Because this move belongs to killing 800 enemies and injuring 1000 enemies.
Once the United States officially announces that Russia's holding of US debt is invalid. This is to announce to the world that the dollar and American debt have no credit. American debt held by any country may become a piece of waste paper at any time.
This is the naked face of playing dollars!
Moreover, once the dollar loses its credit, the losses it brings are simply beyond the reach of the United States.
At present, more than 90% of international trade is settled in US dollars.
Why?
Because the credit of the dollar is good, so is the credit of the Federal Reserve. Other countries in the world are willing to believe in the value of the dollar and use it.
This is the result of hundreds of years of hard work in the United States.
All countries in the world do business in dollars, so they should reserve foreign exchange dollars and American debts.
The United States can issue American bonds and print money to a certain extent, regardless of inflation. Harvest the wealth from all over the world with printed banknotes.
The reason why the United States is so powerful is to eat the dividend of the dollar's dominance in the world currency.
Other countries have no money, so they have to collect taxes and try to develop their economies. If the United States has no money to spend, then issue American bonds and then start the machine to print money.
Anyway, some countries are willing to take over these printed banknotes and will not spend them in their own countries. Even if it causes inflation, it will be borne by people all over the world.
The United States relies on the advantage of the dollar to earn a lot of money. Naturally, it will try its best to maintain the credit of the US dollar, so even if it really wants to kill Russia, it will not be stupid enough to declare Russia's holding of US debt invalid.
The US debt held by China is about $65,438 +0.06 trillion. Russia holds only a pitiful $2.4 billion in US debt.
Russia has only $2.4 billion, which is relatively poor, but it really doesn't matter to him.
As long as you dig more barrels of oil in the Far East, you can earn it back immediately. Or when supplying natural gas to Europe, you can earn it back in minutes by adding a few cents to the price.
If you Americans dare to declare my American debt invalid, then I will raise the price of natural gas, and finally your American European allies will pay the bill.
Therefore, even if the United States really loses its mind and dares to declare the holding of American debt invalid, Russia is not afraid at all.
Although Russia also does business with the United States, its biggest trading partner is the European Union.
American economic sanctions are basically ineffective, while EU economic sanctions are fatal. But Russia has another advantage, and that is energy.
As long as the EU sanctions me, I will cut off the energy supply immediately. It's hard for me, too, so forget it.
Therefore, in the Russian-Ukrainian war, Russia and the European Union actually played the leading role. As long as they can finally agree on their interests, the war will basically be over.
Finally, it is widely circulated on the Internet that "the United States declared the US debt held by the Russian central bank invalid". These are all news released from the media, and there is no official official document published.
This is basically some gossip, without any credibility. Watch, those politicians in America won't do such stupid things.
Hello! In the 300 years since the founding of the United States, there has never been a blatant default on American debt. What's more, the US debt held by the Russian central bank is a very small part. With such a small debt, dollar credit is used as a tissue? Is it possible? The United States dares to rely on this flying leg, which means danger! ! !
You see, the emperor hasn't made any TV speech these days. It's peskov, his favorite. My prediction is that the emperor is silent, and obviously there are still big waves waiting for the west. I don't need to say this. The emperor always plays cards quickly and accurately. He must dare to play cards that others cannot see.
If Russia's US debt is declared invalid, there is no need for Russia to take too tough measures. Because the ruble has been linked to gold, the US debt in Russia's foreign exchange reserves is only $65,438 +0.5-3 billion. Sister Na (referring to Nabiulina, Governor of the Russian Central Bank, the same below) said:
In fact, the United States was in a hurry and was forced to ask Russia to stop lifting the table in order to save face, so Jenny Psaki, White House press secretary, said, we want to see whether Russia is rapidly consuming foreign exchange reserves or directly defaulting. However, American ideas always matter. People say that Russia paid off its debts with rubles. Do you still care about breach of contract? It's no use saying that you broke your contract and people don't recognize you.
In my opinion, America, you'd better think about how to buy Russian fertilizer next!
Second, if the United States dares, it will really break the defense. Is it possible to trigger a third world war? Studying the history of the United States will reveal that the United States was actually founded by issuing bonds. The American War of Independence was won by issuing bonds to raise funds, and it was impossible to build a country without issuing bonds.
