With the development and progress of science and technology, the farming industry is also changing, not like the old days when rural families raised chickens and ducks and pigs. Nowadays, many people start their own business, will consider the farming industry, especially the college students who have returned from their studies, it can be said that the farming industry is a sunrise industry, waiting for a large influx of talent. In the next 5-10 years, the farming industry will undergo radical changes, and the development prospects are optimistic. Here's what I think about the future of the farming industry:
1, the development of large-scale is the mainstream, but by no means is the bulk of the farmers quit
But the bulk of the farmers will be upgraded, some of the concept of good breeding, high level of technical skills, will be more and more development, the formation of large-scale, and some of the concept of poor breeding, breeding to lose money, it may be accelerated to exit. The situation will be more and more complicated. For example, now the pig industry, the epidemic hit, accelerated the industrialization of the pig industry.
2, the company plus breeder mode
Now that there are breeder free-range chickens, pigs have contract pigs, the rapid expansion of grouped hog farms need to take the breeder, farmers need high-quality hogs, chicks, but also need to share the risk and technical support, the era of cooperation, will definitely **** win.
3, qualified discharge of farm effluent, environmental protection costs increase
The continuous development of the farming industry, the same pollution and environmental deterioration, in recent years, the state for the farming industry continues to rectify. For the discharge of unqualified farms for mandatory closure and rectification, delineation of restricted areas, prohibited areas, planning farming community, reduce the breeding noise, prohibit wastewater discharges and so on. In order to environmentally sustainable development, the investment in environmental protection facilities will be a major cost share of the farming industry.
4, food safety and limited resistance, anti-prohibition
People's living water quality improvement, the pursuit of human health development, for meat products are also more and more demanding. The state for meat, eggs and milk index requirements are also constantly improving, limit antibiotic, ban antibiotic is really necessary. Laying hens industry has already begun to ban antibiotics, factory eggs are not allowed to have antibiotic residues. The pig industry in 2020 after July feed to prohibit the addition of antibiotics, while the feed additives requirements are strict, only allows Chinese medicine additives.
5, intensive, mechanized, energy-saving
Compared to the domestic farming industry, Europe and the United States of America's agricultural and animal husbandry industry and farming modernization is relatively high. In the United States a person can manage 3000 pigs. In the country, with the increase in domestic labor costs, the degree of mechanization is getting higher and higher, the degree of farming intensification will be accelerated.
6, branding development
The next 5-10 years will emerge as a high-quality meat, egg and milk brands, private independent brands of meat will be gradually enriched, the local breeder pigs, breeder chickens breeding system is sound, consumers will be more and more inclined to large brands of meat and eggs.
7, specialty farming: family farms and tourism deep combination
With the development of domestic tourism, more and more city people want to go to experience the countryside life, agro-industrial, fishermen's music better and better. The new era of rural, modern family ranch and tourism industry, the development of the direction of colorful.
8, Internet + farming
The 21st century is the century of the Internet, any industry can be related to the Internet, e-commerce and express delivery industry development, led to the progress of other industries, farming is also included. Green and non-polluting products are combined with the Internet to increase sales.
9, industrial integration , the extension of the chain of interests
Want to increase the value of the product, extend the industry chain is a way. The simple farming to recycling to slaughter and then to food, the original a breeding end, into a number of revenue transfer station, so that more people to participate in, *** with the benefit.
1, beef cattle breeding development prospects. Beef cattle early maturity, strong disease resistance, high fertility, fast turnover, generally calves produced that year can be slaughtered that year to benefit. Cattle with a strong ability to pick grass and developed rumen, can make use of a large number of pasture and straw and other roughage, feeding costs are low. Such as 8-12 months old cattle for rapid fattening, 3 months each head of cattle can win 200-300 yuan. Connoisseurs predict that in the next few years cattle farming will be a national depth of development, large-scale breeding, integrated processing, export of gold industry.
2, sheep farming has a broad market prospects. In recent years, lamb alone food "seller's market" advantage, the price is always in a rising trend. Raising a ewe sheep generally produce 2 tires per year (2-4 per tire), and can make a profit of 400-600 yuan per year.
3, meat pigeon farming. The cost of meat pigeon farming is much lower than meat chicken, and meat pigeon rearing is simple, less investment, low cost, less grain, fast results, high economic efficiency, is a promising breeding industry, but also a good project to get rich quickly, suitable for state-run farms, forests, ranches and professional households. According to the survey to raise a pair of pigeons with a chicken, a fattening pig comparison, raising a pair of pigeons a year can be profitable 99.5 yuan, more than raising a pig 22 yuan, than raising a chicken with a high annual profit of 2.2 times.
