First, accurately grasp the connotation of economic operation monitoring and analysis

Grasping the connotation of economic operation monitoring and analysis and determining the object of economic operation monitoring and analysis are the primary links to do a good job in monitoring. As the largest industrial sector in the national economy, industry plays an important role in the national economy, and its relationship with other industries can not be ignored. The content of economic operation monitoring and analysis should not only describe the movement of the industry itself, but also include other factors related to it, affecting and restricting its development. From the physical form of economic operation, industry is highly related to the input of national economy, the consumption of intermediate materials, the consumption of residents, the import and export, and the reserve of key materials. Judging from the monetary form of economic operation, the achievements of industrial production and operation are inseparable from the functions of fiscal revenue, financial credit, foreign exchange receipts and payments, stocks and securities. Therefore, to do a good job in monitoring and analyzing economic operation, we must take industry as the center and treat it comprehensively. Starting from this idea, the Economic Operation Bureau of the State Economic and Trade Commission has gradually formed a monitoring and analysis platform based on five monthly reports, and relevant leaders, comprehensive departments, industry departments and local economic and trade commissions have analyzed the current economic operation trends, characteristics and trends accordingly.

Two, constantly improve the level of monitoring and analysis of economic operation.

1. Statistical data is the basis of monitoring.

Statistical data is authoritative and irreplaceable, and it is the most reliable data source for economic operation monitoring and analysis. The monitoring of the economic and trade system should be based on statistical data.

2. The dynamics of enterprises and markets are the focus of monitoring.

To highlight the foresightedness and guidance of monitoring and analysis, it is necessary to grasp the dynamics of enterprises and markets in time. Grasping this dynamic should be based on grasping key enterprises. In this regard, the State Economic and Trade Commission is responsible for 520 key state-owned enterprises (including industrial enterprises, circulation enterprises, transportation and telecommunications enterprises; Mainly state-owned enterprises (including private enterprises and joint-stock enterprises) have carried out comprehensive dynamic monitoring. Locally, such as Guangdong Province, 50 leading industrial enterprises have followed suit. Mastering the situation of these key enterprises is not only the characteristic of operation monitoring, but also the fulcrum of doing this work well.

3. Analysis and induction are the focus of monitoring work.

The purpose of monitoring is to get some regular knowledge. In order to improve the level of monitoring and analysis, it is necessary to put more work on analysis. We mainly grasp four aspects, that is, from this to that, from outside to inside, from coarse to fine, from false to true.

4. Prediction and early warning is the direction of monitoring.

With China's entry into WTO, forecasting and early warning work has become more and more important. In order to meet the challenge of China's entry into WTO, the State Economic and Trade Commission has established the Industrial Injury Investigation Bureau, which is responsible for industrial injury investigation and anti-dumping. The first step of this work is to monitor and forecast the industry, which is based on the monitoring and analysis data of economic operation. Therefore, with China's accession to the WTO, forecasting and early warning will be an important aspect of providing services for economic operation monitoring and analysis.

5. Reform and innovation are the driving force of economic operation monitoring and analysis.

Only by putting forward new methods, new requirements and constant changes can the economic operation monitoring work have vitality. First, the statistical index system itself needs to be constantly improved. For example, the unemployment rate is widely used in urban statistics, but the real situation cannot be reflected by a statistical indicator, and a large number of laid-off and rural laborers to be transferred cannot be counted. Third, with the continuous development of market economy, the original methods and standards of industry division are constantly changing. Third, some new methods and technologies are constantly emerging. For example, statistics in developed countries are based on sampling statistics, and the error range can be controlled. However, the general statistical method adopted in China (adopted by few countries in the world) directly investigates enterprises, and errors will accumulate. Fourthly, among the four indicators describing macroeconomic operation, economic development speed (GDP), inflation (price increase rate), foreign trade import and export balance (import and export rate) and employment (unemployment rate) were often concerned in the past. Future employment should also be an indicator of economic operation.

6. Seeking truth from facts is the soul of economic operation monitoring and analysis.

First of all, false data will mislead macro-control, because national macro-control is increasingly dependent on monitoring data. Second, false data will give some anti-China forces at home and abroad an opportunity. Some people abroad doubt our statistical data and think that there is a lot of water and we need to monitor and analyze the economic operation accurately. Third, the emphasis on seeking truth from facts does not mean that everything should be recorded, but that it must be linked to the larger environment when it is published.

Third, actively expand the vision of economic operation monitoring and analysis.

The acquisition and development of economic operation data is the key to economic operation monitoring and analysis. There are many ways to obtain information, but with the rapid development of modern information technology, the Internet should be the main channel to obtain data. The progress of information technology is increasingly promoting and influencing the monitoring and analysis of economic operation. The situation of asymmetric and incomplete information has changed greatly, and information is transmitted faster. However, the uncertainty brought to the monitoring and analysis of economic operation is also increasing, which requires the monitoring and analysis of economic operation to be constantly changing.