Later world wars, industrial revolution, subprime mortgage crisis and COVID-19 epidemic were all solved by issuing bonds. If the United States dares to announce that once Putin uses nuclear weapons, it may trigger a third world war, but there will be no winners in the all-out war between the top powers.
Although the power of nuclear weapons is terrible, it is far from the level of Conan the destroyer, and the residual nuclear radiation is far less than the leakage of nuclear power plants. Even if all the nuclear weapons in the world are detonated centrally, it is difficult to directly and completely destroy any top power. The power of only a few billion tons of TNT equivalent is not enough to trigger the so-called nuclear winter, so nuclear victory is a false proposition from the beginning! But the sword of Damocles is not a hollow name. The real horror of nuclear weapons lies in its devastating blow to modern civilization. The electromagnetic pulse generated by the explosion of a large number of nuclear weapons is enough to stimulate the electromagnetic storm sweeping the world.
This means that the destruction of the Internet, the vast majority of electronic equipment will fail, the civilized building based on electric electromagnetic equipment will collapse, the productivity level of the whole human world will drop sharply in a very short time, and large-scale water, grain and power cuts will lead to terrible social unrest!
And nuclear weapons are still a key, a key that can open the earth's arsenal. These super volcanoes have accumulated more energy in a hundred years or even thousands of years than the sum of the global nuclear arsenals!
Hundreds of billions of tons of TNT equivalent energy explosion is enough to tear the earth and send a lot of volcanic ash to tens of thousands of meters.
Huge lava will turn everything along the way into fly ash!
A large amount of volcanic dust enters the stratosphere to cover the sun, and the earth will become like this.
The optical radiation and electromagnetic pulse of nuclear explosion destroyed the collective organization system and power exchange on which human society depended. The dust cloud from the super volcano blocks the sun and sunlight, and even the rivers and lakes at the equator will freeze!
In the ice and snow, there is no water, no food, no internet, no electricity, no medicine, and there are hungry people who are tortured to madness by hunger everywhere.
You can estimate your survival rate.
So, what is this for? How can those fat pigs on Wall Street who are afraid of death be so brave? Finally, may the world be peaceful.
In short, relying on military, economic and financial hegemony, the United States is really doing whatever it wants and is really consuming the national credit risk. American debt is supported by comprehensive national strength, with high liquidity and easy realization. It is still the best and safest foreign exchange asset in the world. Countries buy American debt mainly to preserve and increase the value of foreign exchange reserves. When the country sells, the country takes over. If the United States really dares to officially declare the US debt held by Russia invalid (confiscate Russian US debt), it can be said to be the most dangerous and shameless precedent in the international financial field, and its sinister intentions deserve our vigilance.
It is reported that the United States intends to declare the US debt held by Russia invalid in order to comprehensively suppress and punish Russia's special military actions against Ukraine. Assuming that it really becomes an established fact, this hammer will re-deconstruct the international credit system and the hegemony of the dollar will collapse. Although Russia only holds US$ 6,543.8+US$ 400 million in US debt, the chain effect can be said to be like a tsunami and landslide.
As we all know, bonds are currencies guaranteed by a country's reputation, and they are actually exchanged with actual equivalence. When a country has a good reputation and stable income, others will buy bonds, thus forming a close cooperative relationship. In the capital market, if you lose your basic credibility and the minimum spirit of contract, you will declare your creditor's rights invalid, which is different from bandits. This will be a fatal blow to the US debt.
As the main means of American financial hegemony, the dollar relies on its strength and hard currency to achieve the goal of harvesting world wealth. I don't think the United States will do such stupid things as "killing the enemy 1000, injuring itself 1200" on a whim or impulse. Otherwise, wouldn't it be equivalent to the ancient martial arts practitioners cutting off all the seven meridians and eight veins and wasting their martial arts? Isn't it a gift for Russia and other BRICS countries and third world countries in Asia, Africa and Latin America? After all, the world has suffered from beauty for a long time. Now that the dollar has lost its credibility, it will definitely build a currency trading system to avoid dollar hegemony and bullying.
