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Four common profit models of futures trading
Lead: In futures speculation, there are many profit models, such as intraday trading, short-term trading, band trading, mid-line trading and long-term trading. Different people produce different results in different periods, so we can only choose according to ourselves and market conditions after understanding the principles and skills of various models.

I. Introduction of profit model

(1) intraday trading mode

There are two modes of intraday trading.

1, quick mode. It refers to the trading mode in which traders hold positions for several seconds or more in order to obtain the price difference of several points or dozens of points in a certain period of time or position. For this model, the trading principle is to make profit when the price fluctuates greatly in an instant under the action of a certain factor. For example, the influence of the external disk, the breakthrough and false breakthrough of the support level and pressure level in the disk, and the sudden news.

2. Intra-day trend trading mode. It refers to the trading mode of holding positions for dozens of minutes or hours and closing positions on the same day to earn the trend profit of the day. For this model, the trading principle is to use the price to run along the obvious trend direction on the same day, buy low and sell high or buy high and buy high to obtain the price difference. Such as unilateral operation of a band or trend.

(B) Short-term trading model

It refers to the trading mode of opening positions on the same day and closing positions within the next day or a few days along the direction of the market. Its trading principle is that the market has an obvious running direction, and the development of market trends often has a process, which is the inertia of the trend. No adjustment is accepted in the process of holding positions, and once the trend energy is weakened or lost, the position will be closed immediately.

(3) Band trading mode

Refers to the trading mode of buying at the support level, closing at the pressure level or selling at the pressure level, and closing at the support level. The holding time is about 3- 10 days. The principle of trading is that when the market breaks through a consolidated intensive trading area, it will quickly move to the next intensive trading area. Such as oscillating operation with obvious trend direction or box operation without direction. The latter is more difficult to grasp the opportunity than the former. A small adjustment of one to three days can be accepted during the position holding process.

(D) Long-term trading model

It refers to the trading mode of opening positions at the beginning of the trend, opening positions at the end of the callback, and closing positions at important positions or time periods. The holding time is about one to three months or even one year. Its trading principle is that the market is always in a cycle, and when one trend ends, it will inevitably lead to the beginning of another trend; Moreover, the market operation is not a simple straight-line rise or fall, but a tortuous development to digest unfavorable factors. Although you accept the adjustment in the process of holding positions, you should pay attention to profit protection to prevent misjudgment.

Second, the operating requirements of the trading mode

(1) Operating requirements for intraday trading and short-term trading modes

1, we should fully understand the characteristics of this model: high winning rate, low profit, heavy reaction ability and light analysis ability;

2. Be able to quickly assess the general atmosphere and potential trend of the whole market;

3. Pay attention to all factors one minute before the opening in the morning, and plan different scenarios and operation plans in your mind;

4. Be sure to keep your operation direction consistent with today's market trend and grasp the market psychology as soon as possible;

5. Evaluate the strength of the market at any time, such as detecting support and resistance areas, moving averages and common chart forms;

6. Be able to judge the potential strength in the market and the potential buyer's strength and seller's strength;

7. Know the usual price fluctuation range. If today's price change has exceeded or approached its usual fluctuation range, then immediately collect profits.

8. Don't try to look for short selling or bargain hunting in short-term mode;

9. When the reality is different from the expectation, reduce the transaction scale or stop the transaction.

10, only one variety is made in the plate;

1 1, except for special circumstances, such as false breakthroughs at important points, trading in only one direction every day;

12. Use funds reasonably according to its own ability and market conditions, and strictly set and execute stop losses;

13, every profit-taking is active, calm and not forced.

(2) Operating requirements of band trading mode

1, which can judge the support and pressure level of support and pressure level;

2. Have the courage to quickly open positions at the support level and pressure level;

3. Dare to sacrifice profits and risk misjudgment, and accept small adjustments;

4, according to their own experience, ability and market conditions, rational use of funds, and strictly set and implement stop loss;

5, to know how to protect profits, that is, set take profit.

(3) Operating requirements of medium and long-term trading mode

1, we should fully understand the characteristics of this model: low winning rate and high profit;

2. Having strong financial strength and being able to accept the losses caused by successive misjudgments, they still have the strength and courage to intervene;

3. Dare to sacrifice profits, take the risk of misjudgment and accept adjustment;

4. Seriously analyze, stick to your own views and not be influenced by various remarks;

5. According to the price operation process, maximize profits by adding positions, instead of one-time heavy positions or Man Cang;

6. Strictly set and execute the stop loss;

7. Know how to protect profits, that is, set up take profit;

8. When it is found that the nature of the trend has changed, the position should be closed quickly.

Third, the mode selection method

For a long time, traders, especially novice traders, have never considered what trading mode to use, or don't know what trading mode to use, or handle all trading opportunities in one mode. Because their trading ideas are very vague, the trading results are not ideal. So how to choose the trading mode?

