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Is Henan Province poor or not?
In 2005, Henan seized the strategic opportunity to promote the rise of Central China, took Scientific Outlook on Development as the overall economic and social development, actively implemented macro-control policies, and paid close attention to the implementation of all work. The national economy continued to maintain a good development trend, the operation results of various major economic indicators were better than expected, the growth rate was among the highest in the country, and the economic development achieved a staged leap and breakthrough.

In 2005, the growth rate of many economic indicators in Henan Province was among the highest in China.

First, the analysis of the province's economic operation in 2005

(A) to achieve new breakthroughs in economic development

Both the economic aggregate and the per capita level have reached a new level. According to the preliminary calculation, in 2005, the province's GDP reached 1053520 billion yuan, making it the fifth province in China with a total economic output exceeding one trillion yuan. Among them, the added value of the primary industry184.304 billion yuan, an increase of 7.5%; The added value of the secondary industry was 553.933 billion yuan, an increase of17.6%; The added value of the tertiary industry was 3152.83 million yuan, an increase of 12.6%. The per capita GDP exceeded 1 0,000 yuan, reaching 1 0,654,38+0,236 yuan. While the economy is growing rapidly, its stability is further enhanced. In the first quarter, the first half and the first three quarters of 2005, the growth rates were 13.9%, 14.4% and 1 4% respectively, and the annual growth rate was/kloc-0.1%,with a cumulative quarterly increase of1percentage point.

The economic structure was further optimized. The accelerating trend of industrialization is more and more obvious. In 2005, the proportion of secondary and tertiary industries in the province reached 82.5%, with an average annual growth of nearly 1 percentage point during the tenth five-year plan period. The non-public sector of the economy has occupied half of the country. In 2005, the added value of the non-public sector of the economy accounted for 50% of the GDP, an increase of 15.5 percentage points over the end of the Ninth Five-Year Plan.

(2) The rural economy maintained a good development trend.

Agricultural production has achieved a bumper harvest. In 2005, the province's total grain output reached 45.82 million tons, a record high, an increase of 7.6% over the previous year. Among them, the output of summer grain was 2,609,438+0,000 tons, an increase of 3.5%; Autumn grain output19,727,900 tons, an increase of 13.4%. Due to the relatively good economic benefits, the planting area and total output of oil crops increased significantly in summer and autumn respectively, and the total output of oil crops in the province reached 4.496 million tons, up 10.0% year-on-year. The growth rate of cotton production is relatively low. Affected by the decline in comparative benefits in 2004, the cotton planting area decreased by 17.9%. However, due to the increase of 23.6% over the previous year, the total cotton output in the province was 677,000 tons, with an increase of 1.5%. Animal husbandry production continued to develop steadily, with the total output of meat and milk reaching 6.89 million tons and 6.5438+0.04 million tons respectively, up by 7.2% and 39.6% year-on-year. "Avian flu" has brought some influence on the price and sales of poultry and egg products in some areas, but the overall impact is not great. The annual output of poultry eggs was 3.75 million tons, an increase of 7.8%.

Various policies to support agriculture and benefit farmers have been comprehensively strengthened. Governments at all levels in the province have continuously increased the policy of benefiting farmers, and the policy of "one exemption and three subsidies" has benefited farmers in the province by 4.454 billion yuan. The pace of construction of the two major bases was accelerated, and the high-quality grain industry project in 17 county continued to be implemented, and 24 major grain-producing counties received key support. The harvest area of high-quality special wheat in the province reached 40.39 million mu, accounting for 54.3% of the wheat planting area. The living conditions of farmers have been further improved, and the construction of agricultural and rural infrastructure has been strengthened. Among them, the construction of safe drinking water for the masses, the renovation of dilapidated houses in rural primary and secondary schools, and the renovation of township central hospitals have achieved remarkable results. The rural investment in the whole year was 85.04 billion yuan, an increase of 28.0%. With the implementation of the Sunshine Project of Rural Labor Transfer Training, the number of migrant workers in the province reached15.57 million, and the labor income reached 73 billion yuan. The new rural cooperative medical system and the rural minimum living security system were actively promoted, and breakthroughs were made in the reform of township institutions, rural credit cooperatives and grain circulation system. The implementation of these policies and measures has benefited farmers a lot.