Of course, this also sounded the alarm for China. As the largest holder of US debt, it is imperative for China to gradually reduce its holdings of US debt and improve its ability to prevent and control financial and monetary risks. We can't give America a lifeline. As the saying goes, eggs can't be put in one basket. Personal suggestion: We should make joint efforts with BRICS countries to open the trading system with RMB and digital currency as the settlement, effectively avoid the potential risks of US debt and enhance the international voice of RMB.
Although the United States is arrogant, it officially declares that Russia's American debt is invalid. He really doesn't have the courage. Lend him a few courage also dare not! No one can afford this consequence!
1, America's reputation is completely wiped out! Even allies dare not make irresponsible remarks, and will alienate Germany in private.
2, the polar bear is not a soft persimmon, he will fight back. In that case, the situation will get out of control. An out-of-control situation, who knows if it will push the United States into the Mariana Trench?
3, beautiful ghost, beautiful ghost, beautiful ghost! Its rotten water is in its stomach, so it won't make such a big move! But it may still be the handle of pirates, such as legalizing private plunder.
The United States declared that the American debt held by Russia was invalid, which fully showed that when the struggle of different interests rose to the struggle of national transport, there was no credibility at all. Without any honesty, any means will serve the national movement. Isn't there a saying that being good to the enemy is cruel to yourself? Fame and honesty are garlands of communication in peacetime, and martial arts are decorations that have nothing to do with life and death. In the face of unscrupulous and untrustworthy enemies, we should nip in the bud and practice a trick to control them and not give them a chance to be hooligans. For a rogue country like the United States, anger is useless. Only boasting is the "right way of the world of mortals". Any retreat and kneeling is a criminal act that humiliates ancestors and harms future generations. Russian resistance fully reflects the ugly face of American imperialism, reminding us and alerting the world. A good thing!
With the courage of the United States 100, the United States would not dare to do so. The United States can sanction Russia's energy exports, confiscate the assets of Russian enterprises and individuals in the United States, and even provide weapons to Russian opponents continuously. But there are only two things that America is afraid to do. First, the United States does not dare to go to war directly with Russia. Russia's annual military expenditure is between 50 billion and 60 billion dollars, and the annual military expenditure of the United States has exceeded 800 billion dollars. The gap between the two sides' conventional military strength is widening, but Russia has a huge nuclear arsenal. Based on this, the United States will not dare to go to war with Russia. In addition to a head-on war, the United States does not dare to declare the US debt held by Russia invalid.
American hegemony consists of financial hegemony, military hegemony, cultural hegemony, scientific and technological hegemony, alliance system and many other sub-hegemony, of which the most important is military hegemony and financial hegemony. From the perspective of military hegemony, the United States is indeed stronger than Russia in military strength, but because of the existence of nuclear weapons, the United States does not dare to confront Russia directly. From the perspective of financial hegemony, the United States must maintain the credibility of the dollar, especially the credibility of US Treasury bonds. The national debt of the United States has exceeded $30 trillion, which is all maintained by borrowing the new and returning the old. Once the United States dares to officially declare the US debt held by Russia invalid, who dares to buy US Treasury bonds next? If no one buys US Treasury bonds, the hegemonic system of the US dollar is likely to collapse.
After the outbreak of the Crimean crisis, Russia once held more than US$ 654.38+030 billion in US Treasury bonds. Since then, Russia has continued to sell US Treasury bonds. By the end of 2022 1, Russia will only hold US$ 2.4 billion in US Treasury bonds. In other words, Russia holds less than one-tenth of US Treasury bonds, which has nothing to do with the United States and there is no need to rely on it.
Of course, the various economic and financial sanctions imposed by the United States on Russia are actually equivalent to killing one thousand enemies and losing one thousand. After all, the dollar is a credit currency. No dollar is tied to gold. Only by linking energy trade such as oil and natural gas can we sit on the throne of the world currency forever. The United States does not allow Russia to use the US dollar settlement system. Russia can only formulate a set of settlement rules by itself, that is, use rubles or local currency to buy Russian oil, natural gas and food.
In fact, the United States has not thought clearly. The dollar itself is worthless, but oil, natural gas and grain are valuable. Between energy, food and dollars, most countries will definitely choose the former, not the latter!
