On February 8, 20021year, Shenzhen announced the establishment of a mechanism for releasing the reference price of second-hand housing transactions, and released the reference price of second-hand housing transactions in 3595 residential quarters in Shenzhen for the first time.
Ms. Qi, who originally planned to sign the house purchase contract in early February of 20021,gave up the subscription because of the sudden introduction of the reference price policy, which led to an increase in the down payment ratio of the loan. In February 2022, Ms. Qi told reporters that the listing price of the same apartment in the bonded area that she had been optimistic about was now 200,000 cheaper than the optimistic price at the beginning of last year.
There are not a few people who are affected by the second-hand housing guidance price mechanism like Ms. Qi. As of February 8, 2022, the policy has been implemented for one year, and the actual impact brought by the policy has obviously exceeded market expectations. The price of Bagualing dormitory, which had soared several times because of the school district housing effect, even fell from the highest of 6.5438+0.5 million to about 80 thousand today.
The monthly turnover hit a record low of nearly 10 years.
Recently, the latest data released by Shenzhen Housing and Construction Bureau shows that in June 2022, the transaction volume of second-hand commercial housing in Shenzhen was 230,500 square meters (20 19 sets), down 64.38% year-on-year; Among them, the transaction volume of second-hand commercial housing was 147300 square meters (1557 sets), down 75.04% year-on-year, less than a quarter of the transaction volume of second-hand housing in Shenzhen in 20021+0.
This means that the monthly turnover of second-hand commercial housing in Shenzhen has been lower than the annual lows of 202 1 and 1/1605 sets, once again refreshing the historical lows in the past decade.
In fact, since the introduction of 202 1 second-hand housing guidance price, the transaction volume of second-hand housing in Shenzhen has fallen across the board. The data shows that since April, 20021year, the volume of second-hand houses in Shenzhen has been declining for seven consecutive months, and it picked up slightly in June, but only 2 1 18 sets were sold, only one tenth of the highest volume in the past. In February, it continued to drop to 2076 sets.
From last year, in the first half of 20021,the transaction volume of second-hand commercial housing in Shenzhen decreased by 35% compared with the first half of 2020, the lowest in three years. In 20021year, the turnover of second-hand commercial housing in Shenzhen was only 40,699 sets, which was as high as 57.3% lower than that in 2020. This figure is the lowest value of 15 years since 2007.
Second-hand housing prices have fallen for eight consecutive months.
Shenzhen's second-hand housing market, while the turnover is stretched, the price of second-hand commercial housing is also in a state of decline. According to the information of the National Bureau of Statistics, in 20021year, the second-hand house price in Shenzhen dropped by 0.4%, which was the biggest drop among the first-tier cities and has been falling for eight consecutive months.
According to the transaction data of Leyoujia Store, since the introduction of the New Deal on February 8, the average transaction price of second-hand houses in Shenzhen has changed from the previous upward trend to a downward trend, with the largest decline in March, a slight rebound in April and a decline in May.
The transaction was sluggish, and some owners in Shenzhen gradually couldn't stand it. "Shenzhen second-hand housing has entered the market adjustment period from the guiding price. During this period, with the constant changes in the psychological expectations of buyers and sellers and the influence of internal and external factors, the result of the game between the two sides is that second-hand housing sellers are often the concession party. " Xiaolin, an intermediary familiar with the Shenzhen market, told reporters that since the introduction of the guiding price of second-hand houses last year, buyers are more willing to choose houses with prices close to the guiding price because of bank loans and other issues, so some sellers who are eager to sell hang out quotations below the market price.
A broker in Baihua District, Shenzhen once told reporters that all the houses recommended by their stores to customers at present are houses with relatively high price cuts, and some houses are two or three million lower than the highest point.
The price of the school district is loose.
Baihua District should be the most famous school district in Shenzhen, surrounded by "prestigious schools" such as Baihua Primary School and Shenzhen Experimental School, and it is the most sought after area for parents in Shenzhen. Although most of the houses in this area are more than 20 years old, Baihua once refreshed the transaction list of Shenzhen School District before the introduction of the second-hand housing guidance price.
Only one year after the implementation of the guiding price policy, coupled with the continuous improvement of educational measures such as "double reduction" and university area policy, Baihua no longer lost its former glory, and even the transaction of Baihua in the first half of last year was shocked to single digits.
For example, the Great Wall Garden, which was built in 1980s, is currently listed at 1 1.5 million, which is equivalent to139,000 per square meter, which is close to the guidance price of100000 per square meter. The Bagualing dormitory, which has soared several times because of the school district effect, has dropped from 6.5438+0.5 million to less than 80,000 now. The Guocheng Garden, which sold 300,000 yuan, sold 22.06 million yuan in June last year, equivalent to the unit price172,600 yuan/flat, which was 6.62 million lower than the transaction price of the same apartment in February last year.
In addition to the Baihua area, many school districts in Shenzhen have experienced price loosening this year. For example, in August last year, the Xiangmihu Hong Kong China Travel Service Community Auction House, which was blessed by two famous schools, auctioned at a listing price of 4 million below the market price; In September, the top degree room in Nanshan, Ruihuayuan, was sold at a price of 3 million yuan lower than the latest transaction price.
60% of second-hand houses are sold close to the guidance price.
According to the data of Leyoujia Research Center, since July, 20021year, the proportion of transactions of second-hand houses in Shenzhen with deviation rate below 10% has obviously increased. By the month of 1 1, the proportion of houses that deviate from the guide price 10% has reached 56%, which means that for every 10 suite sold, nearly 6 suites are close to the guide price.
According to the data of Shenzhen Zhongyuan Research Center, Longgang District has the highest second-hand transaction volume in Shenzhen in 20021year. In addition to the large volume, there is another important reason. The price in Longgang District is relatively low, which is less affected by the reference price. At present, the listing prices of Dragon Ball Garden, Lihu Garden, Keyuan Garden, Shenglonghua Garden and International Exhibition Garden in Longgang are all around 10% of the guide price.
According to Central Plains data, among the 202 1 Top 10 residential areas, Luohu District has the largest number of houses with listing prices around the guide price of10, reaching 108 sets, including City Tiandi Square, Baishi Garden, Pengxing Garden, Liancheng Meiyuan and Changfeng Garden.
For such a change, the insiders believe that after a year's baptism, the prices of various regions and buildings in Shenzhen can basically represent the real prices behind them, and only truly high-value regions and buildings can maintain the price stability and upward trend for a long time.