The US and Japanese stock markets rose sharply, and our A shares also opened higher today.
The increase in the interest rate of the US dollar will prick many global asset bubbles. It is generally believed that the biggest bubble in China is real estate, but house prices will not fall to vegetable prices.
It is inevitable that the US dollar/KLOC will raise interest rates for the first time after-0/0 years and suppress the price of gold. Remind everyone: don't think that gold is cheap and immediately swept away, because it may continue to fall under pressure in the later period of gold. Remember to stall your father than Mommy and grandparents ~
Hope to adopt
Question 2: Why did the Fed raise interest rates? What is the reason? If ICBC raises interest rates, will you take out the deposit in CCB and deposit it in ICBC? The Federal Reserve raised interest rates, and the income of many domestic investment fields declined, so a lot of hot money outflow became inevitable.
Question 3: What is the reason for the Fed to raise interest rates?
1, the stock market is depressed (the stock market is down, but there is also a slight upward trend)
It is possible to alleviate inflation by reducing the speed of money circulation.
People spend less and save more.
4. Industrial and commercial enterprises reduce investment.
5.* * * appreciation of domestic or local currency
6. Slow down the national or local economic growth.
Question 4: What is the Fed's interest rate hike? What is the impact on the scene? Raising interest rates, that is, the central bank of a country or region raises interest rates, increases the borrowing cost of commercial banks from the central bank, and then increases market interest. The purpose of raising interest rates includes reducing money supply, curbing consumption, curbing inflation, encouraging deposits and slowing down market speculation. Of course, raising interest rates can also be used as an indirect means to increase the value (exchange rate) of domestic currency or local currency against other currencies.
The impact of the Fed's interest rate hike on gold;
Other things being equal, raising interest rates is beneficial to the US dollar. Can help the dollar appreciate relative to other foreign exchange. Because the profit of investing in dollars increases, the demand for investing in dollars will increase and the price will rise. At the same time, the dollar and gold are negatively correlated. When the dollar is bullish, gold will be bearish. The US dollar is the pillar of the current international monetary system, and the US dollar and gold are the most important reserve assets. The strength and stability of the US dollar weakened the status of gold as a reserve asset and its function of maintaining value.
For gold, it is a bad thing if other conditions remain unchanged. First of all, the dollar itself as an investment product is a substitute for investing in gold. In addition, raising interest rates itself will reduce market liquidity and reduce demand for all other assets, including gold. However, the general interest rate hike is to cope with inflation, and gold investment is a good investment to prevent inflation, so we often see that gold rises and interest rate hikes are at the same time.
Question 5: What does the Fed mean by raising interest rates? The US Federal Reserve released a policy report on February 16, arguing that although the US economic growth is not strong, it continues to rise, and 2% core inflation is also confident. Therefore, the Federal Reserve announced that it will raise the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 0.25% to 0.5%, which is the first time the Federal Reserve has raised interest rates in more than 9 years.
1 year from "fresh air" to implementation. Raising interest rates too early will threaten the economic growth of the United States, and raising interest rates too late may lead to soaring inflation. The Fed needs to comprehensively assess the economic situation and seize the right opportunity to raise interest rates. I have to say that when to raise interest rates, the Fed's 20 15 is not easy.
The US Federal Reserve released the minutes of the regular monetary policy meeting held on1October 27th and 28th. The minutes show that most participants believe that the current economic situation is suitable for raising interest rates in June 5438+February this year. Most officials of the Federal Reserve believe that based on the current macroeconomic situation in the United States and the estimation of future economic growth, employment and inflation, the conditions for raising interest rates will be met before the next regular meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee in June+February, 5438.
However, at that time, participants believed that the downside risks of the US economy still existed, and they were worried about whether the US economy was strong and whether it could achieve independent growth after raising interest rates. Whether to start the interest rate hike cycle ultimately depends on the latest economic data released before the next regular meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee in June+February, 5438.
According to the Fed's previous statement, the process of raising interest rates must meet at least three conditions: stable economic growth, continuous improvement of employment and inflation of 2%. But before that, the Fed thought that these points had not yet reached its set standards.
First, the momentum of economic growth. After several years of large-scale quantitative easing, the American economy has improved, but this is closely related to extremely loose monetary policy and ultra-low interest rates. After raising interest rates, the US economy is not energetic, and whether it can continue its growth momentum is a concern of the Federal Reserve.
Since World War II, the United States has experienced the slowest economic recovery process. For example, in the first quarter of 20 15, the economy grew by 0.6%. From 20 1 1 to 20 14, the average annual growth rate of the US economy is 2%, which is lower than the previous forecast of 2.3%, indicating that the US economic recovery is not as strong as the market expectation, and members of the Federal Reserve are worried. In addition, the Fed's interest rate hike will increase the debt burden of the United States. If there is no strong economic growth as a guarantee, the negative impact of raising interest rates can not be ignored.
Second, the level of employment. Employment is undoubtedly the most concerned issue in the United States, and the Federal Reserve also regards employment as an important reference index for raising interest rates. The employment rate in the United States continues to improve, but the quality of employment is not high, which is another concern before the Fed raises interest rates.
Third, the core inflation level, the core inflation control target set by the Federal Reserve is 2%. However, due to the tepid personal consumption that contributes more than 70% to the economy and the continuous decline of international commodity prices such as oil prices, the core inflation target of the United States has not been well achieved.
Finally, the international economic situation has also had a certain impact on the Fed's decision to raise interest rates. The economies of the European Union and Japan are still in trouble, and some emerging economies have also entered a cyclical adjustment. Because the US dollar is stronger, raising interest rates again will have a great impact on international capital flows and the competitiveness of American goods, which the Fed has to consider.