As long as it is beneficial to it, it has nothing to dare! It's just that the disadvantages outweigh the advantages now! But dare? We can't trust the Yankees anymore. Bravely quitting is the right way!
The United States will not do this. The United States is the country with the highest national debt reputation in the world, and there has not been any default problem so far.
All the operations of the American government rely on issuing bonds to raise funds. If the credibility of the US debt is damaged, it will be difficult for the US government to raise the required operating funds in this way, and the United States will be paralyzed.
The U.S. government is a government that lives by borrowing money, and it needs to raise trillions of dollars by issuing treasury bonds every year to maintain the operation of the United States. American government expenditure, American military expenditure, American social welfare expenditure and American infrastructure construction expenditure are all supported by national debt. Will he be stupid enough to destroy the credibility of his national debt for the sake of a country that can't do without national debt at every step?
Some people may say that the United States has taxes, yes, that's right! There are taxes in the United States, but they are not directly collected by the US government, but are earned by American private companies. Private companies in the United States will not hand over the money to the US government as soon as they receive the tax, but will take the received tax to the Federal Reserve as soon as possible to repay the money owed by the US government to the Federal Reserve, and then transfer the remaining money to the US Treasury after repaying the Federal Reserve.
Since the US government needs to borrow money from the Federal Reserve every year, the annual tax revenue of the United States will basically not enter the US Treasury. Therefore, the U.S. Treasury can only borrow money from the Federal Reserve all the time, which directly leads to the annual tax revenue of the United States coming from the Federal Reserve. The U.S. Treasury can only issue bonds to withdraw money, package the bonds to the Federal Reserve, and then sell them by the Federal Reserve.
Under this circumstance, does the United States dare to declare the US debt held by Russia invalid?
The largest amount of US debt held by Russia was in 20 12, when Russia held US debt worth176.3 billion US dollars. However, due to the tension between the United States and Russia at any time, Russia has continuously reduced its holdings of US debt and sold it almost every year since 20 12. So far, all American debts held by Russia have been reduced to only $2.4 billion.
You see clearly that Russia's current US debt is only $2.4 billion. Do you think that in order to swallow the $2.4 billion US debt of Russia, the United States will hurt the credibility of the US debt?
I don't think America can do such a stupid thing as long as it is not crazy. After all, $2.4 billion is too little. What can the United States do with this money?
We must know that the United States gives Israel more money every year than this, not to mention the support it now gives Ukraine of 654.38+03 billion US dollars. The amount of Russian-American debt is not even a fraction thrown away by the United States. Will the United States damage the credibility of American debt for that little money?
I think as long as you are not a fool, you can get a correct judgment.
American debt is the foundation of the United States, and the United States will do its utmost to maintain the credibility of American debt. Holding American debt is far safer than holding dollars, and you don't have to worry about the United States fiddling with American debt. If it is really time for him to tamper with the American debt, then the world will no longer be his call, and he will have to pay it back then.
As far as the situation is concerned! The United States still dares not do this, because if the United States really declares the US debt held by Russia invalid! It means that the United States is also self-destructive, and now all countries in the world hold a large amount of American debt.
If the United States really does this, the consequences will be very serious, and the Biden administration is also very clear that it will either lead to the depreciation of the US dollar or lead to financial disorder. Or directly affect the American economy and the status of a world power, the United States will not be stupid enough to break the family!
Therefore, the United States will not declare the US debt held by Russia invalid!
In the 300 years since the founding of the United States, there has never been a blatant default on American debt. What's more, the US debt held by the Russian central bank is a very small part. With such a small debt, dollar credit is used as a tissue? Is it possible? The United States dares to rely on this flying leg, which means danger! ! !
If you dare, this wave of operation is undoubtedly killing the enemy 0 and hurting yourself 1000. At the same time, it will also mean that the United States is likely to reshape the dollar credit and world hegemony by ulterior means.
You see, the emperor hasn't made any TV speech these days. It's peskov, his favorite.
My prediction is that the emperor is silent, and obviously there are still big waves waiting for the west. I don't need to say this. The emperor always plays cards quickly and accurately. He must dare to play cards that others cannot see.
