Pig price data for the first week of May shows that the trend of pig prices has gone from "all up" to "all the way down", as of May 8, the national average price of three yuan hogs is 14.7 yuan / kg, the country's 31 provinces and cities, most of the price of pigs into the downward channel. The price of hogs in 31 provinces and cities across the country has mostly entered a downward channel.
Specific to the provinces and cities pig prices, the country only Liaoning, Beijing, Hainan, Guizhou, four provinces and cities rose slightly, and the rate of increase is almost negligible; the rest of the provinces and cities have been all "green", of which a single day the biggest drop is Zhejiang Province, overnight fell 0.31 yuan / kg.
Overall, the main sales area of pig price fluctuations to be greater than the fluctuations of the main producing areas, this wave of pig price trend can be said to be up fast in the region down fast.
Piglets, although hogs and piglets is a lineage of the relationship between the fluctuations in pig prices to a large extent will affect the price trend of piglets, from the trend of the two in the last month, the price of hogs did lead to the price of piglets climbed; however, the two trends are not completely positively correlated, the price of hogs has begun to fall back in the next 2-3 days, but the price of piglets does not seem to have been affected by the impact of too much, piglet! The market is still active and piglets are still being looted.
For the current hog market presents a hog price drop piglet price rise, I think there are several reasons:
Reason one: large-scale farms to increase the amount of hogs slaughtered.
From the March and April major hog enterprises and pork listing volume, in fact, farmers have accelerated the pace of capacity.
On the one hand, it is due to the continued high feed prices, from the cost control point of view to consider going to capacity, on the other hand, it is a continuous loss, has made farmers feel the pressure doubled, from the survival point of view to consider that they have to accelerate to go to capacity, and the same is true for the month of May, although the price of hogs rose compared to the previous period, but it still failed to turn around the loss to profit, and had to increase the amount of hogs to slaughter in order to stop the loss in a timely manner.
Reason two: the impact of weak market demand.
It is believed that the price trend in the fourth quarter of last year, where farming participants are well remembered.
Then hog production capacity has been at a high level, and in the National Day holiday hit an all-time low, but after the price of hogs can turn against the wind and continue to rise, most farmers can have a small profit, thanks to the factors of the market in the fourth quarter of the peak season of consumption, but now hogs stop within 15 yuan per kilogram, the market consumption of the weak impact on it can not be ignored.
Reason three: the third quarter of pig farming is expected to realize the turnaround.
About the farmers to turn losses into profits point in time prediction, the industry is also a different point of view, farmers hear more will not know in the end which is correct.
Recently, the official team of experts also gave a prediction that the third quarter of pig farming is expected to achieve a turnaround, based on the state to make a judgment based on big data, the farmers of the prediction of a relatively high degree of acceptance, it is thanks to this judgment, farmers began to replenishment of piglets, piglets, and then push the concentration of replenishment of piglet prices rose.
In short, the reason why the price of pigs stopped rising and piglet prices are still rising, the reason is mainly based on the different factors affecting the price of pigs is still the root cause of the situation in the pig market supply exceeds demand, and piglet prices are more thanks to the short-term demand for a rapid increase.
But with the passage of time, the price of hogs almost no bottoming out possible, and piglet prices will be stabilized with the stability of the demand gradually return to a smooth, when a new round of pig cycle or has opened!
What kind of trend do you think the next hog prices will show? Welcome to leave a message to discuss.