At the beginning of 20 15, Federal Reserve Chairman Yellen repeatedly said that it is normal to raise interest rates during the year, and the US economy has already had the resilience to withstand the impact of interest rate hikes, paving the way for the Federal Reserve to start the interest rate hike process later. Faced with constant speculation in the market, Yellen hinted that September this year, 65438+February, and even the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting in March next year are all possible time points to start raising interest rates.
It doesn't matter when to raise interest rates. Yellen is more concerned about the direction of interest rate policy, from * * * economic growth to normal level. "* * *" compares the Fed's interest rate hike to the gradual reduction of doctors until they stop prescribing drugs to patients. With the economic recovery to a certain extent, it can provide enough development momentum, and interest rates and loan levels should return to normal to prevent excessive inflation.
In the long run, after the international financial crisis, from the perspective of promoting the healthy development of the US economy, the Fed must adjust the ultra-low interest rate to a normal level. The Fed has finally taken the first step of raising interest rates. After this interest rate hike, whether the US economy can withstand the test, whether it can have spillover effects on the world economy, and what the Fed's follow-up policies will be, all deserve further observation by the market. ...& gt& gt
Question 6: Why did the Fed raise interest rates? 1, the real inflation in the United States is moving towards the goal of 2%. The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation indicator, the US personal consumption expenditure in May increased by 0.2% compared with the same period of last year, and the personal consumption expenditure excluding food and energy increased by 1.2% annually. These two indicators have rebounded in the last three months, and the Fed said that once the short-term impact of falling energy prices subsides, inflation will gradually rise to 2%.
The falling oil price is actually only a small problem. If the Fed wants to find a reason to postpone raising interest rates in September, it will undoubtedly be the commodity market. CRB raw material price index (including economically sensitive scrap metals such as copper, iron, lead, rubber and zinc) has fallen to the lowest level since the end of 2009. Falling raw material prices will curb the rise in manufactured goods prices, so the Fed's confidence in higher inflation will be hit again.
The reason why the Federal Reserve didn't raise interest rates in June was that it was worried about the economic growth of the United States in the first quarter. The general weakness of commodity prices is a common feature of weak global demand. If the Fed's interest rate normalization decision is still uncertain, it obviously has a necessary reason.
4. The following reasons: the near-zero interest rate is abnormal, there are potential risks in financial stability, the labor market is improving day by day, and the growth resistance is reduced. Yes, the country's economy is expected to grow by 3%.
Question 7: What does the Fed mean by raising interest rates? Make us more popular! ! ! ! What does "storage" mean? You misunderstood the subject.
It should be "the Federal Reserve" and "raising interest rates"
The Federal Reserve is the US Federal Reserve System, which is responsible for performing the duties of the US central bank. The system was established on 19 13 12/23 according to the Federal Reserve Act. The core management body of the Federal Reserve is the Federal Reserve Board of Directors.
Question 8: Why did the Federal Reserve raise interest rates?
The first reason: to some extent, control the "hot money" lending that will lead to the financial bubble. If the interest rate stays at the ultra-low level for too long, there will eventually be over-leveraged lending, which will eventually lead to a sharp correction in the market. The panic of selling now points to the near-zero interest rate for eight years, which is evidence that we are on the verge of another round of financial collapse. This paper only thinks that callback and bear market are normal, but financial collapse will not happen automatically. Ultra-low interest rates are necessary because 2008 actually experienced many financial collapses. This paper holds that a few months ago, we just entered a normal bear market.
The second reason: This will give the Fed enough currency flexibility to cope with different economic situations. In a recession, the Fed has the ability to loosen the currency to boost the economy. In times of inflation, the Fed has the ability to tighten policies to slow inflation.
Finally, the most easily overlooked reason: protecting the status of the US dollar as the world's major reserve currency. This is crucial, because becoming a reserve currency is the largest free ride in the world, which enables the United States to maintain its living standard without investment, and American citizens have the opportunity to buy valuable assets at a global discount.
Question 9: Why did the Federal Reserve raise interest rates? What are the benefits of raising interest rates? If prices rise and inflation, it is necessary to raise interest rates, which can prevent prices from rising too fast. The Fed's inflation target is 2%, which is very beneficial to economic growth. Therefore, when the inflation rate begins to rise, it is necessary to gradually raise interest rates to meet the demand of restraining the excessive price increase. To achieve long-term and stable economic development, if it can help you, you hope to adopt it.
Question 10: Why does the Fed's interest rate hike fund return? First of all, the US dollar is an international currency, and all the US dollars circulating in the global market are issued by the Federal Reserve.
Due to the economic downturn and weak recovery, the long-term policy of maintaining low interest rate or even zero interest rate in the United States has led many enterprises to borrow money from banks at low cost or even zero cost to invest in new overseas markets, such as China and Southeast Asia. After raising interest rates, the cost of borrowing has increased, which means that more money will be paid back to Bank of America in the future. Therefore, in order to avoid risks, debtors will repay in advance and the funds will return to the United States.
After raising interest rates, the circulation of the US dollar will decrease and the US dollar will appreciate. Then, in order to avoid risks or investment income, overseas investors will exchange the currencies of other countries into dollars and enter the US stock market or property market to realize wealth appreciation. In this way, the dollar in the market will be very popular, will further appreciate and return to the United States to provide power for the American economy.
Finally, there is a negative correlation between the dollar and gold. When the dollar is strong, gold is weak. Then investors in the gold market will pull their money into the US stock market and property market to increase their value, and the dollar will return.
In short, many aspects can reflect this backflow, but raising interest rates may not necessarily incite the market. This problem is more complicated.