(3) The industrial economy developed rapidly and healthily.

The efficiency of industrial production has improved rapidly. In 2005, the province's industrial added value reached 492.3 billion yuan, an increase of 18.7% over the previous year, of which the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size reached 322.823 billion yuan, an increase of 23.3%, ranking fourth in the country in terms of growth rate and entering the forefront of the country for the first time. While the production is growing steadily and rapidly, the economic benefits are greatly improved. Industries above designated size realized profits and taxes of120.239 billion yuan, of which profits were 66.795 billion yuan, up 52.2% and 64.5% respectively.

Light and heavy industries are competing to develop. In 2005, among the industries above designated size in the province, the added value of heavy industry was 229.062 billion yuan, an increase of 265.438+0.0%, which drove the industrial growth by 65.438+05.0 percentage points, and remained the leading force for industrial growth. Since 2005, the growth rate of light industry is faster than that of heavy industry, and the growth gap has expanded from 3. 1 percentage point at the beginning of the year to 7.8 percentage points, showing a trend of increasing month by month. The added value of all young industries was 937.665438 billion yuan, an increase of 28.8%.

The advantageous industries are constantly becoming stronger and bigger. Advantage industries and traditional industries such as food, textile, aluminum industry, automobile and parts, coal chemical industry and petrochemical industry have grown rapidly. In 2005, the agricultural and sideline food processing industry and textile industry in the province increased by 33.4% and 26.5% respectively; The output of livestock products and quick-frozen rice flour food increased by 24.4% and 465,438 0.0% respectively. The output of electrolytic aluminum, alumina and aluminum reached 6.5438+0.94 million tons, 3.533 million tons and 973 million tons respectively, up by 20.7%, 3.65438+0.8% and 59.0% year-on-year.

The vitality of enterprises has been further enhanced. Substantial progress has been made in the reform of state-owned enterprises. 92% of the state-owned industrial enterprises in the province have diversified their shares, 86% of large and medium-sized enterprises have separated their main and auxiliary enterprises, and all laid-off workers from state-owned enterprises have left the center at the end of the year. Although the number of state-owned and state-controlled industrial enterprises decreased by 50.3%, their total assets and net assets increased by 18. 1% and 15.2% respectively. The non-public sector of the economy continued to develop. In 2005, the added value of non-public-owned industries in the province was 1439.9 1 100 million yuan, an increase of 37.0%, which was higher than the provincial average 13.7 percentage points, and its contribution rate to the industrial growth in the province reached 64. 1%, making it the main force to promote industrial economic growth.

One hundred key enterprises have a good momentum of development. In 2005, the total assets of 100 key enterprises reached 348.89 billion yuan, an increase of18.2% over the previous year; Realized sales revenue of 320.74 billion yuan, up 30.1%year-on-year; The total profit and tax was 403,654.38 billion yuan, an increase of 21.3%; The total profit was 654.338+0.843 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 265.438+0.5%.

Investment demand is strong.

Investment in fixed assets continued to grow rapidly. In 2005, the investment in fixed assets of the whole society reached 437.869 billion yuan, an increase of 465.438 0.3% over the previous year, and the investment rate reached 465.438 0.6%. Among them, the investment in urban fixed assets reached 352.829 billion yuan, an increase of 44.9%, and the monthly growth rate remained at a high level of over 42%, ranking first in the country for two consecutive years. The endogenous motivation of investment has been significantly enhanced. The annual private investment was 16532 1 100 million yuan, an increase of 85.8%, accounting for 69.8% of the urban investment growth and 46.9% of the urban investment, an increase of 10.4 percentage point over the previous year, while the proportion of state-owned and state-controlled investment fell below 50% to 46.2% for the first time. From the source of funds, self-raised funds accounted for 665,438+0.7% of all sources of funds, up 8.2 percentage points over the previous year, and domestic loans and budgetary funds * * * accounted for 265,438+0.3%, down 5.9 percentage points over the previous year.

