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Trading ideas and experience of super short-term god
In many trading forums, the screen name "553" is well known. Some people jokingly call him Manager Lu, while others affectionately call him Third Brother. The impressive achievements of "553" over the years have established its unshakable position in the market.

The legendary "553"

Graduated from Sichuan University in 553, and then worked in a bank, but although the bank work is stable, it is difficult to develop. Later, I accidentally learned about futures through online forums, so I started trading part-time.

After the plunge in 2008 and the retaliatory rebound in 2009, the domestic futures market showed a prosperous period. At that time, the dealer's handling fee in Zhengzhou was very cheap. Generally, the exchange added 20 cents to 1 cent, and his 1 yuan 2 yuan. After working part-time for almost a year, he felt almost enough and began to quit his job and went to Zhengzhou with his bag.

2009 was a good year, and many speculators broke out. At that time, it was not a problem to get tens of thousands of apartments every day. At that time, 553 earned millions.

At the end of 10, under the instruction of the CSRC, the exchange began to implement the bilateral handling fee policy and cancelled the refund. At first, everyone was indifferent, but before long, people began to die. Many people who had earned tens of thousands of dollars began to lose tens of thousands of dollars every day. Although it sounds a lot, they really lost money, so soon 10. Later, I really never saw it again. In the face of this form, 553 is doomed. 1 1 over, from 10000 to hundreds of thousands, only one car left. When people lose money or are in trouble, they always like to find a place to charge. 553 went to Sichuan and planned to be enlightened in Sichuan.

12 years, he borrowed100000 from a friend and started to go out again. Before going out, he went to Yunnan and stayed with a big boss for about half a year. 10, the big boss made cotton and earned more than 40 million from hundreds of thousands, which was unimaginable for speculators at that time.

After a systematic study and understanding of the market, 553 returned to Zhengzhou again to catch up with the listing of glass. In a big unilateral decline, that year, he achieved his first breakthrough from the glass and achieved a counterattack. At that time, there was a big speculator on each variety, who contributed a lot of liquidity and earned a lot of spreads. When the glass fell to the bottom and began to consolidate, 553 gave up the glass. So 553 became the first brother of glass and the first brother of iron ore in everyone's mouth, and since then, it has laid a position in the rivers and lakes.

As long as you are willing to learn and be taught, it is easy to make futures from small to large to hundreds of millions, and many people can do it. However, it is not so easy to achieve over 100 million. There is a big problem in this, and it may not be just a technical problem. There are many people with excellent skills, but those who can do well are often things other than skills, especially those who earn a lot. Understand the transaction more simply, and jump out of logic to see logic. During the period of Sichuan's closure, 553 is not only thinking about the short term, but also thinking about the short term, that is, I want to do this market. I want to think as much as possible about what the current short-term trend is, what the medium-term trend is, and what the long-term trend is.

People's desires will expand with the material they have, and from the beginning to now, 553 is still maintaining a pure state of life, with little self-esteem, living like a boy in a cloth, pure and natural.

Money is not the same as money.

For 553, the money in life is money and banknotes. He cherishes it very much and basically doesn't spend money. He used to fight the landlord all night, but he still went to the canteen to eat some steamed buns in the morning, even without food and basically without money. It's easy to live. However, the money in the account is not money. In Pu's words, 553 didn't treat the money in the account as money from the beginning, but as a game coin, happy beans, so it was fierce and dared to fight. This is what I'm talking about. You can only say how much you have earned if you dare to lose money. Profit and loss are the same. If you want to lose thousands, you can earn millions. God won't allow it, so I won't feel anything when I hear that 553 has lost tens of millions, because he can earn more. However, if the money in the account is regarded as money, it is difficult to go too far.

People are not saints, who can resist the temptation in the face of money? For example, how can you hold a position to see the profit and loss and treat the money in your account as money? When the account is more than 100,000 yuan and the profit and loss is 10,000 yuan, you will want to take out the computer 1 1000 and the mobile phone 5 100, but what should I do if there is more money in the account? What if the account of 5 million yuan is withdrawn? Who can resist? People who don't treat money as money will break through the shackles of technology and break through the bottleneck of a single quantity.

People who see the general direction clearly are often the ones who earn the most.

One of the biggest tragedies in the short-term era is the handling fee policy. As we all know, a large part of speculators' profits are returned by the handling fee of the exchange. As a speculator, what should I do if the handling fee is not refunded?

