In 20 13, the internal and external environment faced by China's foreign trade development may be slightly better than that in 20 12, but the superposition of international and domestic risk factors will still cause great pressure on China's foreign trade development, mainly in the following aspects: First, the contradiction of insufficient external demand has not been fundamentally alleviated. With the weak recovery of the world economy and high risks, the problem of insufficient orders of China's export enterprises is still outstanding, especially the situation of less orders, more small orders, less long orders and less large orders will continue.

Second, the influence of trade friction continues to increase, and China is the biggest victim of trade protectionism; Third, the task of changing the mode of foreign trade development is more urgent. The rapid rise of factor cost in China has weakened the cost competitiveness of manufacturing industry to some extent. With the profound changes in the domestic and international environment, it is difficult for China's foreign trade to maintain the sustained high-speed growth in previous years.

2. The improvement of external demand is not obvious:

The world economy has entered a period of deep transformation and adjustment, and the trend of low-speed growth will continue. The foundation of economic recovery is not stable, and its positive effect on China's foreign trade is limited. The improvement of external demand is not expected to be obvious.

With the gradual release of a series of policies to promote foreign trade with steady growth and the introduction of subsequent supporting policies, it is predicted that China's export growth rate will pick up in 20 13, but it is difficult to improve significantly, and it will still be far lower than the average growth rate in the past 10, and the import growth rate will increase.

In the first half of 20 13, the external demand situation is difficult to improve obviously, and foreign trade will basically continue the low-speed growth trend in 20 12 years. During this period, due to the financial cliff problem in the United States and the Spring Festival in China, the growth of foreign trade will fluctuate temporarily. 20 13 in the third and fourth quarters, if global uncertainties gradually become clear, the growth rate of China's foreign trade is expected to continue to increase.

3, the export growth space is limited:

International experience shows that the high growth of China's exports may have peaked (its share in global GDP is less than 3%, and its share in global exports is less than 10%). This means that the golden age of China's traditional high-speed export growth model has passed, and the medium and long-term export growth space is limited, which will stabilize at a low level.

Looking forward to 20 13, in the process of deleveraging of private and public sectors in developed countries such as the United States and Europe, the deficit will inevitably be corrected. Accordingly, the trade surplus between China and other newly industrialized countries will be reduced. China's export competitiveness is steadily declining. The general trade deficit dominated by commodity imports will continue to expand, the overall surplus will narrow, and the proportion of trade surplus to GDP will further decline.

20 13 The international environment forced China to expand domestic demand, improve its innovation ability and promote the transformation of foreign trade development mode. Change from labor-intensive industrial structure to capital-intensive and technology-intensive industrial structure, and expand the export orientation of high-tech industries.

Cultivate brand, marketing network, research and design, and realize the transformation from "Made in China" to "Created in China". We will continue to stabilize and expand the proportion of exports in the international market, give play to the supporting role of imports in structural adjustment, and promote the balance of payments.

Extended data:

Matters needing attention in foreign trade:

1. At the initial stage of foreign trade negotiations, proforma invoices were made for customers' quotation, trade reference or application for import license.

2. Sign a foreign trade contract after the transaction is confirmed.

3. When preparing for delivery, make commercial invoices, packing lists, verification forms, customs declarations, commodity inspection declarations, etc.

4. After the customs declaration, the customs returns the verification form, the verification form of foreign exchange receipt in the customs declaration form, etc.

5. Get the bill of lading after delivery (sometimes make an electronic bill of lading directly).

6. If the payment method is letter of credit, etc. You need to prepare, apply and sort out a complete set of documents required by customers, such as invoices, packing lists, commodity inspection certificates, certificates of origin, beneficiary certificates, etc. In order to collect money.

7. Write-off and tax refund shall be handled by receipt, bank receipt, verification certificate and customs declaration.

Baidu encyclopedia-foreign trade