Based on its relentless exploration of the future, over the past three years, Huawei has had in-depth exchanges with more than 1,000 scholars, customers, and partners in the industry, organized more than 2,000 seminars, and referenced data and methodologies from authoritative organizations such as the United Nations, the World Economic Forum, and the World Health Organization, as well as clues from scientific journals and papers such as Nature and IEEE and insights from reports from relevant industry associations and consulting firms. The Smart World 2030 report is a collection of insights from industry experts and Huawei's experts, and outputs trend insights for ICT technologies and their applications for the next decade.
The report proposes eight directions for interdisciplinary and cross-disciplinary exploration at the macro level, describing how ICT technologies can solve the problems and challenges facing human development, and what new opportunities they can bring to organizations and individuals; and at the industry level, it systematically considers the future technologies and development directions of the four domains of communication networks, computing, digital energy, and smart car solutions.
Smart World 2030: Humans will live healthier and better quality lives, have greener and more adequate food, live in more humanized spaces, no longer worry about congestion on the way to work, live in livable cities, enjoy renewable and green energy, hand over repetitive and dangerous work to machines, and enjoy digital services safely and securely. Around these needs, Huawei puts forward an eight-dimensional outlook:
By 2030, through computational modeling of public **** health and medical health data, humans will move from "treating the sick" to "treating the sick," realizing proactive prevention of disease; and through IoT, AI, and other technologies, Huawei will be able to provide the necessary tools and services to help people achieve their goals. At the same time, with the help of the Internet of Things, AI and other technologies, the treatment program will no longer be the same.
In the future, people will be able to use IoT technology to monitor and analyze the real-time status of every piece of land environment and every crop, and improve yields through accurate data. We will also be able to rely on historical data to predict future changes in the growing environment and take intervention measures in advance to reduce the risk of yield reduction. Using a scientific decision-making system that combines big data + artificial intelligence + agronomic knowledge, we can achieve precise farming operations, such as water and fertilizer integration to achieve precise water and fertilizer application, and drones to achieve detection and fight integration to achieve precise drug application.
Utilizing a new farming model like Vertical Farms can help us create a globally replicable smart farming model that is independent of climate change and natural geography through data, benefiting the green diet.
Additionally, each person can create a personalized data model of taste and nutritional content based on their meat preferences, and through 3D printing, they can obtain artificial meat that meets their personal health needs and has the best taste.
Looking toward 2030, we are linking more farmland, farm tools, crops, and other key elements of agricultural production through ICT technologies, and collecting and synthesizing multiple types of data on climate, soil, and the state of crop growth in order to boost food production.
Constructing a new intelligent community infrastructure, through ICT technology, the big data generated by each intelligent facility will be gathered in a unified community management system, relying on the system to carry out real-time global management of the community, so as to enable people to enjoy more convenient life services.
Applying green design and clean energy technologies to realize zero carbon emissions in buildings. When the passive energy-saving design cannot meet the daily needs, the energy-saving management system will provide active intervention to optimize the energy use structure, accurately regulate the indoor environment, and reduce energy consumption.
5G+AIoT technology helps smart home systems realize self-adaptation. The whole-house smart home system is customized according to the customer's needs, and with the support of higher-speed networks and more sophisticated algorithms, it can autonomously perceive the user's instantaneous needs at home, and provide more natural and more intimate services.
In 2030, ICT technologies such as sensors, IoT, and AI will transform people's living environments at the community, building, and indoor levels, creating a new set of interactive living and working experiences from the outside in, and creating personalized spaces that "get you.
In 2030, people's homes will be filled with all kinds of smart homes, and life and entertainment will be reshaped by new interaction modes; buildings will be fitted with a variety of intelligent control devices; and communities will expand with richer smart features. All of this requires a large bandwidth connection to provide a no-latency living experience.
Huawei predicts that by 2030, the number of global fiber optic broadband users will reach 1.6 billion, and the penetration rate of 10Gbps home broadband will reach 23%.
By 2030, new energy vehicles with self-driving technology will allow us to have an exclusive mobile third space; new manned vehicles will not only improve emergency rescue efficiency and reduce the cost of delivering emergency supplies, but will also change the way people commute.
In the next decade, the tide of electrification + intelligence will be unstoppable, and ICT technology and the automotive industry will converge. The automotive industry will usher in the development of intelligent driving, intelligent space, intelligent services, and intelligent production. Huawei hopes to empower industrial intelligence with its own ICT technologies to help automotive companies build better cars.
The ultimate goal of intelligent driving is to rely on technologies such as autonomous driving to greatly reduce the incidence of traffic accidents and provide users with an efficient and seamless travel experience. Automatic driving will be realized in closed road scenarios such as highways and parks, and will gradually cover all scenarios on open roads, such as urban areas.
In the future, the car as a new intelligent space, supported by ICT technology, artificial intelligence, biometrics, car light, AR/VR and other technologies make the cockpit show a combination of virtual and real new features. Intelligent cars will really become a "virtual and real integration of intelligent living space" from "flexible mobile space".