Investment in key industries and key projects continued to strengthen. In 2005, urban industrial investment was16681600 million yuan, an increase of 53.9% over the previous year. Among them, the growth rate of investment in pillar industries such as coal, chemicals, machinery, food and textiles remained above 50%. Infrastructure investment127.805 billion yuan, an increase of 26.8%. Among them, urban infrastructure investment accounts for 19.2%, culture, education and health accounts for 13.0%, and highway and power investment accounts for 60.3%. Key projects are progressing smoothly. 158 provincial key projects completed 66 billion yuan, an increase of 23.6%, accounting for 18.7% of urban investment. Expressway has added 912km, with an installed power generation capacity of more than 4 million kilowatts. A large number of energy transportation, agriculture, forestry, water conservancy, ecological and environmental protection, infrastructure and social undertakings have been put into operation or started construction, which has played an important role in stimulating economic growth and enhancing development potential.

(5) Rapid development of domestic and foreign trade.

The domestic trade market has grown steadily. In 2005, the total retail sales of social consumer goods in the province reached 335.843 billion yuan, an increase of 65.438+04.3% over the previous year. The consumer market presents four obvious characteristics: First, the growth rate is fast. The total retail sales of social consumer goods increased by 12.4% after deducting the price factor, which was the fastest growth in eight years. In terms of scale and growth rate, the province's consumer market has leapt to a new growth platform. Second, the gap between urban and rural markets is still obvious. In 2005, the urban retail sales reached 1805.2 1 100 million yuan, an increase of 16.8%, accounting for 53.8% of the total retail sales of social consumer goods, up by 1. 1 percentage point year-on-year, and the role of the urban market was more prominent. Retail sales at or below the county level155.322 billion yuan, an increase of 1654.38+0.5%. Although the gap with the urban growth rate is gradually narrowing, it is still 5.3 percentage points slower than the urban market. Third, the consumption structure of residents has been continuously upgraded. In 2005, the retail sales of building and decoration materials, furniture, automobiles, electronic publishing, audio-visual products and other commodities reflecting residents' residence, transportation and entertainment increased by 95.0%, 139.9%, 28.7% and 57.8% respectively. Sales area of commercial housing17,248,200 square meters, up by 63.4%. Fourth, the sales of means of production goods grew rapidly. In 2005, among the commodity sales of wholesale and retail trading enterprises above designated size, the sales of nine categories of means of production were102.088 billion yuan, an increase of 25.3% over the previous year. Among them, the sales growth of coal, timber, petroleum, chemicals and products are all between 29% and 42%. In terms of agricultural materials, the sales of chemical fertilizer and seed feed increased by 40.6% and 132.6% respectively.

The foreign economy has developed rapidly. In 2005, the total import and export volume reached US$ 7.737 billion, an increase of 65.438+07.0% over the previous year. Among them, exports continued to maintain rapid growth, but the growth rate dropped month by month. The total annual export value was $510.02 million, an increase of 22.2%, and the growth rate was 17.9 percentage points lower than that of the previous year. General trade and processing trade * * * exported US$ 4.968 billion, and remained the main body of foreign trade. The structure of export products has been continuously optimized. The export of mechanical and electrical products and high-tech products increased by 3 1.8% and 30.3% respectively, which were 9.6 and 8. 1 percentage point higher than the provincial average. The export of private enterprises was US$ 654.38+US$ 477 million, an increase of 39.8%, which was higher than the provincial average of 654.38+07.7 percentage points. The growth rate of imports dropped more and fluctuated obviously. In 2005, the total import volume of the whole province was US$ 2.635 billion, up by 8. 1%, down by 32.3 percentage points over the previous year. New progress has been made in undertaking global and eastern industrial transfer, and the utilization of foreign capital continues to grow rapidly. 35 Fortune 500 companies settled in the Central Plains; The actual utilization of foreign direct investment in the whole year was $6,543.8+$230 million, an increase of 40.7%; Foreign investment was 50.355 billion yuan, an increase of 654.38+300 million yuan over the previous year.

