Many people know that the previous devaluation was caused by everyone in Japan. For example, 1995 Great Hanshin Earthquake, No.79 shock 1 USD, the yen began to depreciate for three consecutive years (1997 During the Asian financial crisis, Japan did not intervene in the market as a responsible big country, which led to a sharp depreciation of the yen, aggravated the imported inflation of Asian countries, and severely cut the wool of Southeast Asian countries-not this time. It was the Diaoyu Islands incident that provoked China's economic sanctions against Japan, which could almost interrupt Japan's export-driven economy of high value-added industrial goods and high-tech products. Japan's exports are finished, domestic demand is insufficient, and the lifeline of the national economy is worrying. This time, the depreciation of the yen was forced by Japan, not because Japan wanted to depreciate.

Therefore, once the long-term appreciation trend of the yen is over, it will enter a long-term depreciation trend. The Diaoyu Islands incident in September 20 12 ended the long-term appreciation trend of the yen for 40 years (1973, during the second oil crisis, the yen rose to 308 yen 1 US dollar, which was the beginning of the long-term appreciation of the yen). 100 for RMB 8 is difficult to achieve in two or three years (converted to 78 yen 1 USD), and 100 for RMB 7.5 is also difficult to achieve in a few months (converted to 82 yen 1 USD), unless the European debt crisis rises and the euro falls back to/kloc-. In more than five years since 2007, the yen exchange rate has experienced a wave of sharp appreciation (124 yen 1 US dollar) from 2007 to 20 1 February (76 yen1US dollar). From the end of September of 20 12, it began to depreciate continuously (77 yen against 1 USD to the current 90 yen against 1 USD), and entered the order stage of 20 13 Spring Festival (or from February to April). The yen will depreciate considerably (for example, 20 1 February 76 yen against the US dollar 1-84 yen 201end of March 2 against the US dollar1), so the exchange rate may be around 20 100 yen. Moreover, the Diaoyu Islands incident shows that China may impose various sanctions on Japan, which will lead to a crisis in the Japanese economy and change the long-term appreciation trend of the yen into a long-term depreciation. (From 1998 to 2007, the average fluctuation range of the yen was 100- 120 yen pair 1 USD, equivalent to 65438+. Therefore, it is suggested that when the situation is uncertain, it is best to hold RMB, so as to preserve the value (long-term preservation and appreciation of RMB). I have done foreign exchange myself, but now I have all the Japanese yen. Maybe the euro or dollar is better than the yen.

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