On June 5,438+10 in 2023, the sales performance of Baoding real estate enterprises reached the TOP 10, with a total turnover of 630 million yuan and a sales area of 5 1000 ㎡. Longji Taihe, Love Real Estate and Zhongxiang Real Estate are the top three in terms of sales amount and sales area respectively. Yanhua City ranks first in the project list and Love City ranks second. Looking forward to the market outlook, it is expected that with the stabilization and recovery of the macro economy, the strengthening of local stimulus policies and the return of housing demand, the Baoding real estate market may have a repair market.

Data source:

Special statement: the statistics of sales data of real estate enterprises are based on commercial houses (including commercial houses, office buildings, businesses, apartments, etc.). ) sales during the period of 65438+2023 1 October1are mainly based on the statistical scope of Baoding (statistical scope: Lianchi District, Jingxiu District, Mancheng District and Qingqing District). A few enterprises and projects that are not within the monitoring scope will be included in the statistical scope after examination. This report is for reference only and is not responsible for any direct or indirect losses caused by the use of this report and its contents.

According to the monitoring of the Central Hospital, in June 2023, the total sales amount of Baoding TOP 10 housing enterprises was 630 million yuan, with a total sales area of 5438+ 10/0000 square meters. Longji Taihe, Love Real Estate and Zhongxiang Real Estate are the top three in terms of sales amount and sales area respectively. In terms of sales, Longji Taihe, as a local real estate enterprise, ranked first in the rankings with sales of 97 million yuan; Love real estate ranked second with sales performance of 95 million yuan; Zhongxiang Real Estate ranked third with 85 million yuan. In terms of sales area, the sales areas of Longji Taihe, Aixin Real Estate and Zhongxiang Real Estate are 0.83 million square meters, 0.80 million square meters and 0.68 million square meters respectively. In addition, the sales threshold of TOP 10 housing enterprises is 28 million yuan/2.6 million yuan.

Data source:

Special statement: the statistics of sales data of real estate enterprises are based on the commercial houses and villas sold during the period of 65438+1October165438+1October 3, 2023, mainly based on the data items of sales records in Baoding area (statistical range: Lianchi District, Jingxiu District, Mancheng District, For a few enterprises and projects that are not within the scope of monitoring, the enterprises shall provide relevant documents, which shall be included in the statistical scope after examination. This report is for reference only and is not responsible for any direct or indirect losses caused by the use of this report and its contents.

In June 2023, 5438+ 10, the total sales amount of Baoding TOP 10 project was 440 million yuan, with a total sales area of 37,800 square meters, of which the threshold value of TOP 10 sales amount was 28 million yuan.

The Yanhuacheng project invested and developed by Hebei Shenbao ranks first in the project, with a sales amount of 68 million yuan and a sales area of 5,500 square meters. Yan Huacheng is a dual state-owned enterprise developer with high credibility. Since its opening in the second half of 2022, it has continued to sell well. The main units for sale are 3-4 units of119 ~186m2. The newly modified and improved device has been recognized by the market. Schools, parks, green spaces, businesses and other living facilities in the project are complete, with high traffic accessibility. The park is built around two parks and enjoys high-quality park landscape.

▍ Macroeconomic and policy environment

(1) The central bank and the China Banking Regulatory Commission established the first dynamic adjustment mechanism of housing loan interest rate policy.

On June 5, 2023, the central bank and the China Banking Regulatory Commission issued a notice to establish the first dynamic adjustment mechanism of housing loan interest rate policy. For cities where the sales price of newly-built commercial housing decreased month-on-month and year-on-year for three consecutive months during the evaluation period, the lower limit of commercial personal housing loan interest rate for the first set of housing will be relaxed in stages. According to the principle of city-specific policies, local governments can independently decide to maintain, reduce or cancel the lower limit of the interest rate of commercial personal housing loans for the first set of housing in the next quarter.

Previously, on September 29, 2022, the central bank and the China Banking Regulatory Commission issued the Notice on Phasing Adjustment of Differentiated Housing Credit Policies, clearly pointing out that before the end of 2022, eligible cities will gradually relax the lower limit of the first set of commercial personal housing loan interest rates. Subsequently, the lower limit of the first home loan interest rate in Wuhan, Tianjin, Wenzhou and other cities fell below 4%, and some cities canceled the lower limit of the interest rate, and the interest rate was implemented as of June 65438+February 3 1. The introduction of this policy means that the interest rate of the first home loan in some cities is expected to continue the previous level or be further lowered.

(2) Nearly 20 cities in China reduced the lower limit of the first home loan interest rate to below 4%.

During the period of 1, affected by the Spring Festival holiday, the frequency of policy regulation slowed down. As of 3 1, 53 real estate policies have been issued nationwide, mainly involving optimizing the purchase restriction policy, reducing the down payment ratio and mortgage interest rate, increasing the amount of provident fund, granting housing subsidies, and optimizing the supervision of pre-sale funds. Tangshan, Taiyuan and other places took the lead in adjusting the lower limit of the first home loan interest rate to 3.8%, and then actively followed up. In 2023, nearly 20 cities lowered the lower limit of the first home loan interest rate by 4% or less.

Figure: List of key cities for adjusting the first set of lower interest rates for commercial loans

Data source: Comprehensive arrangement by the Central Finger Institute.

Residential market

(1) house price: the price of new houses has basically stabilized, and the average transaction price of second-hand houses has been declining for 14 months.