(6) The financial strength has been significantly enhanced.

Fiscal revenue and expenditure grew rapidly, and county-level financial support was enhanced. In 2005, the general budget revenue of local finance in the province reached 53.75 billion yuan, an increase of 30.9% over the previous year. Among them, the general budget revenue of Zhongyuan urban agglomeration increased by 34. 1% year-on-year, and the county-level general budget revenue increased by 44.5% on average, which was 3.2 and 13.6 percentage points higher than the provincial average respectively. There are 66 counties (cities) whose general budget revenue exceeds 1 billion yuan, of which 35 counties (cities) exceed 200 million yuan and Gongyi exceeds 654.38+0 billion yuan. The province's general budget expenditure exceeded10 billion yuan, reaching115.5 billion yuan, an increase of 26.8%. Among them, the expenditure of all levels of finance on improving rural production and living conditions reached 26.3 billion yuan, an increase of 6,665.438 billion yuan over the previous year, which was the year with the largest investment over the years.

The total amount of financial deposits and loans grew steadily, and the growth rate of various loans was uneven. The balance of RMB deposits in financial institutions in the province exceeded 1 trillion yuan, reaching 1000396 billion yuan, an increase of 13 1305 billion yuan over the beginning of the year and an increase of 296,438+0 billion yuan over the same period of last year. Among them, the balance of savings deposits was 648.855 billion yuan, an increase of 88 102 million yuan over the beginning of the year and an increase of/kloc-0.932/kloc-0.00 million yuan over the same period of last year. The balance of RMB loans of financial institutions was 743.453 billion yuan, an increase of 78.427 billion yuan over the beginning of the year and an increase of 5.906 billion yuan over the same period of last year. From the perspective of various loan structures, short-term loans and medium-and long-term loans increased slightly year-on-year, and bill financing increased more. Short-term loans increased by 24.724 billion yuan compared with the beginning of the year, with a year-on-year decrease of 65.438+27.2 billion yuan. Among them, short-term industrial loans decreased by 940 million yuan compared with the beginning of the year, up by 8.287 billion yuan year-on-year, and short-term agricultural loans increased by 654.38+07.08 billion yuan, up by 365.438+068 billion yuan year-on-year, due to the increase in credit supply from the Agricultural Development Bank and rural credit cooperatives. Medium-and long-term loans increased by 32.847 billion yuan compared with the beginning of the year, with a year-on-year decrease of 565.438+0.4 billion yuan. Bill financing increased by 20.699 billion yuan compared with the beginning of the year, an increase of 12885438+0 billion yuan year-on-year, which made up for some short-term industrial loans.

(7) The price trend has declined steadily.

The overall trend of market prices is stable and the structural changes are obvious. In 2005, the consumer price index of the whole province increased by 2. 1% year-on-year. On the whole, the annual consumer price runs smoothly, and the monthly increase basically fluctuates within a moderate range of 3%. From the structural point of view, the structural change of consumer price is obvious. Among the eight categories of commodity prices, the prices of medical care, household equipment, clothing and other commodities fell; The prices of housing, food, entertainment, education, cultural goods and services have risen significantly, which is the main factor driving the rise in consumer prices. Driven by the rising prices of water, electricity and fuel, the price of housing rose by 6.8% throughout the year, and the price of food and vegetables has been rising all the way since the beginning of the year, especially in the fourth quarter, with monthly increases of 35.7%, 46.0% and 42.66438+00 and 65.438+0 12 respectively. The rising prices of these necessities have had a certain impact on low-income groups.

Prices in the production sector have steadily declined. In 2005, the ex-factory price of industrial products in the whole province rose by 6. 1%, and after reaching 7.4% in July, it gradually fell back to 4.3% in 65438+February. The purchase prices of raw materials, fuel and power increased by 8.3%, down 2 percentage points from June 65438+ 10. The difference between the purchase price and the ex-factory price narrowed from 4 percentage points in June 5438+ 10 to 2.2 percentage points in February 65438+February.