Although we all raise meat food, in fact, fish and pigs can also make money, only at present, pig risk, but high profits, it is worth investing in Oh, at the same time the state has subsidies, pig pig pig more than 3,000, will subsidize 800,000 yuan, it is worth trying.
I am engaged in the farming industry, the next 5 10 years of the farming industry is still in the development stage, although there is no rapid development of foreign farming, but we have our own advantages of the development of the farming industry, the overall outlook is more optimistic. Because I own sheep, the following focus on the prospects for the next 5 10 years of sheep farming.
First, you can breed more excellent meat sheep breeds.
We have to admit, our domestic and foreign comparison is not particularly good meat sheep breeds. Like foreign Dupo sheep, Suffolk sheep, Charolais sheep, hornless Tauset sheep, Boer goats and other breeds are very good varieties, our country in recent years from abroad to introduce the excellent meat sheep breeds to do the hybridization of the parent, and the local sheep cross, cultivated a strong reproductive capacity, fast growth rate of the new varieties.
Second, to strengthen the fattening production of meat sheep and other supporting technologies.
The general rural backyard farmers do not understand the technology of meat sheep fertilizer, some large-scale sheep farms are mainly through the meat sheep fertilizer profit. Fertilizing sheep is the most common is fattening, the future can be with a more reasonable fattening feed ration formula, thus improving economic efficiency.
Third, the meat sheep industry slowly towards the scale of the transition to intensification.
The future of all farming industry (including the meat sheep industry) will gradually to the direction of large-scale intensive development. The advantage of doing so is that it can save farming costs, improve the productivity of the farming industry, to avoid environmental pollution and waste of resources caused by too much fragmentation of the farming industry.
Fourth, the effective use of advantages in the deep processing of livestock products.
For example, sheep farming, in addition to mutton can be converted into profit, the rest of the sheep underwater, wool, sheepskin, sheep intestines can realize considerable economic benefits. We put these by-products through deep processing, so that they play their respective benefits, is also a good income.
Finally summarized: the next 5 10 years of farming industry prospects, basically in a steady state of development. Friends who want to engage in farming can start from a small scale, and then down-to-earth, one step at a time to accumulate funds or expand the scale of farming.
Farming and planting is a traditional industry, unlike the Internet, electronic technology, such as belonging to the explosive and popular industry, but farming and planting are quite high status. Regardless of how society develops in the future, these two industries will always exist and will not weaken; and with the efficient use of resources, the combined development of farming and planting is also an inevitable trend.
Changes in the prospects of the farming industry in the next 5-10 years1. standardization, scale: China's farming industry has a lot of long-term scattered farms, especially in the former river to open a lot of farms, causing a lot of pollution to our environment, to the residents of the life of a great deal of trouble. Especially after experiencing the storm of breeding livestock and poultry diseases, the management of our farming industry will be more standardized. More large farms will appear, management of farming scientific norms, will gradually occupy half of our farming industry. But this process will be carried out slowly, a lot of mountain high and far away from the management of scattered farmers will continue to exist, until they can not withstand the requirements of the department of environmental protection, manure treatment problems, slowly exit.
2. Scattered farmers upgrading: I just said that our self-employed scattering farmers will be due to insufficient technology, management is not standardized, manure environmental protection treatment is not up to standard, not enough money and other issues by our large-scale farms crowded out. But our country is a large country, rural farmers problem is an important issue, and help villagers get rich, farming out of poverty is the project indicator. Many rural people do not have other skills, go out and can not find a way to make a living, so it is necessary to engage in farming in the countryside. Therefore, free-range farmers will not exit the stage of history, but will exist in a new mode of farming in cooperation with companies. This way our farmers can earn money, and the risk borne by the reduction of our livestock and poultry farming industry is more standardized.
3. Environmental protection is the first, the south pig north, mechanization, intelligence: Now the rural areas are left a lot of farming experience technical people, and do farming more and more young people. And many are going to large farms have done people, now out of the single. But our large companies have more modern technology applications, mechanization and intelligence will become the new trend of the farming industry. Including the big brother of the farming industry - Wensley, they have realized the remote monitoring of the country's major pig farms, accurate positioning of each pig, the establishment of pig farm database. But for now, more farms are showing a backward state, still need to grow further, we need to make greater efforts in the farming industry researchers and farmers.