Huawei predicts that by 2030, the penetration rate of new self-driving cars in China will be higher than 20%; the proportion of new car sales accounted for by electric cars will be more than 50%; in-vehicle arithmetic will exceed 5,000 TOPS as a whole; and the transmission capacity of in-vehicle single-links will be more than 100 Gbps.
In addition to daily life in the fields of healthcare, food, housing and transportation, Huawei is also exploring the future of digital communications for the city, energy, enterprises and the public, and is looking into the future of the digital world.
In addition to everyday healthcare, Huawei is also exploring the future of cities, energy, enterprises, and digital credibility.
The next decade will be a decade of rapid development of ICT technologies such as 5G, optical, AI, cloud, blockchain, and smart sensing, and cities will enter the era of 10Gbps connectivity: 10Gbps enterprise access, 10Gbps home broadband access, and 10Gbps personal wireless access experience, Huawei predicts that by 2030, the penetration of 10Gbps enterprise WiFi globally will reach 40%, and the penetration of 10Gbps home users globally will reach 22%. home user penetration will reach 22%.
The combination and fusion of urban and ICT technologies will surely produce a huge fission effect in the future, dramatically improving the utilization of urban resources, the efficiency of governance, and the user experience, thus truly realizing the goal of sustainable urban development and making the city more temperate and livable.
Facing 2030, digital transformation drives further upgrading of enterprises. Technologies such as AI, sensors, IoT, cloud computing, 5G, AR/VR, etc. are utilized to create new productivity, bridge the labor gap, help enterprises seize new business opportunities, and expand corporate boundaries.
Huawei predicts that by 2030, every 10,000 manufacturing employees will be working with 390 robots*** and 1 billion VR&AR users. One million companies will build their own 5G private networks (including virtual private networks); cloud services account for 87% of enterprise application spending; AI computing accounts for 7% of enterprise IT investment.
In the future, through the flexible reshaping of product design, task allocation, equipment function, logistics and distribution, etc., to achieve a new production model centered on people. the further improvement and commercialization of 3D printing technology popularization, and even directly eliminate the need to make molds, production line adjustments and other aspects of the consumer's own design, their own production, creating a new personalized production model. The supply chain will also become visualized and meshed with the help of digitalization, enhancing the resilience of enterprises to cope with the ever-changing market environment.
In the next decade, mankind will enter the digital energy era, comprehensively promoting the transformation of decarbonization, electrification, and intelligence. Photovoltaic, wind power and other new renewable energy will gradually shake the traditional fossil energy status, power electronics and digital technology is the depth of integration, the realization of the entire energy system "bit management watts", and in the "energy cloud" on the realization of a variety of intelligent applications.
Huawei predicts that by 2030, on the energy production side, wind and light new energy will become one of the main power sources, and renewable energy will account for 50% of the total global power generation; PV installations will reach 3,000GW, and PV kWh prices will be as low as $0.01; 80% of the digital infrastructure will be supplied by green energy. On the energy consumption side, the terminal electrification rate will exceed 30%, electric vehicles will account for more than 50% of new car sales, and more than 80% of digital infrastructure will be powered by green energy.
For 2030, human beings will be able to use blockchain, artificial intelligence and other technologies to better protect personal privacy and digital assets, more accurately combat fake news and other digital counterfeiting, and reduce the potential for fraud or data theft. Technologies such as privacy-enhanced computing enable secure and encrypted data*** enjoyment for multiple parties, ensuring the flow of data value without compromising privacy and security.
Huawei predicts that by 2030, more than 50% of computing scenarios will use privacy-enhanced computing, and 85% of enterprises will use blockchain technology.
At the same time, the laws and rules of digital security represented by the GDPR and the trend of data antitrust will expand globally, further building a credit system between individuals and organizations, and accelerating the process of legal compliance of organizations in terms of digital credibility.
A robust digital trust ecosystem requires multiple parties*** to build. In addition to their own protection and control of partners, enterprises can also cooperate with relevant organizations to fight against violations of information security and data monopoly, and to protect the security of users' data. Enterprises should also actively participate in strengthening the education and training of all people in digital skills, to enhance citizens' awareness of data security and privacy, and to build a digital and trustworthy smart world.
The Smart World 2030 Forum is the first time Huawei has systematically shared cutting-edge research and insights for the next decade, which will bring significant value to the development of human society, especially the global digital transformation process and the development of the digital economy.
Imagination determines how far we can go in the future, and action determines how fast we reach the future. The best way to predict the future is to create it. On the road to Smart World 2030, there are still tons of challenges to cross. As Wang Tao mentioned at the end of his speech, "The strongest wisdom is the wisdom of all, the greatest force is the combined force, we firmly believe that the power of thought is the fundamental driver of world progress, thank you for your share of the help, let us join hands, *** together towards a Smart World 2030!"