Usually, financial indicators that can effectively predict financial crisis through large-scale changes include: money supply growth rate, real interest rate, inflation rate, domestic credit growth rate, real GDP growth rate, fiscal finger balance /GDP, months in which foreign exchange reserves can be input, foreign exchange reserves/short-term foreign debt, trade balance/total foreign debt, real exchange rate and fluctuation degree, foreign direct investment/foreign debt, current account/GDO, trade balance /GDP, etc.