New House: The average price of new commercial housing in Baoding in 5438+2023 10 was 8867 yuan/square meter, which was flat from the previous month and decreased by 0.63% compared with last year, and the decline was narrowed. Since the second half of 2022, the price of new houses has fluctuated little, showing a stable trend.

Second-hand housing: The average price of second-hand housing in Baoding continued to drop 14 months, and the average sample price this month was10/yuan/square meter, down 0.2 1% from the previous month, with a decrease of 0.02 percentage points. On a year-on-year basis, the average transaction price of second-hand houses continued to fall for more than 30 months, down 2.80% this month, down 0.36 percentage points from last month.

Figure: Average selling price and chain trend of new commercial housing in Baoding from 2020 to 2023.

Data source:

Market monitoring: /ytcrnn/

(2) Transaction scale: The transaction volume of commercial housing (excluding affordable housing) this month is 74,900 m? , down from last month.

This month, the real estate market in Baoding * * * main urban area issued four construction project planning permits and five commercial housing pre-sale permits, and the third phase of Jinxiu City, Haiyun Shi Jia, Yanhuacheng and other certified projects passed the certification, with a total of 14 12 sets of pre-sale houses, with a total area of 1566600 square meters.

This month, the transaction scale of commercial housing (excluding affordable housing) in Baoding main city was 74,900 m? Affected by the Spring Festival holiday, the transaction scale of commercial housing (excluding affordable housing) decreased by 29. 1% month-on-month and 5 1.6% year-on-year. Looking forward to the market outlook, it is expected that with the formalization of macro-economy, residents' willingness to buy houses will return, and the effect of local stimulus policies will appear, and Baoding property market will improve.

Figure: Monthly transaction of commercial housing (excluding affordable housing) in Baoding main city from 2022 to 2023.

Data source:

Market monitoring: /ytcrnn/

(3) Transaction structure: the market just needs to pick up, but the total price is1-2 million yuan and 9 million-160 m? Regional segmentation products are still the main force in the market.

Judging from the transaction structure, in June 2023, 5438+ 10, the overall commercial housing market in Baoding main city was still dominated by new and improved products, and the market just needed to pick up. In the total transaction price structure, the proportion of transactions in the total transaction price segment of1.5-20,000 yuan increased to 26%, up 4 percentage points from last year, which greatly supported the market improvement demand; The proportion of high-end improved products of 20,000-30,000 yuan continued to increase; 100- 1.5 million yuan accounted for the largest proportion, accounting for 34%, significantly lower than 202 1 and 2022; At the same time, the proportion of transactions below the total price segment 1 10,000 yuan this month has rebounded, and the market just needs to pick up. In the trading area structure, 90- 120m? The number of new products in the regional segmentation field accounts for the highest proportion, which is 4 1%, slightly lower than last year 1 percentage point; 120- 160m？ The number of improved products in regional segmentation accounts for 39%, ranking second, and the two types of products account for 80% of the overall market, with high market support; 90m？ The proportion of just-needed products in the following fields decreased slightly by 2 percentage points year-on-year, showing a shrinking trend, but among them, 60m? The proportion of the following sets of transactions has increased.

Figure: Total transaction price structure and transaction area structure of commercial housing (excluding affordable housing) in Baoding main city in 202 1-2023.

Data source:

Market monitoring: /ytcrnn/

Land market

(1) supply and demand of homestead and price: the transaction scale of homestead in the main city is 209 1 10,000 m? The land market is still depressed.

From June 5438 to June 2023 10, Baoding City launched 5 homesteads (including comprehensive land, the same below), with 8 transactions; The trading plan covers an area of 255,600 m? , down 55.2% year-on-year, and the average floor price 17 17.5 yuan /m? , a year-on-year increase of 26.7%, showing a trend of falling volume and price; The premium rate continues to be low, and the land market is deserted.

In June 2023, 5438+ 10, Baoding City launched 1 homestead, and the transaction was 1 plot; The planned transaction area is 83,200 m? , down 90.2% year-on-year, the average floor price 168 1 yuan /m? , a year-on-year decrease of18.8%; The land is sold at the reserve price, and the land market is less hot.

Figure: Residential land supply transaction and price trend in Baoding (main city) in 2022-2023.

Data source:

Market monitoring: /ytcrnn/

(2) Typical plot: The residential plot north of Juli Road and east of 18th Street in Xushui District, which was won by Shoukun Real Estate for 1.40 billion yuan, is the only plot clinched this month, with a price difference of 7,000 yuan /m? Probably, there is a certain profit margin.

On June 5438+ 10, 2023, Shoukun Real Estate won the residential plot north of Juli Road and east of Jingshiba Street in Xushui District for 65438+40 million yuan in the land market of Baoding main city, which was the only plot that was sold this month. The plot is planned as common commodity housing land, and the transaction floor price is 168 1 yuan /m? With a planned construction area of 83200m? There are many residential plots around the plot, and 4 homesteads (including comprehensive land) are sold within the range of 1km. The floor price of surrounding plots is mainly concentrated in 1680-2 100 yuan /m? Between, and the first Kun real estate bidding land price difference is not big; There are two competing products on sale within 3 kilometers around, the price is 9000 yuan /m? About 7000 yuan /m? Probably, there is a certain profit margin.

Photo: CREIS looks up data products to inquire about the surrounding situation of residential buildings in the north of Juli Road and the east of 18th Street.