When Wushu enters the realm, it is said that there is no trick to win, but the master who reaches this realm is not ignorant of tricks. Brother Lidoc can operate smoothly, which I believe means that he is not bound by technical analysis, but he is by no means ignorant of technical analysis. I think many friends who operate the foreign exchange market will have to go through a process of never understanding technical analysis, chewing and being fascinated to surpass (if they can survive that day). There are indeed many senior experts in the forum, and everyone has given a lot of advice and help to the younger generation, including me. I believe many novices are grateful.
3, this topic, different people, different experiences, different personalities, different trading quotas, may say completely different ideas. Many investors may have had a similar experience, from being rich in ignorance to failing in ignorance, then constantly learning, failing, failing again, and finally slowly moving towards success. I have also been in a heavy position. At first, I made huge profits, lost money, lost my mind, suffered a lot, learned slowly, matured slowly, and is still maturing now. The biggest feeling that the foreign exchange market gives me is that apart from the market, there is no god, and everyone's IQ is similar. If you want to make a long-term stable profit in the foreign exchange market, you have to make much more efforts than ordinary people. If you want to get rich for a long time, you have to make more efforts than those who are stable and profitable for a long time. I think these people, very few of them, are geniuses and investment geniuses. The probability of this kind of person's existence is similar to the probability of winning the lottery, and it should not be sought after by most investors! The initial accumulation of funds really needs to be quite fast, but after a certain accumulation, it is necessary to slow down and be down to earth.
It is impossible for Microsoft to maintain its initial development scale, and neither is the foreign exchange market. But one thing, when trying to accumulate funds quickly in the early days, a large number of investors have been eliminated. From my personal experience, from starting a small business, to a certain wealth accumulation, and then to the current fund management. The greater the amount of funds, the more inclined to secure transactions. After all, thousands of dollars of transactions, tens of thousands of dollars to millions, feel completely different. My idea is that genius is a very small part in the market, and most forums are mortal. Then we must think with mortal thinking. For most people, getting rich can't last long. What I said is absolute, probably because I am not competent enough. In terms of transaction details, I agree that for mid-line transactions, when the bottom is profitable and the unilateral market begins to be confirmed, the subsequent positions should be slightly heavier, and the margin is the biggest advantage. I think we are increasing our position.
This is the only speculation. It may be easy to give people some misunderstandings from the text organization or literally of LZ, but in fact, as long as people understand the essence of speculation and stabilize profits, they will understand what LZ is talking about, which does not need too many words to explain. People who don't understand are people who can't make a stable profit according to LZ. I think that's basically it.
In other words, speculators who can get what you want from the market stably can understand the true meaning of speculation without LZ posts.
5. In fact, it is not that technical or basic analysis is useless or useful, and it is not understood from this perspective. It means that trading strategy should be the core of trading, not technical analysis or prediction, to complete your trading. Simply put, trade in your plan, not in your analysis. It goes without saying that the loser of speculation is a typical example of "trading in your analysis" There are essential differences, focusing on analysis, and striving to identify the market is definitely the biggest mistake most people make in trading. In fact, for real traders, no matter whether they are bulls or bears, whether they are at the head or the bottom now, no matter where they are now. What they really care about is whether there are fluctuations or trends in the future, and it is enough to seize them. Trading itself is not difficult, and the difficulty is always the trader himself. If a trader doesn't change his belief and shift from analysis-oriented to strategy-oriented, he will never succeed.
6. Simple example: buying conditions: buying on the moving average with a wave of high points and a wave of constraints: 1: only buying on the lower rail of the rising channel; Constraint 2: Stop-loss condition with higher period * * *: After buying, the high and low points are arranged in reverse, that is, leaving the market (the high point does not break through the previous high point) or flag-breaking leaving the market (short-term). Now you should understand that there is no need to predict the future trend, regardless of the percentage target position, all you need to do is sit there and wait for the barter conditions to be met. Just go in and out according to the strategy, and then you run the test on the trading system. If it has a chance of winning 565,438+0, then it is profitable. On this basis, increase access constraints and increase the odds. If it is less than 50%, then give up or improve. Before finding the chance of winning, technology needs to find the exit point with trading strategy, and then execute it, rather than predict and analyze it. Otherwise, pediatrics will look for buy buy transactions with strategy as the core, and look for transactions with analysis or prediction as the core.
