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Fang Xinyue: Why is it easier to succeed in the long term than in the short term?

There are two reasons. Long-term is easier to succeed than short-term. One is the market, and the other is the trader's own reasons.

From a market perspective, the trend of the big cycle will become more determined. The fundamentals of a large cycle generally do not turn suddenly and can cause changes in the fundamentals of a large cycle. There is usually a process of budding, development and maturity. In this process, funds are gradually attracted to promote it. Promoting the trend of the macro cycle or changing the original trend of the macro cycle requires greater funds.

The short-term small cycle trend is more random, and the smaller the period, the more random it is. Because the small cycle trend accommodates small funds. A wave of hourly trends may occur within the day, and just one piece of data may change the original trend. Many major institutions can also make technical fake moves and make fake breakthroughs in small cycles.

I said before that to follow the trend, you need to understand the three factors of following the trend. The first definition is what a trend is, usually the Dow or moving average, and trend line. The level of the second trend is that the hourly trend has an hourly trend, and the daily trend has a daily trend. Third, figure out when to follow the trend of small levels and when to follow the trend of large levels. The so-called going with the trend does not just mean that it is a trend if it meets the definition, but it refers to the trend of a major cycle above the daily level, because this is the direction of big funds, which is firm and long-lasting.

For our technical traders and technical analysis, the larger the period, the more effective it is, and the smaller the period, the more ineffective it is. For example, in futures, a pattern built at the daily level that takes more than three months to build will have a 90% probability of triggering a trend once it breaks through, while a pattern built at the hourly level will not have such a high probability of moving forward once it breaks through. For a wave of trends, if you look at minutes, the effectiveness of the pattern is even smaller. The Turtle system already has negative expectations within the day, but it still has positive expectations above the daily level. Therefore, when learning to trade, it is easy to do large cycles, but difficult to do small cycles.

For traders themselves, trading is a very mentally consuming activity. We need to keep ourselves healthy and energetic, and avoid tired trading. Tired trading will cause confusion in thinking and easily stimulate gambling.

Controlling risks is the only way to make profits in trading. There are two sources of risk, one is misreading the market, and the other is arousing emotions. In the long term, because the time interval between placing orders is long, you have enough rest and think more fully, which is more conducive to clear thinking and emotional control, thereby reducing the risk of trading. In short-term trading, transactions will be relatively frequent. Frequent trading will consume a lot of brain power. When we are tired, people's emotions are not easily controlled. It is easy to place orders at will and become motivated by gambling.

Most people who are new to trading, because of human nature, like to start learning technology from short-term trading, and they are unable to grasp the secrets of trading for a long time. If you switch to long-term trading, it is easy to find a way to trade.

Why do most beginners like to start short-term? In addition to human nature, there is also a financial threshold issue. The capital threshold required for long-term development is relatively high.

Large funds are suitable for long-term operations. For normal long-term operations, the stop loss will be set relatively large. Here, the position is required to be relatively light. Taking advantage of the trend, light positions are suitable for large funds for long-term operations. Large funds will take a big hit. The main wave of the cyclical trend is completely enough. Earning 20% ??in a year is already a good profit. However, even if you earn 20% with small funds, for most people entering the market, it is better not to trade. If small funds need to be fully utilized, there will inevitably be heavy positions, the number of transactions will increase, and both the main wave and the adjustment wave of a large cycle trend will be taken into consideration, so it is suitable for short-term trading. This is why many people who are new to the market have no choice but to do short-term trading. Ironically, not learning to trade, short-term trading, heavy positions, and frequent trading are the main reasons for beginners' losses. But if you learn to trade, I don't think heavy positions and frequent trading are taboos that cannot be touched.

The threshold is high and the technical requirements are low. The threshold is low and the skills required are high. This is nature's way of balance. To put it simply, doing long-term is positive, and doing short-term is odd. Doing short-term is like doing it with nothing, it requires higher skills and trading quality.

Xinyue’s order-making purposes:

1. Provide the best risk control for each customer’s position, and resolutely resist the operation of heavy and full positions.

2. Real-time order follow-up throughout the process, opening and closing positions will never let you miss the precise point, maximizing your profits.

3. Xin Yue never predicts the market. The ever-changing market is beyond my control. The only way is to follow the trend.

4. Only by seizing the opportunity first can we gain the advantage of being undefeated and win - strictly stop losses and profits

Currently, the foreign exchange market is subject to more and more challenges. Investors favor it, and the team's actual monthly income has tended to be stable, basically maintaining a fluctuation of around 30%. In view of the fact that many new friends want to enter the market and want to appreciate and preserve their spare money, but they are unable to use their fists, there are also many Improper operations and poor guidance by investment friends have led to frequent losses, which have not been improved. Last week, gold crude oil made an overall profit of 50 points, and the profit was considerable, with an accuracy rate of 78.5%. This week, we are recruiting 10 investment enthusiasts to simulate copying or experience small-capital opportunities so that they can experience the feeling of having a steady profit every day without having to go to work. The purpose is to help more friends and experience more professional consultation and guidance. The number of places is limited, first come, first served. The trial time is one week. The number of places is limited, first come, first served. Only by actively embracing wealth will wealth not leave you.

Service-oriented, profitability creates the future.