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Will cross-border capital flows remain generally stable in the first three quarters?
According to the data recently released by the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, the deficit of bank settlement and sale of foreign exchange and foreign-related receipts and payments has obviously narrowed. In the first three quarters of 20 17, the bank's foreign exchange settlement and sale deficit was 1 129 billion US dollars, down 54% year-on-year; Among them, the deficit in August was $3.8 billion, and the surplus in September was $300 million. In the first three quarters, the Bank's foreign-related revenue and expenditure deficit was11500 million USD, down 56% year-on-year. Among them, the deficit in August was 3.5 billion US dollars, and the deficit in September was further reduced to 654.38+0.7 billion US dollars.

It is reported that in the first three quarters, China's cross-border capital flows generally tended to be balanced, and the supply and demand of foreign exchange in the near future were basically balanced. In the first three quarters, the exchange rate, which measures the motivation of enterprises to purchase foreign exchange, was 66%, which was 8 percentage points lower than that of 20 16. Among them, from the first quarter to the third quarter, it was 68%, 67% and 63% respectively, indicating that enterprises are more rational in purchasing foreign exchange. By the end of September, 2065438+2007, the balance of domestic foreign exchange loans had slightly decreased compared with the end of last year, which was more than 70 billion dollars lower than the same period of last year.

In the same period, the settlement exchange rate rose steadily year-on-year, and the willingness of enterprises and individuals to hold foreign exchange declined. In the first three quarters, the exchange rate to measure the willingness to settle foreign exchange, that is, the proportion of foreign exchange sold by customers to customers' foreign exchange income was 63%, up 2 percentage points year-on-year. Among them, the first quarter to the third quarter were 62%, 63% and 64% respectively. Judging from the domestic foreign exchange deposits of enterprises, the balance increased by nearly 40 billion US dollars in the first quarter, 9 billion US dollars in the second quarter and 25.3 billion US dollars in the third quarter. From the perspective of personal domestic foreign exchange deposits, the balance in the first quarter increased slightly by $300 million, and decreased by $2 billion in the second and third quarters, indicating that domestic entities' willingness to hold foreign exchange declined, and the use of their own foreign exchange for external payment increased.