The price of agricultural materials remained high, while the price of grain declined slowly. Judging from the monthly increase, the price of agricultural materials basically remained above 10% in the first half of 2005, and began to fall back month by month after July, and fell back to 2.5% in1February, but the price of agricultural materials still rose by 7.9% on average throughout the year. The grain market price is slowly falling, with the average annual price of wheat falling by 5.4% and the average price of corn falling by 6.7%. The two-way squeeze of rising agricultural materials and falling food prices has reduced farmers' income from growing grain.

(8) The living standards of urban and rural residents have improved steadily.

The income and expenditure of urban and rural residents maintained a relatively high growth. In 2005, the per capita disposable income of urban residents reached 8667.97 yuan, with a real increase of10.2%; The per capita net income of farmers reached 2870.58 yuan, a real increase of 7.5%. With the increase of income, the consumption demand of urban and rural residents has increased rapidly, and the per capita consumption expenditure of urban residents has reached 6038.02 yuan, an actual increase of11.7%; The per capita consumption expenditure of rural residents reached 189 1.57 yuan, with a real increase of 10.9%.

The employment work has achieved remarkable results. With the rapid economic development and the implementation of the employment and reemployment policy, 65,438+365,000 people were newly employed in cities and towns, and 647,000 laid-off and unemployed people were reemployed. The registered urban unemployment rate is 3.5%.

To sum up, in 2005, the national economy of the whole province showed a good development trend of high speed, high quality and strong vitality. According to the general law of economic and social development in various countries and regions in the world, when the per capita GDP of a country or region reaches 1000 US dollars, the urbanization rate exceeds 30%, and the investment rate remains above 35%, the economy will enter the stage of accelerated development. In 2005, the GDP exceeded one trillion yuan, the per capita GDP exceeded ten thousand yuan, the urbanization rate reached more than 30%, and the investment rate of fixed assets reached more than 40%, which indicated that the economic and social development of the province stood at a new strategic starting point and entered a new stage of comprehensively upgrading the industrial level, accelerating economic transformation and promoting all-round coordinated development.

Secondly, it analyzes the influence of market supply and demand environment changes on Henan's economic growth.

According to the analysis of market supply and demand environment in 2005, the high prices of coal, oil, alumina and precious metals led to the high prices of raw materials, fuel, purchased electricity and industrial products, which had both positive and negative effects on the economy of Henan Province, and there were many favorable factors in general. From the profit analysis of industrial enterprises above designated size, the main products of resource-based industries and traditional advantageous industries have become important support points for the rapid growth of industrial profits in Henan Province. In 2005, the newly-increased profits of industrial enterprises were mainly concentrated in mining industries such as coal, petroleum, nonferrous metals and nonmetallic minerals, smelting and rolling industries of nonferrous metals and ferrous metals, nonmetallic mineral products, agricultural and sideline products processing industries, food and beverage manufacturing industries, general equipment manufacturing industries, textiles and other industries, accounting for 76.9% of the newly-increased profits of industries above designated size. The top 40 industrial enterprises account for 32.5% of the province's total profits, including 8 upstream enterprises such as coal, crude oil, alumina, molybdenum and steel, accounting for 69.5% of the total profits of the top 40 enterprises. At the same time, the market vitality is enhanced, the supply and demand are well connected, and the profit contribution rate of small enterprises is significantly higher than that of large and medium-sized enterprises. Small-scale enterprises realized a profit of 34.228 billion yuan, an increase of 65.438+003.6%, which contributed 66.5% to the profit growth of the whole industry. However, due to the price increase of upstream industries, some enterprises suffered serious losses. In 2005, the loss of loss-making enterprises of industrial enterprises above designated size was 4.898 billion yuan, an increase of 23.9% over the previous year. Loss-making enterprises are mainly concentrated in petroleum processing and related enterprises, thermal power generation, electrolytic aluminum and other industries, and these industries are concentrated in some large-scale enterprises. 16 large loss-making enterprises lost176.9 billion yuan, up 12 1.9% year-on-year, accounting for 36.1%of the loss-making enterprises in the province; 15 1 loss of medium-sized loss-making enterprises178.6 billion yuan, down 2% from the previous year, accounting for 36.5%; The loss of 686 small loss-making enterprises was 65.438+34.3 million yuan, up only 0.7% year-on-year, accounting for 27.4%. The top 40 industrial enterprises account for 63.5% of the losses of loss-making enterprises in the province, of which 24 enterprises, including petroleum processing (2), thermal power (20) and electrolytic aluminum (2), account for 7 1% of the losses of the top 40 loss-making enterprises. At the same time, some enterprises suffered losses due to reduced market demand.

