The most important data is:

1, non-farm employment data and unemployment rate:

Last month's information is published on Friday of the first week of each month.

It is a barometer of a country's macroeconomic development. The decrease of unemployment rate and the increase of non-agricultural employment population indicate that the economy is improving and interest rates may rise, which is beneficial to the US dollar. On the contrary, it is not good for the dollar.

2. Trade balance:

Information two months ago is released on Thursday of the second week of each month.

It reflects the income and expenditure of the country's total foreign trade in a period of time. The inflow of trade currency MINUS the outflow is a positive trade surplus and a negative trade deficit. If the trade deficit widens, it reflects that the amount of imports exceeds exports is expanding, indicating that American goods are not as attractive as foreign goods, and American policymakers are likely to take action to devalue the dollar to improve the trade deficit, which is not good for the dollar. On the contrary, the decline in the trade deficit is beneficial to the dollar. In some countries, if the trade balance is a surplus, the increase of the surplus is conducive to the strength of the country's currency.

3. Gross domestic product:

At the end of 1, 4, 7 and 10 every year, the initial value of the previous quarter is published, and the revised value is published twice in the next two months.

GDP represents all economic activities of a country, no matter who owns production assets. For example, if a foreign company sets up a subsidiary in the United States, even if its profits are remitted to the parent company of other countries, its profits are still part of the GDP of the United States. The high GDP figure shows that the country's investment efficiency is good, overseas funds are easy to flow in, and its currency value will naturally climb.

4. Interest rate decision and meeting details

It will be announced at the beginning of each month and the details of the meeting will be announced two weeks later.

If the interest rate is raised, the interest on holding the country's currency will increase, which will attract more buyers and benefit the country's currency.

5, Japan's short view report

Published at the end of each quarter or the beginning of the next quarter.

Short view is one of the main indicators of Japan's prosperity. Historically, the short-term enterprise data released by the Japanese government every quarter is very representative and can accurately predict the future economic trend of Japan. Every quarter, the Japanese government will investigate the future industrial trends of nearly 1 10,000 enterprises. Respondents are divided into manufacturing enterprises and non-manufacturing enterprises, and each enterprise is divided into large, medium and small enterprises. The survey investigates the confidence of enterprises in the short-term economic prospects, as well as their views on the current and future economic situation and the company's profit prospects. Negative numbers indicate that more companies are pessimistic about the economic outlook than optimistic ones, while positive numbers indicate that more companies are optimistic about the economic outlook than pessimistic ones.

The second kind of data:

1, capital flow data:

Data from two months ago will be released every month from 16 to 19.

The data is for capital flows of US bonds and stocks, excluding direct investment.

2. Current account:

The data of last quarter is published in March, June, September, June and 65438+February every year.

The current account is the main item in a country's balance sheet, which records the capital outflow and inflow between a country and foreign countries, including the import and export of goods and services, investment income, income from other goods and services and unilateral transfer.

If the balance is positive (surplus), it means that the country's net foreign wealth or net foreign investment has increased. If it is negative (deficit), it means that the country's net foreign wealth or investment has decreased. If a country's current account deficit widens, its currency will depreciate.

3. Retail sales:

Last month's data will be released every month, from 1 1 to 14.

Reflect the commodity transactions in the form of cash and credit cards in the retail industry except the service industry. The increase of retail sales represents the increase of personal consumption expenditure and the improvement of economic situation; On the other hand, if the retail sales decline, it means that the economy is slowing down or not good, and interest rates may be lowered, which is not good for the US dollar.

4. Consumer price index (CPI):

Last month's data is released in the third week of each month.

It reflects the price changes that consumers currently spend on goods and services, shows the changes of inflation, and is an important indicator for people to observe inflation in this country.

The third kind of data:

1. Durable goods order:

Generally, the data of last month is released from 22nd to 25th of each month.

Refers to the ordering of vehicles, electrical appliances and other non-perishable items, reflecting the manufacturer's production and investment expenditure in a short period of time. He represents the manufacturer's production quality next month.

2. Leading indicators:

Most of the statistical results of last month are published on the last working day of each month.

