all about Capello.

It is nonsense to make any prediction of the World Cup in South Africa now, but we can still find some clues when we talk about the real strength of a team. England lost 0-0/kloc-0-0 to Brazil. Many English fans think that this is the second team. It is not shameful to lose to the world champion with the strength of these people. But I think that if the English are lucky enough to reach the semi-finals or finals, these people in Doha may really appear in the finals.

I have always had a view that the league is like a marathon and the cup is like 800 meters. The marathon requires the highest endurance, while the 800-meter marathon requires speed, endurance and tactics, which are indispensable. A match like the World Cup will not only have many games, but also have a great impact on the competitive psychology of players. England has completed the preliminaries, and now it is in the stage of sharpening guns. However, the constant injuries have made it almost impossible for Capello to form a South African squad in his mind.

We do some player tracking. James has failed to start eight games. Although he played against Ukraine, he still has to rest for two days after each game due to a shoulder injury. Will the 39-year-old veteran still adhere to the "rest rule" in South Africa or become another seaman? Rio ferdinand played only four games in 2009 1 1 match. His leg muscle injury just turned and his back was injured. These are all old injuries. Who can guarantee that the one-month tight schedule in South Africa will not make Leo relapse again? Walcott had only two games' experience after dislocating his shoulder before 1 1 month against Germany. The young winger has made British fans have high hopes, but now he needs more games, not for the club but for the national team. Heskey looks strong, but it is actually worrying. Before the game against Belarus, he played five of the six games, but before that, he missed four games because of injury. Gerrard won't let people down. As long as he is on the court, he will always give people confidence and hope to win. Just don't be scarred for Liverpool's "small family" honor before next year's South Africa competition, which will lead to the loss of "everyone's" hope.

The level and quality of the national team is closely related to the level of the national league, but at the same time, we should also see the composition of the players in the league. Every time we meet the top four in the Premier League, we can't see too many local English players on the court. Instead, Villa is known as the "England team training ground". Of the 6 1 1 professional players registered in the Premier League, there are only 232 local players, which can explain the problems of the English national team itself. However, it should also be noted that O 'Neill arrived at Villa. Of the 28 players he signed, 20 were local players. However, no one can guarantee a starting position except Barry, Abbang Laho, Ashley Young and others.

Looking at other teams entering the World Cup in South Africa, each team will become England's most powerful opponent. In just one month, if you want to enter the finals, you must play seven games. If you want to ensure that there are no wounded under great pressure, you can only try your best to reduce the number of wounded. In terms of their own style of play, players in England are more likely to get injured than teams such as Spain, Brazil and Argentina. It is estimated that many people still remember the situation of Germany in the final of the European Cup in 1996. In South Africa, it is not excluded that England will have the same pain. In addition, it is their stadium discipline. There is a certain difference between the penalty scale of the Premier League and the control scale of the World Cup. If this measure is not well handled, it is their biggest enemy. David Beckham's revenge on Simone and Rooney's stepping on Carvalho all started from this, which also cost England a huge price.

I have always felt that the luckiest thing about England is that they have Capello. This gentleman has been through the battlefield, achieved outstanding results, and knows the way of employing people. It was under him that Shuangde finally began to have a chemical reaction, and the resolute re-use of Heskey in the front line also showed his fine-tuning ability for the team and players. Needless to say, his game philosophy is similar to China's "When the enemy is exhausted, we will fight", and the premise is that the defense and the lower back must be rock solid. I believe what Capello wants to see most now is that Hargreaves can quickly recover from injury and get into the best condition. If a midfield line of "Gerrard-Barry-Hargreaves-Lampard" can be formed, it will be comparable to almost any team.

If Capello's main line-up is not badly hurt, maybe England will go further. If some players return home early, how far those bench players, that is, Doha's line-up, can go, maybe only God knows.

Argentines/Liu Jianhong: Tragedy is Hidden.

This is a country that can go crazy for football. This is also a country where football talents emerge one after another. This is a country that often loses its reason and unity because of football.

The unruly players and the stubborn coach have almost become a symbol of Argentine football. You can't simply blame players or coaches, they all have their own good reasons. But you can't accept this chaotic situation. What is particularly intolerable is that Argentine football is struggling on the road to South Africa under the background of bright stars. It was only at the last moment that I got through the risk with the help of an invisible providence.

Therefore, when Diego Maradona took over as the head coach of Argentina, although there were doubts from the outside world, his Jianghu status ensured the temporary peace of Argentine football. Even if this peace is very short-lived, it still leaves a little breathing space for Argentine football.

When Diego Maradona's mythical position began to be challenged, and Argentine football went from bad to worse, the accumulated capital in front made them catch the tail of fate at the last moment.

