It is estimated that it will take 2-3 years to pass, but it will not return to its former state. The United States is such a country. Its financial strength far exceeds its production capacity. Its GDP accounts for 35% of the world's total, while its capital market value accounts for 54% of the global capital market. The US dollar accounts for 72% of global foreign exchange reserves and 58% of global trade settlement. Obviously, no country can shake its hegemony. The current financial crisis is essentially no different from the crash of 29 years. It is nothing more than a malicious amplification of uncontrolled credit. The financial crisis leads to the credit crisis and further destroys confidence, and the market will go to a very irrational level. This is not a local crisis, and its impact will be deeper and longer than ever. Today's world is different from the past, and it is difficult to directly contribute to the rapid collapse of an empire through war. I believe that America will still get out of the crisis this time. Because this is a country that is particularly good at making a fortune in the crisis, it was the outbreak of World War I and World War II that quickly led to the strength of the United States. One of the secrets of getting rich is that the virtual capital bubble on Wall Street burst and the physical assets stayed in the United States. This time, too, America will be the final winner. We should know that the fundamental attribute of capital is profit-seeking, which is a fundamental starting point that other countries can't forget when considering the measures taken in this crisis. Up to now, we can see from a detail that in such a bad crisis, the ban on short selling was lifted, which led to the further plunge of 10 on June 9. When the stock market crash rescued the crisis in 29 years, or Coolidge was in power, the first thing was to conduct a large-scale investigation on short selling of collective funds. In this case, short selling is allowed, which is extremely harmful. This only shows that some interest groups are still trying to maintain the original order and are still expanding. It can be seen that the power to maintain the old order is still strong. Now the United States is still trying to rebuild the new order with the attitude of the boss, but I am afraid it will take 20 14 to get out of this crisis. Among them, from 20 1 1, 65438+February to 20 14,165438+1October, it will be a real three-year bear market. The current collapse has just begun. There has been a history of 50% rebound after a rapid decline in 29 years, so don't think that the crisis is over just because of the first sustained rebound after the US stock market crash. This decline is a general adjustment to the bull market in the United States for many years. Therefore, strategically, we are not busy with bargain hunting, but looking for suitable opportunities to short.