Huang Lichen, financial investment analyst, mainly engaged in the analysis and research of spot gold, silver and crude oil investment. Rich practical experience, good at the comprehensive application of various technical indicators. Combined with the interpretation of the news, he formed a set of effective trading methods in market analysis and actual trading.
Chinese name: Huang Lichen
Nationality: China.
Ethnic group: Han nationality
Place of birth: Wuhan, Hubei
Date of birth:1May 4, 988
Occupation: Financial Investment Analyst
Representative works: "Gold shock reorganizes interest rates or becomes a gimmick", "Market reversal is only an illusion, and the gold bear market is not over"
Research direction: precious metals investment.
personal file
Chinese name: Huang Lichen
Ethnic group: Han nationality
Date of birth:1May 4, 988
Graduate school:
Place of birth: Wuhan, Hubei
Current residence: Wuhan, Hubei Province
Occupation: Financial Investment Analyst
Height: 178cm
Weight: 68 kg
Research direction: precious metals investment.
Personal interests: travel, reading.
Representative works: gold shocks to raise interest rates or become a gimmick; The market reversal is only an illusion, and the gold short position is not over; The Fed resolution and Yellen's speech followed closely, and the expectation of raising interest rates rose again; The trend of gold and silver bears remains unchanged, and the short-term rebound is obviously suppressed; The bull was hit continuously after you left me; And get to the root of the problem and jump out of the thinking obstacle of stop loss.
outline
Huang Lichen, financial investment analyst, mainly engaged in the analysis and research of spot gold, silver and crude oil investment. Rich practical experience, good at the comprehensive application of various technical indicators. Combined with the interpretation of the news, he formed a set of effective trading methods in market analysis and actual trading.
Now he is the chief analyst of Wuhan Haofeng Investment Management Co., Ltd. and a special contributor to many websites. His articles have been published and reprinted on Sina Finance, Admiralty Online, He Xun Gold, sohu finance and other financial websites, and expert columns have been set up on websites such as Ark Finance, HSBC Foreign Exchange Network, 325 Fortune Network and Southern Fortune Network.
research direction
By analyzing the form of K-line chart and combining with the application of technical indicators, we can judge the next market trend and conduct hedging transactions.
Investment viewpoint
1. Don't put all your eggs in one basket, invest within your ability.
2. Stop loss should be set every time you enter the market, and the loss should not exceed one tenth of the trading funds.
3. Don't operate against the market, and immediately close your position when you are uncertain.
4. Avoid intraday trading and wait for the right time to enter the market.
5. Avoid pyramid overweight at inappropriate times.
6. Keep a good attitude and avoid greed.
7. If multiple transactions make profits continuously, part of the profits should be withdrawn for emergencies.
Economic viewpoint
At present, the market generally believes that the weak non-farm payrolls report in September may prevent the Fed from raising interest rates this year. Huang Lichen believes that it is still necessary to be wary that recent profit-taking may suppress the price of gold. Recently, the fluctuation of gold due to bad economic news is greater than that due to good news, because the good news of the Federal Reserve and the United States has fallen, because the Fed raised interest rates and the bad news of the US economy has risen.
The biggest recent fluctuation of gold occurred after the news that the economy was not conducive to the Fed's interest rate hike and the dollar's rise. For example, Friday's US non-farm payrolls data was significantly lower than expected, causing gold to soar by $30 in one day. When American economic indicators perform well, gold will begin to retreat accordingly. The market as a whole is still valued according to the Fed's expectation of raising interest rates. The poor performance of non-farm employment on Friday greatly delayed the expectation of the Fed to raise interest rates, keeping gold at its current level.
The current situation of the American economy, the same degree of economic downturn, may make the labor market unable to achieve full employment, and inflation is difficult to generate upward pressure. In this case, Huang Lichen thinks that monetary policy may need to keep near zero interest rate for a longer time, and it is not possible to raise interest rates until 20 16 or even later. Based on the market expectation, after the non-agricultural report in September, the market predicted that the probability of the Fed raising interest rates in 20 15 would decrease, and this decline mainly shifted to the probability of raising interest rates in 20 17. However, even if the market delays the Fed's expectation of raising interest rates, the road of gold's rebound is unpredictable.