People who doubt or criticize Diego Maradona don't need too much evidence at all. Diego Maradona can't be an excellent coach. His personality is angular, and he can't tell who can get the upper hand from his advantages and disadvantages. He is the most interesting protagonist in the life stage, but he can't be the commander-in-chief of the battlefield.

However, I thought that the Argentine Football Association invited Diego Maradona, and didn't intend to treat him as a head coach at all. He is the lucky star of Argentine football, and he is the amulet of Argentine football. With him, Argentine football can always find a fulcrum, which is better than falling into endless arguments and noises.

Another reason for Argentina's thrilling promotion is the football heritage of this country. Even if the old Veron is no longer brave, Palermo's crazy temperament is also inferior. However, Argentina is Argentina. They can put aguero and Tevez on the bench, and they can also let Higuain enter the team at the last minute. They can ignore the stable play of Samuel and Zanetti in Inter Milan, or they can suddenly use domestic grassroots players and rely on the big names returned from Europe. However, when the disaster approaches, the mysterious temperament attached to this country will become a barrier. Even a little-known pawn can get the team ashore in an instant. The so-called temperament, in the final analysis, is determined by strength.

This is Argentine football. Chaos, contradictions, enthusiasm to madness, paranoia to extremes, sometimes fragile, and sometimes invincible.

They never lack excellent players, nor do they lack excellent coaches as the outside world imagines. Belsa's success in Chile not only helped the motherland's football at the crucial moment, but also defended the reputation of Argentine football coach. However, the problem is that once caught in the Argentine football reality, both Belsa and Diego Maradona seem to lose their magic, but the length of time is different.

The qualifiers are in shock and the World Cup is just around the corner. It is not easy to break through from South America, and it is even more difficult to become famous in the World Cup.

Spain is in its heyday, and Brazil is gradually taking shape under Dunga's leadership. Even though Italy is troubled by veteran problems, it will always be an opponent that cannot be ignored, as well as England of Capello, France with stars, and Germany, which can always play beyond the ordinary in the competition. These teams will certainly give argentines a headache.

Even those small players may bring trouble to Argentina. Historically, Argentina not only lost to China in the Nehru Cup, but also lost to Cameroonian and Danish in the World Cup.

In other words, if we can't solve many off-court problems before next year's World Cup, pessimistically speaking, Argentine football can't stay until the end. What is even more pessimistic is that the prospect of solving the problem looks even more bleak. This is the key to Argentina's tragedy.

Spanish/He Wei: Aesthetics only lack secrets.

Spain qualified again.

Spain qualified in a perfect way again.

Of the 53 teams participating in the qualifiers in Europe, only two qualified with a total victory, one from Spain and the other from the Netherlands. These are two hopeless perfectionists.

Spain's statistics were so beautiful that their opponents were desperate. They won the group match 10, scored 28 goals and conceded only 5 goals, which was the strongest attack among the 53 teams in Europe, with only more goals conceded than the Netherlands, and tied for second place with Germany. It looked excellent in both offense and defense and was beautiful.

Judging from the process of the group stage, Bosco followed the strategy of winning the European Cup in aragones after taking office, and used the team-controlled style of play with excellent skills to master the game, basically abandoning the traditional Spanish two-wing Qi Fei tactics that only relied on the breakthrough of the flank, killing the opponent's fighting spirit in the ball control system of four or two thousand pounds, and then scoring by the striker with strong opportunity and cooperation ability on the front line.

This system is realized by a strong midfield line. Among the midfielders, players from Barcelona and Valencia are the core. The dual-core tactics of Harvey and Iniesta have been proved to be extremely effective in Barcelona, and they are both long and short, with rich ways of breakthrough and creativity, which has become the source of power for the team's attack. With other excellent players, such as Fabregas, Silva, Alonso as cazorla and Senna, the changes and thickness of the midfield system are very enviable.

On the forward line, Villa and Torres are the absolute main players. In addition, it is commendable that Bosco is more accommodating than the coach while retaining the core of aragones's attack. He also recruited llorente, the high center of Athletic Bilbao, into the team. llorente's presence makes the Spanish national team more domineering and unreasonable toughness in the attack group style besides quickness and dexterity. You should know that such toughness will be an indispensable "secret weapon" in such a major game as the World Cup. The World Cup and the European Cup are different. The teams in the European Cup are all from Europe. Apart from the strength difference, there is actually no unexpected difference in tactical play. The teams participating in the World Cup come from all corners of the country, and some national teams outside Europe may not be able to adapt to it. When the delicate and dexterous problems cannot be solved, the strong impact may become the last resort. From this point of view, Bosco's team has additional solutions and manpower, which is more reassuring than that in the European Cup.

