Especially after the Spring Festival holiday, the mainstream purchase price of grass-roots pigs began to rise intensively recently, but from the actual performance of grass-roots pig prices, the current pig prices are still at a low level.
For farmers, the price of pigs began to rise and then rise. Does it mean that 2023 will be a year for farmers to raise pigs and increase their income? In the future, what new changes will occur in domestic pig prices? There are two practical problems in the sudden change of market prices of grain and pig prices. I hope that farmers in China can face it positively. Let's talk about the specific situation together.
According to the current mainstream purchase price of live pigs at the grass-roots level, the mainstream price of live pigs in many parts of the country is maintained in the price range of 6~7 yuan per catty.
Objectively speaking, such pig prices are at a low level, and many farmers who chose to fatten twice before, including some group pig farms, are facing increasing loss pressure.
According to the big data of the grassroots pig market, since February, the mainstream price of grassroots pigs has remained at 13.50~ 14.27 yuan per kilogram.
After a series of recovery increases, the month-on-month decline of pig price decreased from the original 15% to the present 8.0 1 ~ 8.4 1%, and the fluctuation pattern of pig price at the grass-roots level was improved.
However, the prices of feed raw materials such as corn and soybean meal are still at a high level. At present, the mainstream price of corn is maintained at 2942 yuan per ton, and the mainstream price of soybean meal is maintained at 4980 yuan per ton.
Based on the above data, at present, the ratio of pig to grain at the grass-roots level is maintained at 4.85: 1, and the income of pig farmers continues to decline, and many farmers are facing increasing cash flow pressure.
However, according to the current trend of rising pig prices at the grass-roots level, domestic pig prices will be in a favorable recovery stage at least during the first half of February.
According to the relevant regulatory measures formulated by the National Development and Reform Commission, once the pig-to-grain ratio at the grass-roots level falls below 5: 1 for one week in a row, the state will start a new round of reserve storage to promote the pig price at the grass-roots level to return to a reasonable range as soon as possible.
Therefore, this also fully shows that it is very likely to start the storage and regulation of reserve meat in the future, further alleviating the pressure on farmers to raise pigs.
Compared with the market pattern of grass-roots pig prices, food prices have also ushered in a new round of market changes since February.
The price of corn and soybean in Shandong, North China and Northeast China fluctuates repeatedly, especially in Shandong and North China, which once again makes many farmers feel particularly anxious.
Pig God of Wealth believes that the pattern of corn shocks across the country has been effectively improved.
After repeated shocks and fluctuations, the grain sales of grain farmers began to slow down, and the grain sales of farmers also ushered in some changes.
With the continuous decline in the listing scale of autumn grain, it is believed that during the first half of February, the fluctuating corn price will be improved to some extent.
Through the above market conditions, pig prices and food prices will usher in a series of favorable changes during the first half of February.
But for us breeders, there are two practical problems that we must face. The following pig god of wealth will give you a specific analysis.
Realistic problem 1: No matter how the price of live pigs fluctuates, it is an indisputable fact that the actual price of live pigs is at a low level from February to now.
The cost of raising pigs faced by farmers has been maintained at a high level.
Therefore, at present, farmers must be alert that the high cost of raising pigs may further lead to the real problem that individual farmers face cash flow fracture.
Moreover, under the influence of repeated fluctuations in the price of pigs at the grassroots level, most farmers have already faced losses in raising pigs, so everyone should be fully vigilant.
Realistic problem 2: With the coming of solar terms in beginning of spring, spring ploughing and preparation for ploughing will officially begin all over the country, and the weather changes are closely related to the actual income of many farmers.
For grain farmers who have not sold their grain, if the weather conditions are not good, the grain will face the risk of mildew.
Especially with the arrival of spring, the temperature in many areas began to rise steadily.
The overall change of temperature will further aggravate the risk of grain storage in individual areas. I hope everyone can sell grain in an orderly manner according to their own grain storage conditions.
In 2023, as a crucial year to promote rural revitalization in an all-round way, Pig God of Wealth implores all farmers to take action and click "Watch it" in the lower right corner of the text to praise the upcoming rebound of pig prices and food prices.