Finding the trading point is only the key link. It has a premise, and this premise is wrong, and it is in the opposite direction ... Heavy trading is not a desperate gambling transaction, but a bold heavy attack, which determines the outcome in the trading position with high winning rate. There are strict strategic arrangements before the heavy position, the guidance of multiple composite technologies, the support of multiple time periods, a good sense of disk, and the courage of a strong man after failure ... why not attack the heavy position? In this way, I quickly got rid of K-level trading and 1 level trading, and now it is 5- 10 level trading. Reality is so eloquent.
Some people think that losing your mind or even stopping immediately after a heavy position can only show that a heavy position is not suitable for a trader like you. Then you can choose a long-term profit model, but how can you easily doubt the possibility of getting rich quickly?
Technology is an analytical method, but there will be many mistakes in using it to predict, at least similar to the probability of winning or losing a coin toss, which I believe everyone with actual combat experience knows. What role does technology play? For example, when we go by train, we will definitely not stand on the track and wait to get on the bus, but go to a station and wait to get on the bus. Technical analysis tells us that there is a station where we can get on the bus, where we should go east and where we should go west. Of course, some stations can go east and west, but whether we reach our destination or not is not the content of technical analysis. Speaking of which, some friends may want to say it again, so how do you get to your destination? It's very simple. The train stops, stops, turns around and has to get off. ...
Everyone is talking about the basic principle of following the trend every day. How many people know its essence when doing it? Successful trading is a game centered on risk control, and the best loser will win. You can't win if you don't want to lose, and you can't win if you worry. Trading is essentially a game of how to deal with failure ... A veteran can see at a glance why he is fighting ... There is no difference between a heavy position and a light position, but the key depends on the operator, his technical level, his ability to analyze and judge fundamentals, and his psychological tolerance for losses and big losses, all of which need comprehensive consideration and identification. Maybe someone can calm down and have the correct market judgment ability, so they should operate heavily and make profits as soon as possible. This is understandable ... and many people here are small positions, just thousands or even hundreds. They are absolutely not allowed to gamble in large quantities, and the result of participating in gambling is to suddenly hold positions. Perhaps these people simply don't have the correct analytical judgment ability, only know documentaries, or follow the crowd, so for them, if they don't get in touch with basic kung fu and learn how to manage funds well, they can only be blind and increase their troubles and losses.
7. I don't object to the operation of heavy positions, and I used to do it often. The highest position once reached the standard position of more than 30 lots, but that was based on the premise. In fact, people who have really experienced it know what the premise is, so they don't say much, so any operation should be decided according to their own economic affordability and practical ability. There are thousands of roads, and there must be more than one road to Rome, just two or more methods of operation. Light warehouses can be done. Do more long-term work, so not only is it easy for people to come, but why are you so nervous? You need to know how much psychological pressure there is before the heavy position is absolutely safe. After all, it's real money, so why overeat? ...
8. A long stream of water, focusing on results, abandoning the process and relaxing are what we should achieve as remitters. Heavy positions are appearances, and the process of heavy positions is worth discussing.
A. Add positions along this line and place an order at 50% of the floating profit. After combining the peaks and valleys of the trend, if it is successful, it may be possible to explore several times the allowable range of the initial margin.
B, looking for unilateral, in a way of not looking back, heavy positions to 99% of the deposit, 1% for automatic liquidation, the loss can only be around 1%. These two processes, one on the left and the other on the right, can combine to create many different strategies of risk-return quota and four-dimensional proportion of time.
9. Analysis is necessary, otherwise you will lose faster by feeling. However, there will be mistakes in the analysis, which requires us to constantly correct our judgment with the development of the situation. However, if you hold a heavy position, things will cause you great psychological pressure and affect your correct judgment in the short term. In fact, margin trading is more risky than in casinos, and human nature will be vividly displayed in casinos. If you can't overcome your greed and fear, you can't persist for a long time.