Looking forward to the market supply and demand environment in 2006 and comprehensively analyzing various factors, the growth rate of total demand in China may be slightly lower than that in 2005, while the growth of supply capacity will be faster, and the contradiction between supply and demand may appear in new forms. Although the shortage of resources has not ended, macro-control has initially curbed the excessive demand for investment products and some basic raw materials, and the capacity reduction of some industries will continue to accelerate, that is, overcapacity will gradually expand from consumer goods to basic products. The main reason for overcapacity is not the lack of demand, but the rapid increase of supply capacity. Judging from the changes in the price level in Henan Province, the general trend of prices will not change greatly in 2006, and the current basically normal pattern can still be maintained. The pattern of oversupply in consumer goods market will still put downward pressure on consumer goods prices. Due to a series of policies of the central government to encourage grain production, the fluctuation range of grain prices is limited. We can adjust the prices of some production factors and basic and resource goods and services related to people's livelihood, but the government's price control is still very strong, and it is expected that the consumer price of Henan Province will still show a moderate upward trend; The shortage of coal, electricity and oil transportation has eased, and the shortage of some important basic products is changing. The price increase of upstream and downstream may continue to fall, but it will still maintain a certain degree of increase. Judging from the pressure of overcapacity faced by individual industries, it will have a certain impact on the economic development of Henan Province in 2006. At present, there are serious overcapacity in seven industries, such as steel, electrolytic aluminum, ferroalloy, coke, calcium carbide, automobile and copper smelting, and there are potential overcapacity in industries such as cement, electricity, coal and textile. A considerable part of these industries are the main support points for the current production and benefit growth in Henan Province. Therefore, in 2006, due to the slowdown of demand growth and the continuous release of new supply capacity, the result of overproduction development is a decline in prices and profits, which in turn affects the willingness to produce, the willingness to invest and the further reduction of the supply of enterprises' own funds, which will directly affect the economic growth of Henan Province. Coal supply and demand will be stable and tight. From the perspective of coal supply in Henan Province, due to the re-approval of production capacity, technical transformation of some coal enterprises and the commissioning of new mines, it is expected that the output of state-owned key coal mines will increase in 2006, but the total growth is limited; In terms of coal demand, due to the commissioning of a large number of new thermal power units in 2006, the coal used for power generation in the province will increase by more than150,000 tons, and it is expected that the coal demand in Henan Province will increase significantly compared with that in 2005. According to the supply and demand situation in China, the coal output will increase steadily in 2006, and the number transferred from the main coal producing areas will also increase accordingly. However, with the cancellation of the government's intervention in the price of thermal coal and the inclusion of energy consumption reduction in economic and social development goals, unreasonable demand will be suppressed and imports will increase. In addition, the demand for electricity will slow down. In 2006, the supply and demand of coal in China will be basically balanced, slightly greater than the demand. According to this forecast, the general trend of coal supply in 2006 is mainly stable and tight, and the average price remains at the current level. Compared with the continuous and comprehensive shortage in the past, it will be more manifested in the shortage of time-limited, regional and variety supply, the coexistence of surplus areas and shortage areas, and the coexistence of surplus coal and shortage coal. Coal enterprises are still an important growth point of industrial production and benefit in Henan Province. There will be a surplus of electricity supply, and increasing supply and sales will become the top priority of the work. After June 5438+ 10, 2005, the power supply in Henan Province obviously appeared "inflection point" and entered the stage of supply exceeding demand. The main reason for the slowdown in power demand growth is that many electrolytic aluminum enterprises have reduced production or stopped production, and the electricity consumption of the steel industry has dropped significantly. In 2006, Henan province is expected to add 6 million kilowatts of installed power generation, and the installed capacity of the whole province will