If Russia's US debt is declared invalid, there is no need for Russia to take too tough measures. Because the ruble has been linked to gold, the US debt in Russia's foreign exchange reserves is only $65,438 +0.5-3 billion. Sister Na (referring to Nabiulina, Governor of the Russian Central Bank, the same below) said:
"I use 5000 rubles to buy 1 gram of gold. As for whether your dollar is dead or alive, I only ask you to withdraw no more than $65,438+0,000 (because there are still people who need you to stop it). "
In fact, the United States was in a hurry and was forced to ask Russia to stop lifting the table in order to save face, so Jenny Psaki, White House press secretary, said, we want to see whether Russia is rapidly consuming foreign exchange reserves or directly defaulting. However, American ideas always matter. People say that Russia paid off its debts with rubles. Do you still care about breach of contract? It's no use saying that you broke your contract and people don't recognize you.
Payment in rubles is a double-edged sword, but the so-called right to speak must be observed. If the emperor lifts the table, Macron's little heart will get up again and start meaningless mediation. Then Biden is hopeless.
In my opinion, America, you'd better think about how to buy Russian fertilizer next!
Second, if the United States dares, it will really break the defense. Is it possible to trigger a third world war?
Studying the history of the United States will reveal that the United States was actually founded by issuing bonds. The American War of Independence was won by issuing bonds to raise funds, and it was impossible to build a country without issuing bonds.
In the civil war after the founding of the People's Republic of China, the capitalists in the north raised war funds by issuing bonds, the slave owners in the south directly printed money, which caused inflation, and the north won the south, indicating that debt is the core of American economic operation and money is only a tool.
Later world wars, industrial revolution, subprime mortgage crisis and COVID-19 epidemic were all solved by issuing bonds. If the United States dares to announce that once Putin uses nuclear weapons, it may trigger a third world war, but there will be no winners in the all-out war between the top powers.
Although the power of nuclear weapons is terrible, it is far from the level of Conan the destroyer, and the residual nuclear radiation is far less than the leakage of nuclear power plants. Even if all the nuclear weapons in the world are detonated centrally, it is difficult to directly and completely destroy any top power. The power of only a few billion tons of TNT equivalent is not enough to trigger the so-called nuclear winter, so nuclear victory is a false proposition from the beginning! But the sword of Damocles is not a hollow name. The real horror of nuclear weapons lies in its devastating blow to modern civilization. The electromagnetic pulse generated by the explosion of a large number of nuclear weapons is enough to stimulate the electromagnetic storm sweeping the world.
This means that the destruction of the Internet, the vast majority of electronic equipment will fail, the civilized building based on electric electromagnetic equipment will collapse, the productivity level of the whole human world will drop sharply in a very short time, and large-scale water, grain and power cuts will lead to terrible social unrest!
And nuclear weapons are still a key, a key that can open the earth's arsenal. These super volcanoes have accumulated more energy in a hundred years or even thousands of years than the sum of the global nuclear arsenals!
Hundreds of billions of tons of TNT equivalent energy explosion is enough to tear the earth and send a lot of volcanic ash to tens of thousands of meters.
Huge lava will turn everything along the way into fly ash!
A large amount of volcanic dust enters the stratosphere to cover the sun, and the earth will become like this.
The optical radiation and electromagnetic pulse of nuclear explosion destroyed the collective organization system and power exchange on which human society depended. The dust cloud from the super volcano blocks the sun and sunlight, and even the rivers and lakes at the equator will freeze!
In the ice and snow, there is no water, no food, no internet, no electricity, no medicine, and there are hungry people who are tortured to madness by hunger everywhere.
You can estimate your survival rate.
So, what is this for? How can those fat pigs on Wall Street who are afraid of death be so brave? Finally, may the world be peaceful.
In short, relying on military, economic and financial hegemony, the United States is really doing whatever it wants and is really consuming the national credit risk. American debt is supported by comprehensive national strength, with high liquidity and easy realization. It is still the best and safest foreign exchange asset in the world. Countries buy American debt mainly to preserve and increase the value of foreign exchange reserves. When the country sells, the country takes over.
If this is true, it will also sound an alarm for countries that have potential conflicts with the United States. Everyone may reserve a lot of gold to avoid future risks, and American debt will lose its value and significance.