The people to food for heaven! Ensure the safety of our food basket, every farming staff, researchers have a responsibility.Now China's aquaculture industry is developing very rapidly, resulting in serious environmental problems, in recent years, environmental protection tax and the ban on farming orders so that many farmers feel a headache. Foreseeing the future prospects of farming, the following four points we need to pay more attention!
1. Environmental protection, green: With the deterioration of the natural environment, the pollution caused by farming should not be underestimated. In order to protect the environment, aquaculture environmental protection, green can be described as a natural choice.
2. Low profit: With a large amount of capital into the farming industry, the improvement of farming technology, production performance will greatly improve, the breeding products will be rich and diverse, the supply is sufficient. So the era of profiteering in the farming industry has come to an end. With the demise of small-scale farming, aquaculture products will not skyrocket and plummet, farms to maintain low profits is the trend.
3. Energy saving: oil, gas, electricity and other clean energy prices are very high, breeding enterprises can hardly afford, cheap coal, is prohibited by environmental laws and regulations, the farms use the animals themselves to generate heat heating and other energy-saving farming techniques will be the trend.
4. Land resources: the farming industry can use less and less land, the site is often affected by the climate, topography, water and land resources around and so on, so suitable for the development of the farming industry land resources are becoming increasingly tense, the trend of tight land resources in the farm.
Product prices fluctuate too much to the policy is closely related to imported food, often millions of tons, the price does not have a certain stability, the gods are difficult to predict,
How is the outlook for the aquaculture industry in the next 5-10 years?
With the improvement of the standard of living of China's residents, people not only require to eat, but also to eat well, the personnel for the demand for meat food has also increased. Therefore, the prospects for the farming industry in the next 5-10 years is still good!
So, how should the farming industry in the next 5-10 years?
First: farms to standardization, large-scale development, rural casual farmers continue to upgrade.
More and more farms towards standardization, large-scale development, standardization, large-scale farms will gradually occupy the dominant position in China's farming industry. According to China's farming situation, backyard farmers in the next few decades is not out of the farming market. But loose farmers will continue to upgrade and grow, and will eventually form standardized, large-scale. Eventually eliminated those breeding awareness is weak, technical management is not standardized, environmental protection does not meet the standards, the lack of funds of the bulk farmers.
Second: the manure, sewage discharge environmental requirements will be higher.
Many of China's farms are built in residential areas, scenic areas, water sources, near the highway, to the surrounding residents and the environment caused by a lot of pollution, and even pollution and damage to the environment, soil and water sources. Therefore, the relevant government departments to rectify and shut down the discharge of unqualified farms. The delineation of prescribed farming districts has strict requirements for sewage and other sewage facilities. Therefore, the farms will increase the investment in environmental protection and sewage.
Third: "Internet + farming" new model.
The future of the farm will build intelligent Internet farming platform to farms + Internet + e-commerce new farming model will integrate the traditional farming industry and the Internet, the future to break the original geographical, information occlusion and other restrictions to further promote the rapid development of the farming industry.
Fourth: market conditions, major epidemics and other risks.
With the large influx of foreign capital into the farming industry, the production performance of the farming industry and the amount of output will be significantly increased, low profits will probably be the general trend of the farming industry. In addition, the impact of market conditions is also very large. At the same time, African swine fever, avian influenza and other major epidemics and other risks are also very large!
The farming industry has always been a hot topic, we discuss more, mainly divided into two schools of thought: the first faction is the future prospects of the farming industry is good, you can boldly farming; the other faction is the prospect of the farming industry is almost lost, can not see hope, farming has no future.
To predict the future prospects of the farming industry in the next 5-10 years, that no one is not allowed to say a fixed number, the following I will be divided into two factions according to say it.
The first camp: the next 5-10 years of farming industry prospects are good, you can farm
Reason analysis:
First: the improvement of living standards, increased demand for meat
In recent years, with the rapid development of our country, the people's standard of living continues to improve, there is a great improvement, we are from the previous to eat enough to eat well, no matter whether it is the material pursuit Or spiritual pursuit, there is a great improvement, we are at the table on the demand for meat is also increasing, the demand is slowly increasing, the supply has to keep up, the supply has to keep up, is the need to increase the aquaculture industry, so the prospects for the aquaculture industry is good.