Although the Spanish are not good at defense, it is determined by the technical style of the national team, by the offensive and defensive emphasis of the whole team, and not by the individual defenders. Therefore, the current defensive generals are already the best defenders that Spanish football can have.

Of course, I can't help but say that casillas, a young man under 30, has been standing in front of the national team for nearly ten years. Since the 2002 World Cup, he has become the biggest source of confidence for the Spanish team. Every time he saves the team in dire straits, the turmoil of Real Madrid in recent years has also benefited the Spanish national team from another angle, that is, he has always kept the No.1 goalkeeper of the national team in a state of "actual combat" and made him again and again.

Don't forget Raul, who was the biggest headache in aragones last year. For him, the coach offended everyone. If he hadn't led the team to win the European Cup in the end, aragones would have been drowned by saliva. However, the success of aragones's gamble has basically blocked Raul's return to the national team, and Bosco will not risk Raul's entry into the national team, shaking the dressing room atmosphere that has been slightly mature through a major competition. The former "golden boy" may watch the World Cup in front of the TV.

With such a team, Bosco has reason to covet the World Cup next year. However, Spain was not the most favored team in 2008, but finally won the cup. On the contrary, the Dutch team, which was awesome in the group stage, did not even enter the quarter-finals. The wonder of football is everywhere. The United States played Spain in the Confederations Cup without any temper, not because of luck, but because we knew ourselves and ourselves. It is conceivable that in next year's World Cup, opponents all over the world will carefully study the advantages and disadvantages of the Spanish team and prescribe the right medicine like the American team. The Spanish team is under the attention of countless eyes and under the drills of numerous sand tables, with no secrets and no tricks.

This beautiful dancer, I hope everything goes well for him, and the road ahead is bumpy. Please be careful.

Germany/Meng Hongtao: It is not a problem to reach the quarter-finals.

When it comes to the German team, people always like to repeat Reinkel's classic sentence: "Football is a game of 1 1 people, but the Germans always win in the end." It's true that German football has not never had a trough, nor has it never brought disappointment to people, but these are always details that cannot become the mainstream that hinders Germany from achieving good results. Until now, perhaps the only thing that makes German fans dissatisfied is that they have never won the world championship since 1990.

There is a set of data that can explain Germany's position in world football. Although Germany won fewer championships than Brazil and Italy in the history of the World Cup, it was the team that won the runner-up and entered the top four the most times. Moreover, they all reached the final stage in the 16 World Cup and successfully entered the top eight in the recent 14 World Cup. All these make the German team unique. It is based on this law that we can easily speculate that Germany has enough ability to enter the quarter-finals of the World Cup in South Africa, and this should be the bottom line for Germany.

The decline of German football is a fact, but it is only that people are more willing to compare the current German football with its peak period with a perfectionist attitude, or more harshly think that it is a failure not to win the championship. In fact, Germany's performance in two consecutive World Cups and the last European Cup was not too bad. In two consecutive World Cups, they won the runner-up once and the third place once. Similarly, at last year's European Championship, they reached the final. These achievements are still not enough to satisfy the demanding German fans, but they are enough to prove the position of German football in the world football.

Indeed, German football lacks more internationally competitive stars at present, and German players no longer have the favorites like matthaeus and Klinsmann, but Germans always believe that team strength is the foundation of the team. Germany's nickname is "Nationalelf", which translates to "eleven members of the national team", from which we can see the German team's dependence on team strength. Therefore, regardless of people who are pessimistic, they lament that German football is going from bad to worse, or the stars are dim and the reserves are insufficient, but the German team, which has always relied on eleven players, is still standing. The achievements in recent World Cups have already explained everything.

Therefore, the German team is no longer a German team dominated by stars, and individual players such as Ballack are not enough to support the German team's combat effectiveness. He can only rely on the efforts of players in each position to turn mediocrity into magic. This was the case in Klinsmann's time, and it was the same in Loew's time.

Compared with the Klinsmann period, Loew has fewer big names. One of his ways is to continue to tap the potential of players like Ballack and Klose, and the other is to constantly get inspiration and vitality from newcomers. Of course, compared with Klinsmann's period, the German team under Loew paid more attention to the balance between offensive and defensive, and the system was more rigorous. Although the offensive efficiency was not as high as that in Klinsmann's period, the style of play was sophisticated and steady when the average age decreased.