reach 34.6 million kilowatts by the end of the year. It is estimated that the electricity consumption of the whole society in the province will reach 654.38+052 billion kWh, up by more than 654.38+065.438+0% year-on-year; The maximum power consumption load of provincial power grids in summer may reach about 20 million kilowatts (in 2005, it was 654.38+0766 million kilowatts), an increase of about 654.38+04% year-on-year. According to this calculation, the power supply in Henan Province will be reliably guaranteed in 2006. The supply and demand are basically balanced during the peak load period in winter and summer, with a slight surplus, and there are more surpluses at other times, with the largest surplus in autumn, about 4 million kilowatts. A prominent feature of electric power production and operation will be that the average utilization hours of units in the province will drop sharply. Therefore, the focus of power work in Henan Province will change from "how to supply power" in the period of power shortage to "how to supply power" in the period of alleviating the contradiction between supply and demand. Accelerating the development of power grid, opening up the power market and striving to increase supply and marketing will become the top priority of this year's work. The profit margin of steel depends on the pace of industrial structure adjustment. From the domestic steel market, due to the centralized release of production capacity, the contradiction between supply and demand is more prominent, and the steel price has been in a downward trend since April 2005. The price of some construction steel products is close to or lower than the production cost, and the biggest drop is about per ton 1 10,000 yuan. In 2006, the iron and steel industry will continue to face the dual constraints of national macro-control policies and the market, and the price will also drop. Judging from the steel supply in Henan Province, there are currently 167 steel enterprises in the province, and most of them have less than 1 10,000 tons. In 2005, the output of pig iron was 9.73 million tons and the output of steel was133.74 million tons. In 2006, Henan Province will focus on accelerating the construction of10 million tons of world-class wide plate base for high-quality steel and Wugang, adding 2 million tons of steelmaking and 3 million tons of rolling steel, greatly increasing the proportion of special steel and high value-added products. At the same time, according to the newly promulgated China iron and steel industry development policy, some small and medium-sized iron and steel enterprises in Henan Province will be eliminated, and a number of small iron and steel projects newly put into operation in 2003-2005 will be eliminated by the market. Therefore, in 2006, the growth of steel production in Henan Province will slow down, the pace of product structure adjustment of enterprises will be further accelerated, and the impact of steel industry on the whole industrial benefit will not be too great. With the extension of the aluminum industry chain, the electrolytic aluminum industry will face an inflection point. Judging from the supply and demand of electrolytic aluminum, the national electrolytic aluminum production capacity has reached10.3 million tons in 2005, exceeding the market demand by 2.6 million tons. In 2005, the output of electrolytic aluminum in Henan Province was 6.5438+0.94 million tons, ranking first in the country, with a year-on-year increase of 20.7%. In macro-control, Henan Province eliminated electrolytic aluminum production lines with high energy consumption, high pollution and low level, such as 60 kA self-baking bath and pre-baking bath below 80 kA. At present, the average scale and technical level of electrolytic aluminum enterprises in Henan province are in a leading position in the country. The loss of the whole industry is affected by multiple factors, and the high price of upstream alumina is the main reason. Coal-fired power aluminum processing is an ideal industrial chain for aluminum industrial enterprises. In 2006, with the merger and reorganization of Jiaozuo Wanfang and other electrolytic aluminum enterprises, complementary advantages, cooperation between upstream and downstream enterprises, the construction of aluminum deep processing projects of Yichuan, Xin 'an Power Group and Chinalco Henan Company and the commissioning of alumina projects of some enterprises, the industrial chain of aluminum industry in Henan Province will be further lengthened, and the situation of serious losses of electrolytic aluminum enterprises will be improved. Generally speaking, the changes of these industries will have a certain impact on the industrial production and efficiency of the whole province in 2006, but the supporting role of some important industries such as food, textile, chemical industry and resource-based industries will not change greatly, and the economy of Henan Province is still likely to continue its development trend since this year and is expected to continue to maintain steady and rapid development.

