There is no way to predict house prices, just as people's psychology is unpredictable. However, houses are different from other commodities, and China people's psychology is also different from economic laws. A few years ago, house prices soared, but there was a phenomenon of "buying more (making money) and buying more (making money by others)". The best solution is that people who really need a house raise money to build a house, which can control the cost and avoid the profits of the intermediate links (developers/real estate speculators). Otherwise, if the house price rises, you will earn money. In mortgage to buy a house, you can buy a house with a mortgage loan (as in previous years). In this way, people who have no money to buy a house can no longer afford to buy a house, and more and more houses can afford it.
Now that the central government is regulating housing prices, many local governments and developers, the "fans", are unwilling (all of them come together here). We are waiting for the house price to plummet, but we just can't. According to historical practice (the law of house prices in Japan and the United States), house prices should plummet by more than 40% now. It's a pity that people with "houses" in China are too rich (too powerful), and China's economic laws are often contrary to what economics has learned.
People who can afford a house are far less than those who sell it now, but the house price does not fall (they don't sell it); There is a bumper harvest of cabbage, and the price of vegetables in the market is still firm; There is only one mining cost for exploiting resources, and they are clamoring all day to keep up with the international situation and raise electricity and oil prices. Why don't they keep up with the international situation when it comes to lowering prices? The initiator of the contradiction between economic phenomena and economic laws in China is determined by the monopoly degree of various industries. The economic phenomenon of industries with less monopoly conforms to the economic law, while industries with more monopoly violate the economic law. Monopoly capitalism and market economy go hand in hand. The economic base determines the superstructure, and if the economic base is changed, it is still called socialism, just as an animal that eats grass is also called a herbivore.
The above views only represent that this person's views on the Internet have nothing to do with reality. It's a great honor to offend the relevant personnel by coincidence.
Sincerely wish: "All lovers in the world, all shall be well."