Second: technology is getting better and better, the development of scientific farming
As society continues, the farming industry is also constantly improving and learning, farming to scale, intensive, scientific in the step-by-step development of farming personnel are also constantly learning farming experience and technology, the introduction of advanced farming equipment machinery, so that down to minimize the waste of resources, reduce the cost of inputs, and finally get the most out of it. The first step is to make sure that you have the best possible chance of getting the most out of your money.
Third: breeding more standardized, the industry chain is more perfect
The previous breeding, scattered, soil farming, spending energy, manpower, material resources are very large, and finally achieved the benefits but only a little bit, with the continuous development of the breeding industry in the continuous improvement, improve the breeding specifications, improve the breeding environment, while the breeding industry industry chain is also in the step-by-step improvement, feed, breeding seedlings, breeding, and the industry chain. Improvement, feed, breeding seedlings, medicine, sales and so on are improving step by step, so that the breeding industry is getting better and better, more and more standardized and convenient, in the next 5-10 years will be more and more good, so the prospect of breeding will also be more and more good.
The second camp: the next 5-10 years of the farming industry outlook is worrying, do not want to farm
Reason analysis:
First: low profits, large costs
With the development of society, more scientific and technological applications to the farming industry, the breeding of the type of increase in farming technology to further improve the breeding, which makes the breeding of the supply of stabilization or even saturation, the price fluctuations will slowly flatten out. The price fluctuations will slowly level off, and the profiteering scene in the farming industry will slowly go away, and the profits of the farming industry will be greatly reduced.
Second: environmental protection, green development
With the increasing number of farming industry, a large amount of wastewater sewage, fecal matter stealing, stealing, leading to the deterioration of the natural environment, the pollution caused by the farming industry should not be underestimated. In order to protect the environment, the breeding industry environmental protection pressure has become greater, more stringent inspection, breeding environmental protection, green can be described as a natural choice.
Third: the shortage of land resources
With the rapid development of society, the availability of land resources is less and less, the land available to the farming industry can be utilized is less and less, and the farming industry sites are often affected by the climate, topography, water and land resources around the impact of factors such as, so suitable for the development of the farming industry land resources are increasingly tense, the land resources of farms The trend is that land resources for farms are becoming increasingly scarce.
Summary
With the rapid development of the social era, the next 5-10 years, the farming industry is also undergoing radical changes, as the farming industry, we must always pay attention to the development of social change, and keep up with the pace of social change, that the farming industry is still a good prospect; if it has always been in place, it is very difficult to develop.
Someone will have a jungle, someone will want to eat, and what we eat is either planted or farmed out, so planting, farming will develop with the development of people's lives.
What can be imagined is that, with the continuous improvement of science and technology, the domestic people's cultural level continues to improve, the farming industry is certainly a more specialized, intensive, information technology model later.
We can think about how to engage in farming before, not to say long, say twenty years ago. For example, pig farming, not to say that every family in the countryside to raise pigs, but basically also 2-3 families will have a family to raise pigs. The main reason is that rural conditions were not very good, and farmers had limited sources of income, so they were able to increase their income by adding various sideline businesses, and farming was one of the most important programs to increase sideline income.
At that time, the place to raise pigs was basically their own home inside the small pigsties, a family is basically to raise two pigs, and can be more than three even if it is raised more. So at that time are the form of retail pig farming exists, it is also these retailers to raise pigs, people also have to eat pigs. But nowadays, we look down, what is the situation of pig farming now? Are large enterprises in pig farming, the beginning of the Netease Ding Lei engaged in pig farming, and now I heard that Jingdong is also engaged in. And domestic large-scale pig enterprises such as Wen's, Shuanghui, which is not the use of science and technology in pig farming it.
Especially after last year's pig price very bottom of the bottom of the probe, a large number of small farming enterprises or retailers were eliminated out of the game, and these large-scale farming enterprises in the other people were eliminated, but also in a large number of expanding farms, increase the amount of stock.
So, the later farming is certainly to enterprise in the operation, intensive, automation will be more and more used in the farming industry.
Does it mean that there is no room for farmers to farm in the future?
The farmers in the future are definitely called new professional farmers, such as those who have transferred hundreds of acres of land to engage in planting, and those who have professional farming techniques to engage in farming. As long as there is a really good technology, there is still room to engage in farming, after all, the cake is very big, it is impossible to two or three enterprises to eat up. But higher and higher technical standards are certainly inevitable. So strengthening technical literacy is what should be emphasized. In addition, many of the rural areas have also set up cooperatives, embracing the warmth of the group, in the large group, many people will be transformed into a professional technical force, to become a technical staff.