(a) according to personal conditions and ability to choose

1, a part-time trader, who does not do intraday trading, can choose short-term (accumulate and enrich trading experience as much as possible) or mid-line;

2. Inexperienced traders can do less, watch more and summarize more in a short period of time, use simulation sheets to verify and accumulate judgment experience, and use actual combat sheets to accumulate operation experience and cultivate operation skills;

3. Traders with strong analytical ability, rich operational experience and strong financial strength can choose medium and long-term trading, and at the same time use short-term intraday trading or intraday trading to expand the use of funds.

(two) according to the market operation state and operation time.

Although the operation periods and principles of the four modes are different, the success rate is still one-way strong trend or oscillation operation. Therefore, no matter any transaction, we should try to follow the trend and adapt to the market;

1, the market is in the box operation, so it is recommended to choose intraday or ultra-short line;

2. When the market fluctuates upward, choose the band trading mode of support level; In operation, the intra-day or short-term mode can be selected according to the intensity in recent days;

3. When the important reversal pattern is formed or the long-term consolidation is over, choose the medium and long-term trading mode; In operation, you can choose intra-day or short-term mode according to the trend strength in recent days;

4. When the holiday is coming, it is recommended to choose intraday or short-term trading mode;

5. When it is about to face important resistance and support, it is recommended to choose intraday or short-term trading mode;

6. When the publication date of important commodities and economic data approaches, it is suggested to choose intraday or short-term trading mode.

7. When major events occur, it is recommended to choose intraday or short-term trading mode.

8. When the price trend accelerates, it is recommended to choose intraday or short-term trading mode.

Observing the market is the most important thing. Although everyone sees the same price fluctuation, everyone's trading behavior after watching the market is ever-changing. Only a few people can find a good trading opportunity by observing the market and seize it. Observing the market is more important than forecasting it.

First of all, observing the market must observe the state of the market, that is, whether the market is in a bullish state or a short state, a trend state or a consolidation state. This is a macro judgment. I believe that most investors have this ability, because we can hear many people have a clear judgment on this, whether it is in an upward trend or a downward trend, or in a consolidation oscillation. This judgment is easy to make, but after making this correct judgment, we still can't really trade, because a principled judgment can't be translated into concrete actions. But it is important to make this judgment. Since it is a principled judgment, it can naturally help us avoid making principled mistakes.

Secondly, the main object of market observation is price, and investors must firmly establish this concept. Any technical tool serves the price. In any market, you can't make technical tools fully support the operation of prices, because any technical tools only adapt to a certain state of prices, not all. In the trend market, focus on the moving average or trend line, in the oscillating market, focus on random or oscillating indicators, and can be verified by time periods when breaking through the market. We must observe whether the nature of the market has changed. With the basic market observation ability, it is not difficult to do this. The above transactions can be simply summarized as: preliminary trading according to the moving average, breaking through key points (such as the high and low points of the consolidation range, etc.). ) is to confirm that our initial transaction is correct and then follow up.

After taking this most crucial step, we still have a lot of work to do. First, the initial stage of breakthrough is the most important and difficult period. First of all, we must observe whether the price returns to the key point of breakthrough. As long as we don't return to the key point of breakthrough, any repetition is only a further test of the market. At this time, you must not stand the test and go out by yourself. If the price returns to the breakthrough point, we must first observe the further evolution of the price, and the action after observation is the same as that mentioned above. If it is really a big market, the price will inevitably keep hitting new highs (or new lows). As long as the price keeps going out of the new high (new low), it means that the trend continues. Of course, there will be a constant rebound or retracement of prices during the operation, but at this time, the moving average has kept up, which will protect your profits. And as long as you successfully pass the initial stage of the breakthrough, you are completely in a favorable position. At this time, you can not only use the moving average to make profits, but also calmly use various means such as the golden section to judge whether the market is in an adjustment rebound or a possible reversal. At this time, we focus on whether the price is still at a new high (new low), so as to judge whether the trend continues. As long as the trend continues, we will continue to hold positions and fully increase our positions.