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Is the housing price in China unsolvable?
First, supply land according to market demand, fully supply it, and make predictions in advance. Guangzhou, Guangzhou and Shenzhen provide a large amount of land. If there is no land, for example, Shenzhen can coordinate with Dongguan Huizhou to build Yanjiao. An administrative division does not belong to Shenzhen, but the community provided by Shenzhen engages in three-dimensional transportation mode, and a large number of basic service institutions are inclined to the grassroots. Don't say that China has no land or lacks water and electricity. When Beijing had a population of 8 million, it was said that the population was short of water. There were indeed frequent power outages at that time. But when the population was 20 million, there was a South-to-North Water Diversion Project, and the power outage almost stopped. It is said that the cost of seawater desalination in Tianjin is lower than that of South-to-North Water Transfer Project, and a large number of wind farms in Inner Mongolia are idle there. Beijing has 6400 square kilometers of plains. I'll calculate the account of the urban built-up area for you. There are only 750 square kilometers in the Fifth Ring Road, which is home to half of Beijing's population, and there are plenty of open spaces in the Fifth Ring Road! The built-up area outside the Fifth Ring Road is 700 square kilometers, where the other half of the population lives. It only adds up to 1.500 square kilometers. The actual built-up area is only 1350 square kilometers, and the Beijing Plain covers an area of 6,400 square kilometers. ! ! Yanjiao has also solved a considerable part of Beijing's population! There are also 2,000 square kilometers in the foothills, not to mention that there is no land in Beijing, and the land resources in new york are far less than those in Beijing! Shanghai has an urban area of 5,000 square kilometers and a built-up area of 2,000 square kilometers. Besides Chongming Island, there are 3,800 square kilometers. A considerable number of people in Shanghai have already lived in Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces. There is no land in Shenzhen, but there are plenty of land resources in Huizhou, Dongguan in the north of Shenzhen. As for second-tier cities such as Nanjing, Hangzhou, Wuhan, Hefei, Chengdu and Qingdao, there are many land resources. It's just that the government doesn't want to provide land, so I won't say much (not to mention food security). Second, it's gone. The real estate in China is a financial phenomenon, and the blind management of the government is an important issue. In 2008-20 14, foreign exchange reserves increased by 3 trillion US dollars, which led to an increase of 2 100 trillion RMB in the base currency, which was basically equal to the base of China housing price increase in 2008-20 100 RMB. After 20 14, the foreign reserves began to evacuate, and the government relaxed the monetary policy to avoid being evacuated, which led to the avalanche exit of foreign reserves from 20 15 to 20 16, and once fell below 3 trillion at the end of 20 16. At present, foreign exchange holdings are falling all the way. In order to prevent the M2 Foundation from being destroyed, the central bank used a lot of short-term tools, such as MLF and SLF. Foreign exchange control and the weak economic recovery in the United States have temporarily prevented the reduction of foreign reserves, but no one knows what will happen in the next interest rate hike cycle or even after shrinking the table. If the foreign exchange reserves continue to flow out, the M2 Foundation will be destroyed. Now once the M2 of 160 trillion starts to decrease, that is deflation, and the government has room for manoeuvre. Since 2008, with a large number of foreign reserves entering China to speculate on asset prices, the government can take better measures to control housing prices, such as increasing the supply to hot cities. However, after 2009, there are a lot of policies to restrict purchases and sales and reduce the scale of land supply in first-tier cities! Although the giant sleeping city like Tiantongyuan in Huilongguan is a failure, it has at least solved the housing problems of a considerable number of relocated households and residents, which can be said to be a model for solving housing problems. Moreover, with the passage of time and the progress of planning, the problem of off-site employment in these two communities is gradually being solved. However, after 2006, there will be no giant community, and it is strange that house prices will not soar! As for those who say that the government will take stricter control over foreign exchange reserves, I believe you have no administrative experience. China's dependence on foreign trade is as high as 40%, and 40% of its foreign exchange income is realized by foreign companies (the other 40% depends on private enterprises, many of whose bosses are foreign citizens). It can be said that China is the biggest beneficiary of economic globalization. Since you have benefited, you have to pay some costs, and this cost just cannot be fooled! If you openly close the door to the outside world, other countries can treat you equally, and even incur more fierce retaliation, such as banning the import of China products and Chinese products and confiscating China assets. Then, China's foreign trade will avalanche, so why sing about economic development? China's economic troika exports consumption and investment, of which export is the foundation. Once consumption and investment are gone, exports will be finished.