After the news that the US aircraft carrier returned to the Yellow Sea in the past two days was confirmed by the US Department of Defense, Dai Xu, a colonel of our Air Force and a well-known domestic hawk from the theoretical source of the "C" encirclement circle, once again wrote an article in the newspaper about the struggle between China and the United States for control of the South China Sea and the Yellow Sea, and it is very likely that proxy war will break out. The idea of the article is very clear. China and the United States will definitely compete for control of the offshore of China. However, this war will be fought by the agents of China and the United States. I feel that the basis of this theory is that the United States has fought proxy war several times before. But it will take time to determine whether this theory is appropriate between China and the United States. From now on, it is unlikely that the United States and China will fight proxy wars, especially in the South China Sea and the Yellow Sea. Although the Yellow Sea is close to the gateway of two capital cities, it is also close to the Korean Peninsula, that is, the sea between China and North Korea and South Korea. The Korean peninsula is a powder keg in Central Asia. North Korea and South Korea, the war 60 years ago is still fresh in their memories. The same is true of China and the United States. For the United States, this war should be a scar in their hearts. If American hawks want to fight proxy war around the Korean Peninsula and China, it is unlikely. Although South Korea's military strength is much stronger than North Korea's, it is not afraid to wear shoes barefoot, and North Korea is not a vegetarian. The artillery deployed on the 38th parallel alone can make Seoul the second Baghdad in an hour. South Korea will also have scruples about this. In particular, the wartime command of South Korea is still in the hands of the United States, that is to say, when a real war breaks out, the South Korean army needs the command of the United States. So the agency can't be established. It is even less likely that North Korea will become an agent of China. If North Korea could be China's agent, they wouldn't always carry out nuclear tests behind China's back. North Korea never listens to China. Only when it was in trouble internationally did it turn to China for help. They know that no matter how they behave, China will not abandon them. Now it is North Korea that favors China, not China that favors North Korea. Therefore, North Korea is even less likely to be China's agent. If something happens to the Yellow Sea, it is most likely that there will be another Korean War. Although China has territorial sea and island disputes with several countries in the South China Sea, on the whole, these countries are reluctant to act as agents of the United States. Although Vietnam had a war with China in the late 1970s and 1980s, the United States did more harm to this country. Whether their people can agree to let them fight a war with or on behalf of the United States is also a question. Not to mention several other countries. They are so close to China, thanks to the tariff-free treaty between China and ASEAN. If China goes to war with the United States, whether it is a direct conflict or a conflict between agents, they must be allowed to take sides, which is something that all ASEAN countries have been unwilling to do. Especially relying on China's economic development, everyone hopes to occupy a place in China, an economic giant. No country is stupid. When it comes to their own interests, they always have small plans. This is not something that the United States or China can help them. At the same time, they do have a strong demand for China's territory, and the United States has seized this point and recently made bad relations with Vietnam. Externally, it seems to be helping Vietnam contain China. In fact, there is no more suitable country around the United States. From Malaysia? On the one hand, they are mainly Muslims. On the other hand, there are many Chinese in Malaysia, and unlike Chinese in other countries, they have a strong voice in national politics. In fact, the Philippines is most likely to stand with the United States, but with the improvement of Sino-Philippine relations, unlike Vietnam in the South China Sea, the Philippines has not occupied many islands. For the sake of several islands to help the United States fight against China, Vietnamese and Malaysians occupy most of the islands, and it is not a loss for them. In the South China Sea, Vietnam is the most likely country to go to war with China for islands. While Viet Nam is not only adjacent to China on the territorial sea, but also adjacent to China on the land border. So once the war breaks out, for China, the navy and the army can come together. With the lessons of the war 20 years ago, China would not have lost so many people. Moreover, it is very likely to break through Hanoi in the first place and support a pro-China leader to come to power. This is a real danger for Vietnam. Therefore, it is unlikely that Vietnam will take the initiative to go to war with China. Vietnam now wants to benefit from the Sino-US dispute. On the one hand, knowing that China didn't want to fight for the sake of economic construction and that the United States was behind it, it occupied the island first and then robbed the oil resources. When China was able to go to World War I, they actually got a lot. Even losing a few islands is nothing. In terms of economic strength, there is. As far as political strength is concerned, no. But war is not guaranteed by economic strength. Before World War II, Germany's economic strength was strong enough, but it could not beat the Soviet Union. Developed countries all participated in the United Nations Army in the Korean War, but they did not win. Not to mention the Vietnam War. Take the current wars in Iraq and Afghanistan as an example. America won the war, but it lost. China now looks around, and there are very few real friends. Except Pakistan, it is one. Even North Korea is not a friend of China. Without friends, who will represent you? Even if a few small countries help you fight a war for money, can they really fight it? I can't. China's money can only be sent to Shui Piao. In addition, what is the agent's war. Does Vietnam War count? No. Because this war is at China's doorstep, if China doesn't help Vietnam, then the United States will pose a threat at China's southern gateway. The South China Sea is even more untenable. For China, the Vietnam War was for national security; For Vietnam, this is the difference between national subjugation and immortality. Without them to represent us, they will fight by themselves. The war of agents should be a war between big countries and small countries for some political or economic interests. And agents, these small countries will act as agents in order to realize their own interests with the help of big countries. Does not include the war of national unity and national security. If all these are counted, then the civil war fought by China Producers' Party and Chiang Kai-shek Kuomintang is also proxy war of the United States and the Soviet Union. The Korean war is not counted, because the countries represented have all been on the battlefield, and the main battles have been completed by the countries represented. How can it be considered a proxy war? Besides, China's ideology is quite different from that of neighboring countries. Although they are all socialist countries, North Korea does what Marx did. Vietnam and China are very similar, but there was a border war between the two countries. The ideology of other countries is completely different from that of China. What's more, they are very wary of China, a regional power, and bringing the United States in is actually balancing China's power in this region. From their point of view, who would like to become a vassal of China again? Although it is much better to be a vassal state of China than a colony of the West in history, which country does not want to be independent. So, looking around, no country can be China's agent. To be sure, no! Since Comrade Xiaoping started the reform and opening up, economic construction has become the focus of China and won the support of all the people in China. China in particular is not ready to face the United States. Some people say that the Korean War has been won. Why can't we fight the United States? Not surprisingly, the Soviet Union was behind China at that time, and now China has only itself. The United States makes money by fighting, while China spends money by fighting. No matter how rich you are, you can't compete with America. In particular, our foreign exchange reserves have also purchased a large number of US Treasury bonds. If the United States freezes China's assets in case of war, what money do you have? In addition, there is no country around China that can act as an agent, so it is impossible to fight this kind of war. 1. Korean enterprises in China are taxed according to China state-owned enterprises. Second, stop importing all goods from South Korea. 3. Stop all goods exported to Korea. Fourth, investigate the Cheonan incident and confirm that South Korea did it itself. 5. Stop all contacts with South Korea. Sixth, and most importantly, discredit South Korea through various channels of public opinion.