At this time, 553 began to think deeply. After all, after the transaction, many other things are unwilling to do. But if you don't have the ability to resist risks, especially policy risks, can you survive leek cutting in the future? The first thing that comes to mind is whether we can see a bigger market. If you want to participate in this market, what is the current small direction? What is the middle direction? What is the general direction? 553 began an in-depth study. Before that, he studied the reading materials systematically for the first time. Because I wanted to learn short-term at that time, there were few people and materials I could find. Learning this thing must be systematic and not fragmented. Just like on the Internet, all kinds of experts can see it. However, you can't save it if it makes sense, and then save it if it makes sense. It's all fragments that don't work, not systematic.

What is the biggest similarity between 13 glass and 14 iron ore? The handling fee is only one aspect. The key is that these two waves of market are unilateral. In 553, 14, he went to Rizhao port to inspect iron ore, and in early 15, he went to Guangxi to inspect sugar. Suppose you are a speculator and earn a little difference, and you don't know the general direction. Do you dare to carry out the order? But anyone familiar with 553 knows that he often takes orders, and he also takes orders overnight. He often does this kind of thing and earns as much as he can bear, but the core lies in how to follow, how to find the market and how to follow. This is the ability. Later, speculators also changed.

"553" expounds futures technology

The essence of futures is gambling. If you can't participate, don't participate. For the convenience of expression, I have two premises: 1. What I said is not necessarily right, and I don't think many views on futures are right or wrong. A lot of what I said is just my personal opinion. If I copy them on others, it's probably easy to explode. 2. Too many places need too many attributes to express perfection, and so on. I usually use the positive tone of the first person Chen directly, and I really don't have the energy to think about such a precise expression. In other words, many things I have stated are my subjective opinions. In many places, I talk about futures, especially speculative orders.

Many people tend to care about two parts of futures: technology and mentality.

What is the skill of frying orders?

The so-called speculative technology, such as 3002: 3003, chased in when 3003 was about to break through. After 3003, because there are many real-time orders, 3003 will pile up a lot of bills. At this time, you failed 3004, and after 3004, you earned a point. When the momentum is wrong, 3003 lightens its position. At this time, you have no loss. In other words, this technology is 80/90% or even 100% in my futures, and I also think it is the only technology in futures. This development is too complicated. I will write an in-depth article in the future. Some friends think this kind of thinking is a bit ridiculous, and they will have a chance to expand it in the future. Everyone knows that the above description is an ideal situation. Now join the short strategy. If you are short, it is obvious that you should go in when 3003 is about to break its position, which means that it is just the opposite of the only technology I said, and the core is that technology. The concept of technical support for speculation is to make money without taking risks, that is to say, the fact that there is no handling fee for the above things proves that if the handling fee is low enough, friends who speculate in speculation have a high probability of making money, which is higher than a certain handling fee and a high probability of losing money. In other words, when we make money, it is only the country that gives us a way to make money without taking risks. In this sense, the existence of speculation is completely enjoying the national policy dividend, which has little to do with personal talent and efforts. How many people can make a profit if their talents and efforts are three or five times higher than the current level? Why can't I mention which level? Therefore, we should thank the country and the fate. This is the technology and concept of speculation.

Why do I think there is only one technology in futures that is price breakthrough? Explain this, including recursion and gambling, and introduce some of my basic ideas, so as to avoid many friends always spreading misinformation. When I say that futures technology is a breakthrough, I don't mean that futures is a breakthrough. Most of my thoughts are gambling. In fact, I hope to be able to state the future as objectively as possible.

For example, when 3000 is about to break through and there is still 10 left, you should follow suit. This should be the most primitive way. When you have 3000 big funds and 500 left, it's time to make a move. Some so-called big funds may have been bought since 1995. Some people may have swept 2995-3005 at one time. If there is further large funds, several lines may be drawn. What is 3000? Or 2990-3000 is an interval. I don't know if it has come to this. Do you realize the meaning of recursion? Those complicated technologies just do some articles around the breakthrough of 3000 price according to the conditions of funds and so on. So the core is to break through 3000. Some so-called control panels are nothing more than guiding people to buy 3000.

Shorting is almost the same, the core is price breakthrough, just the opposite,+/-how much price to do, these are all based on experience and strength, or in other words, when you buy from the most basic 2998 and others buy 3000, you earn 2 points more than the most original.

For another example, if you hang up tens of thousands of orders in 1998 and then buy this price (if successful), at that moment you may feel that you have learned the technology again, but there is no technology at all, because the essence of what you do is just to catch up with the breakthrough of the price of 3000, and you just add some routines, which is not called technology, because it is often wrong and not very sure.

Stop loss is similar. Stop loss at the original price of 3000 yuan at first. Later, it may be a few points, an interval, or even a little drop, a little rise and so on. These are all stops around the original price according to your situation. These developments are also wrong. Do you think those little moves are the core of technology?

