First I would choose Longgang District, you can refer to the investment ideas.

Investment mainly depends on the following points:

1. policy planning (general trend-oriented)

2. land inventory (the sustainability of real estate development)

3. population importation (determines the regional productivity as well as demand)

Investment is also divided into the investment cycle and the rate of return on investment:

Investment cycle: short-term look at the financial, the medium-term look at the inventory, the long-term look at population

Financial mainly policy short-term regulation, look at the market fundamentals, the current macro-restricted industrial structure, it is difficult to deliver a large increase in the urban areas, such as Nanshan Futian, not only does not appreciate, the opening of a new disk will be far lower than the second-hand situation, which is also known as the price of the inverted (regional price difference). That is to say that the city to buy is to earn, but the long-term price limit, the first buyers are in order to live in the quality of the purchase, in line with the concept of housing not speculation, the second to buy the probability of almost 10%, the opening daylight. The third threshold is too high, belonging to the top luxury housing.

Secondly, the economic growth of Nanshan and Futian is not as big as before, has reached a bottleneck, far less than the rapid development of Bao'an, Longgang, Pingshan and other areas, like Longhua District in just 2 years, the price of housing has skyrocketed, the Hongshan residential area (second-hand housing) has reached the price of 8-10w, has surpassed the price of second-hand housing in Luohu.

Finance is not to look at the currency circulation, more important is the transformation of industrial development and the construction of the area, Longgang District, the construction of the three subway lines, the investment of hundreds of billions of dollars in planning, the development of science and technology industrial parks and the construction of the CBD will be perfected within the district pattern, from the 2017 GDP output can be seen, Longgang among the three strongest in Guangdong, shoulder to shoulder with Nanshan, Tianhe, surpassing Futian to become a strong economic area.

Inventory is mainly determined by the land stock and land release, this is also very well understood, the amount of land available for development determines the area on the line, the release determines the speed of development.

Population is the core productivity of the region, and the region to build an international university city, planning 10 world-class universities and 2 Nobel Prize-winning research institutes, the formation of the role of talent diversion, science and technology parks provide a large number of talent training policies and entrepreneurial crowd support, increase the incubation of high-precision talents, the local university city of science and technology molecules will be more willing to stay in the long-term development of Longgang District. Because the future 400w_ super science and technology park is beyond the volume of science and technology parks. More importantly, Longgang belongs to the current value of the depressions, compared to the core area of Longhua 8-10w price, Baozhong 9-12w price, Grand Central City only 4w out of the head of the price per unit, obviously is not equal, and supporting has been no weaker than any region, with the construction of the Shenzhen-Hong Kong International Center will be completed in a new height of the development of Longgang, the landmark building will be the formation of the surrounding mega-CBD, the main high-wage people and the elite white-collar. Longgang's sustained low prices will attract more people to first consider home ownership areas, will form a large number of demand side of the overflow, from the supply and demand relationship, the rise is an inevitable trend, the regional price difference will gradually backfill.

Return on investment is mainly to see the proportion of the rise, we look at the urban and core area prices, almost maintained to 10-20w price, 10w for example, appreciation 2w per square only 20% return, Longgang District is currently in 4-6w or so, to 5w for example, appreciation 2w per square has 40% return. From the major first-tier cities as well as the Shenzhen market can be found in a big data, the government is doing is the suburbanization of the development of suburban prices will gradually close to the city prices to reduce the regional price difference. So that the advantages of Longgang District can be said to be unique, the current central area of Pingshan, Guanlan, Shajing and other lots have been sold to 4.5w-5w, surrounded by industrial parks, and Longgang Center City is still in the price of 4w-4.5w, and the supporting facilities are more complete, and there is no large number of peasant houses and other visual barriers, and then from the turnover data, Longgang District in April, the new houses sold more than 50% of the whole of Shenzhen, the turnover of 1087 sets, and the entire Longgang District in April total **** sold 1934 sets, Longgang accounted for 56.2%. Demand to stimulate rising, an objective view of the market, Longgang in the high-speed development cycle will be the most valuable investment area in Shenzhen.

To provide a siphon effect ideas, a strong district, want to rise prices, we must integrate production and urban integration. Longgang is the whole of Guangdong's top three strong areas, more than Futian, the future to create the Shenzhen Silicon Valley + International University City + Science and Technology Park + out of the center of the development of ideas, Silicon Valley and the University City of the new talent industry complementary to the cultivation of self-use, using the U.S. "first colleges and universities, and then Silicon Valley," the idea. Science and technology parks are better understood, Shanghai's Zhangjiang Hi-Tech, Beijing's Haidian, Guangzhou's Tianhe, Shenzhen's Nanshan, are technology-driven industries, driving high-end population, driving demand for real estate, increase demand, stimulate property growth and price overflow. Longgang is the most developed, perfect and fastest growing area in the whole suburb for industry. From the perspective of market demand in 18 years, Longgang gradually surpassed Bao'an in terms of property transactions. Longgang's growth rate and GDP growth rate proves the above 2 core views. Detachment from the centralization is a necessary path for the development of the world's first-tier cities, Shenzhen's real estate development is mainly divided into three steps, 1, imitation of Hong Kong, 2, centralization, 3, suburbanization, means that the price of the suburbs and the urban area will gradually reduce the city is now not rising in the urban area, the suburbs rose steadily. Including the price difference between farmers' housing and commercial housing are gradually reduced. Suburbanization should be in line with the integration of industry and city, and should not be subject to the siphoning effect of the urban area. That is to say, to provide jobs and industrial types and development of the ceiling how, if a region only commercial employment, must be the same as the downfall of Luohu, if a region is to do finance, it, artificial intelligence, big data, research and development, science and technology parks, such as the higher the proportion of higher industries, the higher the per capita GDP value will be, when a district's GDP value reaches a peak, is destined to bring a lot of housing prices rise! When a district's GDP reaches a peak, it is destined to bring a lot of house price increase. The core theory is based on the fact that high-end people have high incomes - the demand for regional real estate has increased dramatically - the supply is insufficient - a reasonable premium, that is to say, people feed the business, the business feeds the land, and the land feeds the house price.

Beijing is surrounded by the poorest places in Hebei, because all the talents are siphoned to Beijing to work, Shanghai perennially maintains the first GDP, mainly East China talent all flocked to Shanghai, so home ownership will consider Shanghai home ownership. In recent years, all the new Shanghainese have settled abroad to study and high-income people. Far more than the per capita output value of the neighboring regions, to ensure that the net inflow of 1 line of cities, improve the threshold of entry, laid the foundation for the development of strong areas. In the future, Beijing and Shanghai will be even more difficult to survive, the increase in rent, and the requirements for education and ability. Then they also first from a large number of inclusion of talent, to control the inflow of population, to the exclusion of inflow, to the situation of the tip of the pyramid people can only inflow. This is also the future development trend of Shenzhen