According to the report released by the British government in June last year 165438+ 10, if there is no agreement to leave the EU, Britain's GDP will shrink by 9.3% after 15. The trend of the pound is obviously affected by the progress of "Britain's withdrawal from the European Union" and will continue to be turbulent for some time to come.

The British Chancellor of the Exchequer Said Dzzavid said in an interview with the BBC a few days ago: "It will be unprecedented for Britain to leave the EU without an agreement. No country has experienced it. Many factors will play a role, and we cannot accurately assess its impact on the economy. "

Dzhavid believes that even if there is no agreement to leave the EU, Britain can reach a free trade agreement with the EU in the future. However, experts believe that Britain and Europe must start negotiations immediately and reach a new trade arrangement as soon as possible, and the negotiation pressure is far greater than the transition period of "agreeing Britain to leave the EU". In addition, the "backup arrangement" on the Northern Ireland border issue may also become a major obstacle to the signing of trade agreements between Britain and Europe in the future.

2. Food import and export and other enterprises

Michael Gove, the British cabinet minister in charge of Britain's preparations for leaving the EU, tried to comfort the people, claiming that "no agreement to leave the EU" would not lead to food shortage, but his remarks immediately drew criticism from industry organizations.

The British Retail Consortium responded that in the past 36 months, the retail industry and the government have clearly realized that the supply of fresh food mainly imported in winter, especially strawberries, tomatoes, lettuce and other fruits and vegetables, will be affected by border inspection and delay, and retailers need to prepare for the Christmas in June+10, 5438, and the limited storage capacity will put them under greater pressure.

Due to the influence of "no agreement to leave the European Union", Britain no longer enjoys the previous convenience in import and export. Many British people oppose Britain's withdrawal from the European Union.