Therefore, the core of technology is open, and we don't have to talk about technology all day. The technology we come into contact with is nothing more than someone's cooperation with the market and a little tricks at the moment of his money and personality, which may be invalid tomorrow. Therefore, the core of learning technology is to focus on price breakthrough, combine one's own personality and money, etc., and then it is over. When you have more money, you will be fine.

The idea of gambling is simpler. The original price stop loss with only 0 handling fee is cost-free, so it is an idea independent of futures, because it is a pseudo-0 cost, while other methods are nothing more than a small amount of thanks. You think it is the golden rule to stop loss with 5% capital. Did you find that many bosses in Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Shanghai contributed capital, and then continued to allocate funds. If they lost, they ran away and jumped off the building? Therefore, my outlook on life is different. In other words, the high probability of your loss determines your short-term achievement (if you succeed). If you don't gamble, the accumulation of 10 years is estimated to make your scale go up a step. For example, if you can control100000 now, then you can control1000000 in100000, so I recommend off-site fund management in terms of technology and methods. Let's do it on the spot according to your own personality and what you have mastered. On-site learning really doesn't make much sense. I am very opposed to learning technology and can only extend to this point.

Self-reported bitter days: 6.5438+0.00 million yuan.

Things change, maybe all encounters are doomed, and people never know what will change their destiny.

I remember that at the beginning of 2008, my credit cards (debit cards) of Bank of China, Bank of Communications and Shanghai Pudong Development Bank were overdrawn for several months. I lost my mind and continued to apply for credit cards of Huaxia, Industry and Commerce, China Construction and China Everbright. Unfortunately, a month or two passed and I was rejected. After all, I'm blacklisted and I can't find them. One or two Wal-Mart shopping cards were issued in the store. When I'm bored, I think I haven't been downtown for a long time. Go and use the shopping card. After all, I have to buy something for the New Year. After checking out, I found the credit card (debit card) of Shenzhen Development Bank advertised in the corner. With a try attitude, I went to fill out another form. Maybe this is fate. 1 month later, I got a credit card of 8000 yuan. Compared with the tens of thousands of credit cards (credit cards) that many young people apply for now, the credit cards of that era were relatively low. In this way, I live with cash. On may 1 day, the bank issued a holiday fee, and the department also issued some bonuses for the holiday fee. I have about six or seven thousand dollars in my hand, and I still have to withdraw cash to return the card on the day I pay back the money. I still went to the one I used to go to, and I can't remember many details. I remember whether the rate was 1% or 1.5% at that time, because I had to withdraw my cash and exchange it for another card, and then I had to return it to reset it. There are two or three cards. Because I have cashed out several times there, I am an old customer, and the proprietress is not so nervous. As a result, the last set of cards was paid. The proprietress has about 15000 yuan in her hand. As a result, when she counted the money, she handed it to me. My heart beats faster when I take it. When I joined the bank in 2005, I was an expert in counting money for new employees. Although I don't work at the counter, the bank has to train a lot every year. I still have some basic skills. I knew the amount was wrong the moment I took it. Five or six thousand yuan should not be so thick. I gave these to others myself, but at that time, I was already down and out. I went out after a few polite words, closed the door of the proprietress and stopped the elevator. I flew directly downstairs from the sixth floor and left the community. I'm leaving soon 10 more minutes. 10 more minutes, my heart has been pounding. I know she gave the wrong money. That night, at dinner, I thought about it, but I couldn't resist the temptation and decided to take the money. Later, the cashier called me, and I denied it. Personally, I think money is one thing. More importantly, I feel that after two or three years of bad luck, I finally met a lucky guy. It really feels weird. Many people may not understand the sense of powerlessness that nothing good has happened to them for a long time. I feel that my luck is finally a little better. After all these years, it is rare to have a good thing. In this way, I added quarterly bonus, holiday fee and more than 3000 yuan from my boss to the cash withdrawal. This is my last cash withdrawal. I finally have enough 654.38 million yuan in my account. After May 2008, this 654.38 million yuan was mixed up today. Later, SDB was renamed Ping An Bank. Her credit card (debit card) was the last card I sold, and it was idle in my hand for 2 years. When other cards have money, I will pay back and sell them. If I hadn't met Shenzhen Development Bank's credit card (debit card) soliciting staff at Wal-Mart, if I hadn't been overpaid by thousands of dollars in cash ... Unfortunately, life is a one-way street after all, and there is no if.

Speculation is the best combination of income and rest.