As a new generation coach, Loew obviously knows more about the popular "mainland goods" in the world football, so he practiced two different formations, 442 and 4231, in the preliminaries. In the absence of strikers, he used the 4-4-2-3-1 formation to strengthen the control of the midfield, and then the oppressive attack. Therefore, although Gomez never entered the state and Klose missed the game due to injury, rammstein's operation did not fall off the chain. In the European Cup, Germany's stranglehold on the midfield forced Spain, which is good at playing the ground, to fight back with a long pass, which actually shows the great power of Germany's excellent midfield steal and control.

However, for the current German team, the lack of top players like Ballack is an unavoidable problem. It is not a problem for such a lineup to deal with qualifiers and world cup group matches. When it comes to the elimination stage, the role of star players will often influence the trend of the team. Because at this stage, it is very important to make sure that you don't make mistakes, and it is more important to catch the mistakes of your opponents. What do stars do? They just want to turn opportunities into goals. However, in the current German team, not only the front is weak and there is no substantial change, but also several major midfielders are too mediocre or the level is declining, which actually weakens the further capital of the German team.

Therefore, in next year's World Cup, the German team will not bring too many surprises, nor will it be too disappointing.

Brazil/Yan Xiaohua: Samba, a civilian, washes away the lead.

"A man has only one destiny", and Carlos Caetano Brendon Veri is perhaps the best annotation of this classic line in The Godfather. When he was very young, his godfather Burundi gave him a nickname Dunga. In Portuguese, "Dunga" means "important person, leader and captain".

Later, the world only knew his name as Dunga. He is a natural leader. He has been the captain of any team he has ever been in, including Brazil's national team, which is full of stars and thorns. This natural fate doomed him to a seamless connection from the player to the coach, and also doomed the strong Dunga color of this Brazilian team-rigorous, concise and effective, almost walking on the other side of the Brazilian football coin.

Therefore, in the first two years of taking over the Brazilian team, Dunga has been questioned and criticized. Everyone's criticism focused on one point, that is, Dunga made the beautiful Brazilian football very ugly. Yes, Dunga gave up "possession, dribbling and gorgeous attack" and replaced it with "defense, stability and counterattack", which is intolerable for Brazilian football that pursues "not only winning, but also winning beauty". However, Dunga was never moved, which made him insist on both the will of "dictator" and actually quite good results.

Until the match in Rosario on September 6, 2009, Dunga finally calmed the world down. In the home of Argentine football, Dunga dedicated a classic anti-rebellion, easily dismembering the passionate Pampas eagle. Dunga was the first Brazilian to leave so proudly in Rosario. At that time, it suddenly occurred to people that in more than two years, Dunga brought to Brazil, in addition to "betrayal", an America's Cup, a Confederations Cup, unbeaten world champions, and South African tickets. It suddenly dawned on the world that defensive counterattacks can not only bear the burden of humiliation, but also be emotional; It turns out that the rigid Dunga is clumsy.

This war doomed Brazil's trip to South Africa to be a "betrayal" trip. After constructing what may be the strongest defense in Brazilian history, Dunga can attack the world without hesitation or even soul-stirring, and of course, because he has an invincible front waist named Kaka. After half-time, Kaka said that he was second in the comprehensive ability to take the ball in the middle, and no one dared to call him first in the world today. His speed, vision and passing ability were born of Dunga's 43 12 tactics.

Now we should understand why Dunga didn't recruit Ronaldinho and why he didn't reuse Diego. It's not because Ronaldinho's state is not good, it's not because Diego's ability is not good, but Dunga's tactics don't need a slow and magical ball catcher, and his attack always relies on high-speed counterattack. Therefore, it doesn't matter whether Robinho, fabiano or Adebayor, Pato or even Nima are on the front line. Brazil has never lacked killers in the penalty area.1How did romario and Bei Beituo score in 994? Everyone knows about Dungaby.

However, Dunga knows better that the success of the betrayal trip will only last for 30 days next summer. If those 30 days are not successful, the beauty of the previous 1,001 nights will change from Zhu Shazhi to a touch of mosquito blood. Therefore, he has not been able to determine the main candidate for left-back. On his 43 12 tactical board, the most important link to provide attacking supplies for Kaka comes from the left and right full-backs. In fact, Santos and Marcelo can't satisfy Dunga. In the warm-up match against England, bastos made people see hope, but this is only the performance of a game. The most important word in Dunga's tactical dictionary is "stability". There are still half a year left. Who will guarantee the stability of young bastos?

In fact, compared with the left-back, Brazil also has an X factor, that is, gilberto silva, the backbone of the back. Many people wonder why Dunga chose a veteran of the Greek League as the offensive and defensive hub, which is somewhat forced. Why doesn't Dunga want to have a 1994 self in his team?

The trip to South Africa will surely be Dunga's inheritance from his mentor Pereira, and it will be the connection of 1994, which will carry out the "betrayal" to the end.