Project. Therefore, we especially provide investors with amplitude analysis methods and reference tables for reference. Through historical statistics, we found that the average daily volatility of Euro/USD in the past 10 years was basically stable at around 100. Then the normal analysis of the samples shows that about 2/3 of the daily volatility is in the range of 70-65,438+030 points. This shows that the gap between the main expected intraday high and low points when we do intraday operations is around this range. In the process of market operation, there will be small fluctuations and large fluctuations outside this range. According to the statistics of historical data, we define the volatility within 60 points per day as the minimum volatility day, and the volatility above 160 per day as the maximum volatility day.
The amplitude analysis we do here is mainly to analyze the minimum amplitude after it appears.
Law:
When there is a continuous minimum fluctuation day in the market, it is very easy to have a maximum fluctuation day. At this time, make further judgment based on the table:
1. If the minimum volatility of 3 days or more continues to maintain the range fluctuation pattern, it indicates that the market is facing a breakthrough. Once it suddenly
Breaking through the key resistance level of interval oscillation is likely to break out a continuous unilateral maximum amplitude day.
2. If the minimum fluctuation days with three or more consecutive days keep running in the same direction, it is necessary to distinguish those that appear at the beginning of the trend.
The stage is still over, or it is to distinguish whether the trend of this paragraph is a secondary trend or a major trend. In most cases, when the trend appears in the early stage, it is more likely that the daily direction with the maximum amplitude will follow the trend; When it appears at the end of the trend, the maximum amplitude caused by it is easier to go against the trend; When it appears in the secondary trend, the daily direction of the maximum amplitude is more likely to conform to the direction of the main trend.
Reminder:
In order to improve the accuracy of grasping the direction, investors can further distinguish according to the specific operation mode, such as relay mode or reverse mode.