Chatting with a trader, talking about courage, I said that back in those days, I may not have the courage now. After all, I am really poor, and I am afraid of being poor. She suddenly said, she said she was still brave and passionate, and she said she would never be really poor. I suddenly feel very sad. A lot of words are like this. I just said it casually, thinking it was a joke. After talking for a few seconds, I felt inexplicably sad ... I was really poor and afraid of being poor. I am really poor. If there is an afterlife, I still have a similar life opportunity. I still hope to do futures myself, because after all, I have earned money from it that I don't think other industries can. Of course, this money may not be as good as many second-generation words and notes, but what Bai said that day was right: we may not be as good as many second-generation words, but we can change our destiny after all. We work so hard to earn money, which really can't compare with many predators, the second generation, but we don't work hard and our life is much worse than now.

I haven't brought a friend or relative into the business in recent years, and I haven't brought a small white into the business. I said that I know many speculators, all of whom are cliques, and relatives and friends engage in futures together. And in reality, there are many such family gangs that are profitable!

I hate futures. Qian Qian has thousands of ways to Rome, and Qian Qian has thousands of ways to make money through futures. I only walked one of thousands of roads. A core feeling today is that I made some money by relying on government dividends. I didn't advance in real futures trading. I just picked up a leak in an era of low fees. Maybe I made more money than many traders, but I did it. If there is an afterlife, I will choose futures and I will also choose speculation. I feel that my current health has been accelerated by the trend I have made over the years. If it weren't for the trend, my health would be much better. This has something to do with skill and personality. After so many years, I probably know that simple speculation, no matter how big or small, after all, even if you take a midnight snack, you really don't have to work so hard. However, the trend is different. I'm really exhausted, and I have to stay up late, especially now there is a night market. I think most trendsetters stay up late, at least two or three hours longer than speculators. In the long run, everyone will collapse.

How to avoid it? The core point is to make it small enough that you don't want to go to the night market, in other words, so small that you won't bother to go to the market tomorrow. There are contradictions in this. The reason why trendsetters are tired is not that they are tired of holding positions, but that they should think about adding and reducing positions. In other words, they are tired of doing trends because we always want to add positions, and only by adding positions can we make a fortune! I don't know how many people can feel, or rather, the first step in making a trend is to be able to withstand the impact of enough fluctuations on people every day, but this is only the beginning, and then there is the fluctuation of funds. You don't want to increase or decrease your position. In that case, your position will be small relative to your net worth, which is why most successful retail investors, as well as the secrets of futures told by everyone, are more or less gambling.

Let's just say that we do futures to make a lot of money, so the position will not be small. In that case, there will be great fluctuations every day. You can bear the loss, but in the face of large fluctuations, you still have to go in and out, or you have to look at the market! Many people think that the trend trader is very relaxed, because the ratio of his position to his net worth is really small, and the significance of doing futures is not great! Here comes a reason why most institutional investors should do it relatively easily, because institutional investors' positions have nothing to do with their net worth.

For example, many institutional platform investors with a net worth of millions may control tens of millions of funds. For them, small fluctuations in accounts coupled with sharp fluctuations in their hearts often enable these investors to embark on a relatively normal investment psychology and path. For individual retail investors, the small fluctuations in the account and the violent fluctuations in the heart are completely mismatched! Therefore, such investors are very gambling! For example, a 1 100 million institutional trader may have a net worth of 65.438+0 million (we can think that his psychological endurance is 500,000). At this time, the small fluctuations in his account will be easy to handle. He is very interested and correct. At this time, it is easy to annualize 654.38+00-20%. For individual investors, you must first achieve 100 million. At this time, his experience and psychological endurance are great, so if you let his 1 100 million account fluctuate by1200,000 every day, maybe he won't do it at all, but this kind of transaction is negligible. This is tragedy. At this time, for him, the fluctuation of normal positions may be 654.38+million a day. It's really gambling to see the market! Those who don't want to increase or decrease their positions are gambling! At this stage, I can only bear similar fluctuations, and I can't do it without adding positions and reducing positions! But my body has collapsed, and I can't stand watching food! Therefore, for retail investors, speculation may be more practical! Combine earning money with rest! For example, in novels, some forms are not the best, but they are the balance between defense and attack. Perhaps, speculation is the best combination of income and rest, perhaps for people of my character! Or simply put, you do the trend, as long as you want to add positions and develop, then tell me why you don't stay up late. I have endured it for three or five years, and I will die if I continue.

The biggest capital of futures is still young. You can do whatever you want when you are young. When I get old, I'll be in trouble ... my youth has given me the future. Without the happiness and youth of normal people, I ruined my body and got money. Now Brother B, the first speculator in Zhengzhou, is also a desperate man, feeling that he is also exchanging his body for money. He is the most desperate person I know around me! I can't give you advice on whether to work hard or not. After all, life is only a few decades, so it's meaningless to grab money desperately, and it's meaningless not to make money. So, think for yourself. Futures didn't say that people who make money easily are working hard!