Third, policy suggestions for the next step.

2006 is the first year of the 11th Five-Year Plan. With the economic strength leaping to a new level, the economic development of Henan Province has also entered an important transition period. We should continue to stabilize policies, make good use of opportunities, optimize the structure, enhance competitiveness, deepen reform and opening up, improve vitality, take accelerating development as the top priority, and strive to maintain a good momentum of economic development. At the same time, we should base ourselves on solving the current outstanding problems, adhere to scientific development, promote economic transformation and take substantial steps to promote the construction of a harmonious society.

(1) Stabilize policies and seize opportunities to ensure the steady and rapid economic growth of the whole province. In recent years, under the guidance of the policy of accelerating development and scientific development, the economy of Henan Province has achieved sound and rapid development. Under the general environment that Scientific Outlook on Development is clearly put forward by the state to lead the overall economic and social development, the economic development of Henan Province is facing quantitative expansion and qualitative improvement. Henan Province should continue to give priority to development, maintain the driving force of investment, speed up economic transformation, change the growth mode, speed up the adjustment of industrial structure, and speed up the transformation from resource advantage to economic advantage. Seize the opportunity, optimize the environment and improve the ability to undertake industrial transfer in the east and abroad; Clear positioning, strive for the greatest support of national policies and measures to promote the rise of central China, and ensure that the province's economy maintains a stable and rapid economic growth rate. At the same time, we should formulate strong measures for resource protection, conservation and supervision, improve the mechanism of scientific and technological innovation and its popularization and application, establish a conservation system in all fields of the whole society, advocate the concept of scientific consumption and development of the whole society, and ensure the sustainable development of the province's economy.

(two) to solve the current outstanding problems and strengthen the monitoring and early warning of economic operation. Timely follow up the new situation and new trends in the current national and Henan economic operation, especially some uncertain factors. Focus on the operation and market changes of power, coal, steel, electrolytic aluminum, building materials and other industries, timely pay attention to the adjustment of national policies, closely monitor the development direction and mutual influence of their changes, and actively take countermeasures. Continue to expand the consumption and investment demand in Henan Province, strengthen the operation adjustment, ensure the smooth operation of these industries, and prevent the fluctuation of these industries from causing a great impact on the economic operation of the province. Do a good job in turning losses into profits for key enterprises, strengthen the monitoring and analysis of large-scale loss-making enterprises, new loss-making enterprises and sustained loss-making enterprises, and put forward corresponding measures by classification. Make full use of the "forced" role of national macro policies and markets, accelerate the integration of resources, eliminate backward production capacity, guide enterprises to increase investment in technological transformation, lengthen the industrial chain and improve economic benefits.

(C) continue to strengthen the "three rural" policies and measures to maintain sustained and rapid growth of farmers' income. With the support of the policy of increasing agricultural production and supporting agriculture in the past two years, farmers' income has increased a lot. Due to the improvement of the base and the narrowing of the policy release space, it is more difficult to maintain the sustained and rapid growth of farmers' income. Therefore, while continuing to implement various subsidies to farmers and increasing investment in rural infrastructure and social undertakings, we should actively explore the establishment of a long-term mechanism for industry to feed back agriculture. At the same time, continue to promote the reform of the grain market and implement the minimum purchase price policy for key grain varieties; Strengthen the management of agricultural resources market, prevent the price of agricultural resources from rising too fast, and protect the interests of grain farmers; Continue to increase investment in rural labor skills training and vigorously develop the labor economy; Properly solve the problem of wage arrears for migrant workers and protect their legitimate rights and interests.