10. Different people have different opinions on this topic. In fact, there is no need to argue more. The method that conforms to one's own style, humanity and philosophy is good. I came to the high margin foreign exchange market with the idea of profiteering, so I have such a style and understanding. Technical operation is to design strategies and tactics with considerable risks in order to maximize profits, and I am still learning and improving. I found that there are more textbook-style comrades in the forum, and fewer people are really motivated. I feel that communication is always so difficult, so I talk less and less now.
1 1. The technical indicators of a successful trading system occupy a very low proportion, mainly because some market phenomena of opening and closing positions are found. A successful trading system is not a system for forecasting market prospects. I think it's the statistics of market phenomena. In my exploration, I feel that history will repeat itself. In fact, the specific operation mode is not important, because different people have different experiences, different styles and understanding and control of risks. All roads lead to Rome, mainly to guide the idea of formulating the system. Here is the idea of formulating the system.
Maybe I couldn't understand it a year ago. I think it may take such a process to understand. Just like the learning process, you have to go through the process of primary school, middle school and university to understand the following courses. Of course, if you are a genius, you don't need this process. So far, you have been exploring according to this concept. In fact, doing trading system is a process of constantly denying yourself, that is, fixing the correct content bit by bit in the lessons of failure. The way I explore is to find a fixed trading system. It's hard. This road is really difficult to walk. How many times I want to give up, how many times I can't keep going, but after wandering for a few days, I once again embarked on the course of suffering. I don't know where the Long March is. I once asked how to do a good job in the trading system, and their answer was: idiot, mainly ideas.
12, the trading system should be as simple and clear as possible, which may be better. I haven't designed a special trading system, but I have studied other people's trading methods or tried (many, many). There is still no operating system (it can be written in words). So I think I only have a brain trading system and an intuitive trading system, which are casual but full of fun, enjoyment and excitement. The purpose of trading is not only money, but also quality of life. The boring trading life is not my pursuit.
13, a trading system can only be simple after completion, but it is complicated in the process of exploration, because we don't know which phenomena to care about, which indicators to use, or which aspects to use. I pursue a mechanical trading system, because I think only in this way can we overcome the fear and greed of human nature. The mechanical trading system can be explained by language. In my e-day post, I described the short-term trading system in words. Whether doing something is boring or not depends mainly on your own mentality. What others find boring may be your sweet journey. I still agree with your idea of a heavy position, but we are pursuing different goals. What you are looking for is a heavy position. My pursuit is a 24-hour heavy position. At the same time, I often change the direction of varieties and always maintain 70% positions. Is it a heavy position? Such a position has also made a good profit. I think what we have in common is that our ideas are similar and our ambitions are ambitious, but the specific methods we pursue are different.
14. A basic function of a successful trading system is to adjust the trading mode according to the changes of the market, and you are not the one who designed the trading system, so you don't know how to modify the trading system according to the changes of the market. A sword can kill people in your hands, but it will only hurt yourself in mine. Because you are a master, you can wave at will, while I am a low hand and can only dance. I think the idea of finding a platform for this post is right. For our individual investors, relying on our own limited energy, we should turn the 24-hour trend into a study of several specific points, that is, find a platform mentioned in this post. This is a basic function of the trading system. We can condense the trend of the day into several points, then study the direction at these specific points, and then study whether the direction is determined by the express train or the local train (median or local train). Step by step, no one can accurately predict the long-term market outlook, especially the broader market. Of course, you were right once, because there is a 50% success in guessing.
15, speculation must have its own ideas, ideas, methods and integration. How to overcome human fear and greed? I have won, lost, won, lost and won countless times, and I have overcome them all. There is a stop loss line, there is no fear; If you have a goal, you will not be greedy. When we make varieties and decide to buy or sell, we must always have a basis. As you said, this foundation has won and lost thousands of times. My question is, why aren't your lessons counted? Or when you decide to open a position according to a certain conditional phenomenon, can you answer how many times you have opened a position according to this phenomenon in history? What is success? What is the degree of failure? I think if there is no such statistics, how can you sum up your experience and lessons? I think if we set a standard (we don't care whether this standard is reasonable or not, or we just decide to buy or sell by flipping a coin), then when we operate our business according to this standard, there will be right and wrong, and then we will revise this standard step by step and save the correct experience. After a period of time, we can have a standard to follow. At least record the lesson. Look to the right of the K line, not to the left. Those blank spaces are your battlefields.