The leading indicators are a series of related economic indicators composed of 12, which are used to test the overall economic transformation and predict the most effective statistical indicators in the future economic trend. If the leading indicators decline for three consecutive months, it can be predicted that the economy is about to enter recession; If it rises for three consecutive months, it means that the economy is about to prosper or continue to prosper. Usually, leading indicators have a lead time of 6 to 9 months. According to the economic bulletin board issued by the U.S. Department of Commerce, the economic decline can be predicted 1 1 month before the economic recession, and the economic recovery can be predicted three months before the economic expansion.

3. Factory orders:

It reflects the demand of consumers, manufacturers or governments for future commodity output.

4, industrial production:

The statistical results of last month are published on June 5438+05 every month.

It is a measure of the real output of manufacturing, mining and public utilities, based on quantity, not amount. The upward trend of the index means that the economy is improving and the interest rate may be raised, which should be beneficial to the US dollar, but not to the US dollar.

5. Producer price index:

Producer price index (PPI) mainly measures the price changes of various commodities at different production stages. Generally speaking, the rise of producer price index is mostly bullish on the dollar; The decline of producer price index is unfavorable.

6. Consumer confidence index:

It reflects the people's optimism about its economic development, and predicts the future changes of consumption expenditure.

7. Purchasing Managers Index:

The first week of this month.

A barometer reflecting the comprehensive development of manufacturing industry in terms of production, order, price, employees and delivery, usually takes 50% as the dividing line. Above 50% is considered as manufacturing expansion, while below 50% means economic contraction. If it is very close to 60, the threat of inflation will gradually increase.

Generally speaking, unless the price is out of control and there is uncontrollable hyperinflation, investors are likely to expect the Fed to tighten interest rates and raise them. When the index is below 50%, especially very close to 40%, there is the worry of economic depression. It is generally expected that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates to stimulate the economy.

The Chicago Purchasing Managers Index will be released the day before the release of the National Purchasing Managers Index, which is a part of the National Purchasing Managers Index. The market usually expects the National Purchasing Managers Index based on the performance of purchasing managers in Chicago.

In addition to paying attention to the overall index, the paid price index and the charged price index in the purchasing managers' index are also regarded as a kind of price index, and the employment index is more used to predict the unemployment rate and the performance of non-agricultural employed people.

8. Personal income and personal expenditure:

The fourth week of every month.

Personal income includes all income from wages and social welfare, which reflects the actual purchasing power level of individuals in the country and shows the changes of consumers' demand for goods and services in the future. Personal expenditure, including personal expenditure on goods and services, is an important indicator to measure residents' consumption expenditure. An increase in personal income means that the economy is improving, while personal consumption expenditure may increase. When other economic data begin to show sustained growth, and personal income and consumer spending are greater than estimated, the market may expect the Fed to raise interest rates and favor the US dollar.

9. Construction of new house:

It will be released every month from June 16 to June 19.

An index to measure the activity of a country's construction industry, because the construction industry is the leading industry in the economic development cycle, which indicates the future economic changes. Theoretically, the rising rate of new housing starts and building permits is more favorable to the US dollar, but it still needs to be considered together with other economic data.

10, equipment utilization rate:

Last month's data will be published in the middle of each month.

The ratio of equipment utilization rate in industrial production, usually 80% of equipment utilization rate is considered as the normal idle of factories and equipment. When the equipment utilization rate exceeds 95%, it means that the equipment utilization rate is close to full point, and the pressure of inflation will rise rapidly with the inability of production capacity, which is beneficial to the US dollar when the market expects interest rates to rise. On the other hand, if the capacity utilization rate is below 90% and continues to decline, it means that the equipment is idle too much, and the economy is in recession, which is not good for the US dollar when the market expects interest rates to drop.

1 1. Commercial inventory:

Reflect the demand for short-term credit in the business sector. The increase in commercial inventory may lead to an increase in short-term interest rates and a slowdown in economic development, indicating that the economy may enter a state of stagnation.

In addition, the speeches of officials of the central bank or the Federal Reserve are also very important and worthy of attention.