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Several problems about trading (1): intraday fluctuation.
On the problem of intraday fluctuation

In the first five years of futures, I also continued to do a lot of short-term, with some simple feelings.

I was also confused in the first four or five years of futures. Why? There is a simple reason. A complete freelancer, a person who is about to enter the third year of high school, has great pressure to support a family. I always feel that there seems to be no guarantee for doing this. I didn't know which day I was kicked out for four consecutive stops (my former friend experienced it and was scared at that time).

But I persisted, and in the process of summing up again and again, I realized some simple truths.

Before I talk about the band, I'd better talk about my mentality. Up to now, I have always thought that if you want to make money in the intraday band, you must be one-track. So what is a track? How can I get an orbit? That is, when you stubbornly believe that the market has been rising, continue to do more, don't short, until the trend changes your original view, and then you turn.

So, when is it time for you to determine the direction? Still have to start with the trend of the daily line or even the weekly line.

? I assume that the market has entered a period of shock, so in any case, the shock will definitely choose the direction in the end. The market will not fluctuate for no reason, there are always reasons, either low, medium-term adjustment or high blocked. Lack of motivation. So before looking at the shock, let's take a look at what the previous trend was like. If it has been a shock before, then you have to wait until the breakthrough begins. If it was an upward trend before, then you should insist that the price will go up. If it is a downward trend before, then you must insist that the price will fall. There is a stupid method, which is not good, but it is helpful for ordinary traders to look at the moving average and price. )。

Personally, I don't think it is necessary to do intraday band operation every day until there is a clear trend.

Borrowing Crowe's investment philosophy, that is, when the market fluctuates in the early stage, you have to wait until the breakthrough and the direction are clear, and then start to do intraday bands. If it goes up and then falls, we must adhere to a one-track thinking, that is, wait until there is important support before doing more. If there is no key support nearby, we should judge the range of callback, that is, 38.2%, 50%, 6 1.8%. Crowe stressed that admission should be made when the callback is 45%-55%. Similarly, don't change direction easily, absolutely not.

? We will refine it to the intraday band operation. When you determine the current general trend, there will be no hesitation in the intraday band. I've had this problem before. What am I doing in this position? Or are you short when you are blocked? Support level resistance level is usually two-way. When you are hesitant, you may have missed the price and the right point, thus missing a good opportunity to enter the market. I can only look at the closing price and chart and regret it. Not now, because you know, you have determined the direction of today's trend, such as rising, so stick to breaking through the high point and do more, and do more when falling meets support, and keep closing like this.

? After simplifying the operation and determining when to enter the market, I will talk about how to stop loss and how to take profit. In fact, the question of how to stop loss is a cliche. Everyone basically knows several commonly used stop losses, but I want to emphasize that the intraday price you made will never come back after breaking through the high point, and it will still come back after falling. In other words, your profit is not unlimited, the profit of one operation is limited, and you can't amplify the stop loss to filter the signal. I definitely don't think it will break high or stand still. So I insist on a small stop loss, and a stop loss of 3 or 4 price points is enough. When you open a position, the price is in the opposite direction. It can be used up quickly, and it doesn't matter if you earn less money, but at least you can avoid a huge loss caused by a wrong hard shoulder. In a Bible that we often talk about in futures, the biggest secret of investment is to keep the principal. You are wrong, the market has gone up again, you can go in again, you are not afraid of anything, just do it again, it doesn't matter.

? Let's talk about how to take profit first, and recommend a stupid method. You can use moving averages, especially10,20,60-day moving averages. If the rising speed is faster after the breakthrough, then take profit with the moving average of 10. If the price runs slowly after the breakthrough, use a 20-day or 60-day moving average to take profit. When is that 65438+? If you break through the moving average and start to fluctuate sideways, then there is another chance to support and do more, and break through the high point. Don't be afraid. If not, let's fix it first. Many fans have told me that they can't get the bill every time. I said if you take this method to take profits, stick to it. Yes, just stick to it. If you are bold, you can stop the loss to ensure the risk. You can spend more time, because the price increase is time to change space. If you don't give it time to rise, how can it bring you rich profits?

Here I want to talk about a very detailed problem, such as breaking through the high point and doing more with support. If the opening gap is high, the price may deviate far from the moving average and there is no way to see it. Then I'll teach you a way to look at the K-line low at 1 min. If the price breaks faster, then you can use the low point of the K line in the previous minute as the take profit. If the breaking speed is slow, you can use the K line of the previous minute. Many people think that when the price is upside down, they will not lose a lot of income. Believe me, I won't. I'll never make a lot of money if I run too fast. In other words, if today's prices continue to rise or even rise and fall, and run too fast, there will be no gain. Sometimes the price fluctuates too fast, and the fluctuation range is relatively large. How can you get big profits by running so fast?

Of course, many friends will definitely ask me this question. It is impossible for the daytime trend to go up every day. There will always be a decline, sometimes even for several days. Do you insist on long and discontinuous losses? Let me talk about my own judgment first, no matter whether today's opening is high or low. It's no use. If the price is high, you can go low or high. You must wait. If the price keeps going up after the opening and deviates from the opening price, I don't think today's market will run down so easily. If the price fluctuates sideways after the opening, you can follow up after the breakthrough. If the price goes down after the opening, I emphasized it before. Do you insist on one-track thinking to avoid hesitating to do long or short when placing an order? How do you know that the market has fallen today? Have you divined? After the opening, I saw that the price continued to go down, just wait for the price to return to the opening price, and then do more, otherwise I will stand still, motionless, not afraid, and the principal will not lose a dime.

Some people will say that the main force will make a trap, sometimes it will go up, and then it will start to plummet, and the market will continue to fall. We are not afraid of this, because there is a stop loss. Sometimes the price will fall first and then rise, then we will stare at the opening price line to see if the price will rise or fall, and then find a suitable time to enter the market to do more. If you can't pass, just watch it pass. You can play whatever you want, but I just won't enter.

In addition, it should be emphasized that the issue of fund management cannot be called fund management. One day you will faint or the market will become extreme. Remember, when you make mistakes in succession, you should stop and see how much you lost today. Don't lose too much every day. 5% is enough. If it exceeds this number, no matter what the market is like next, shut down and leave, change your mood and keep the principal.

In addition, for positions, if they are in the day, they can be held in heavy positions. As long as you don't hold positions overnight, what are you afraid of? What's the use of light warehouse, but still lose money? If there are more heavy positions, funds will accumulate. As for how to use it, different people have different opinions. When closing the case, look at your own statement. If it is correct many times, you can try to weigh your position in the future. If the number of correct times is less, put the position a little lighter. If there are too many mistakes, then I tell you, you must be wrong. You have to stop and sort out last month's list one by one. Why do you place an order at this time? Why don't you run at this point? Why is this point more than this point?