How is the future of the farming industry in the next 5 10 years?Now the farming industry is to small scattered industry and large-scale farming coexist in the era, if which party hastily quit, will inevitably affect the price of poultry and livestock, which is naturally unfavorable to consumers. So to say, this kind of breeding small scattered and large-scale farming will continue for several years.
But things are always in flux, and so is the farming industry. Take last year's plague epidemic, who would have thought that because of the plague, which led to our country in the last year's pork shortfall amounted to 10 million tons or so; this year the price of hogs is also from the normal price of 7 8 yuan rose to the current 16 18 yuan.
So, although the future of the farming industry is promising, but the changes are endless, and as for the next 5 10 years or so of the farming industry prospects, I think it is still to the small scattered farming and large-scale farming coexist, but the scale of this farming is step by step to the expansion of the trend. As for the specific details, Li Zi here roughly estimated for your reference:
As Li Zi is a pig farmer, so here first said the current breeding status:
In terms of the current aquaculture industry, the rural free-range farmers are still occupying the mainstream position, and according to the official statistics
And Li Zi is the same, at the beginning of the Li Zi due to the single force, to two sows to start farming, for the typical rural backyard farmers. And after years of struggle, now Li Zi has a small-scale farm, now more than 80 100 sows in stock, the annual slaughter of pigs in more than 1,000 heads.
Although my farm is still half-scale development of breeding, and breeding equipment is relatively backward. But in the near future, in the next 5 10 years, I intend to re-expand the pig farm into an automated or intelligent pig farm. Because this kind of pig farm not only save labor, but also conducive to the management of pig farms, save more costs.
Therefore, Li Zi believes that, whether it is chicken or pig farming, or cattle and sheep industry, in the next few years to ai intelligent pig farming as the main way of farming, when there are more large-scale pig farms should rise.
Through the above, in the next 5 10 years, the prospect of the farming industry is still the main trend of large-scale, but it is more important not to ignore the development of rural backyard farmers. In addition, there are several reasons why the future trend of the aquaculture industry, I say:
First, the company + base + farmers as the main farming methods.
The development of survival in the capital market is nothing more than big fish eat small fish, small fish eat shrimp as the main mode of cooperation. And the farming industry is naturally so, due to some big farming company in the capital, technology, market occupy some absolute advantage, so they are on some of the rural scattered farmers is completely in the crushing advantage.
And some rural farmers due to insufficient analysis of the market, as well as insufficient funds, and insufficient technology and many other reasons, so that they are in the farming industry in the fast go fast, so that they bear the risk of farming is also very big.
Although there are now some companies and farmers in the development together, but due to the profit big head in the company side, the farmers can only earn very little farming fee, so now this cooperation mode is naturally not beneficial to the farmers. And with the next 5 10 years of farming industry grind, I believe that the scale of the company and farmers will find a suitable point of convergence between the two sides can only *** with the development, and this is the future of the real company plus + base + farmers in the direction of the development of a dragon.
Secondly, there will be more and more large-scale farms in the future, but the rural free-range farmers will still be able to maintain a one-third ratio.
Science and technology is the first productive force, and the farming industry is naturally the same. With the rapid development of 5g in China, many factories, stores and so on are all tending to be intelligent, so the farming industry will not be an exception.
So in the next 5 10 years, some ai technology is also more and more mature, a lot of farmers do in the office will be able to quickly and efficiently to raise pigs. For example, pig disease control, feed dosage, disinfection facilities, and so on, all within the computer, and in this intelligent pig farming, farms use fewer and fewer workers, the more efficient farming.
However, China's pig farming industry completely to the free-range farming needs a process. Because some farmers can not keep up with the pace of farming, only step by step to achieve, so that in 5 10 years, the farming industry completely to go backyard farming is not a reality. In the future or large-scale farming is dominant, and rural free-range farmers still have a place.
In summary:With the development of society, people continue to progress, some high-tech products continue to come out, so in the next 5 10 years, our rural life will be a huge change. Life is still so, and the future of the farming industry is the same, for example, cattle, pigs, chicken industry will enter an unprecedented era, that is, people say the era of big data, a variety of high-tech farming machinery and breeding concepts are also new, and by that time, some livestock diseases are also under some control. Therefore, in the next 5 10 years, the farming industry has a bright future, farmers and consumers can get a great benefit.
This is the first time in the history of the industry.