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Recently, the National Bureau of Statistics released statistics on changes in the sales prices of commercial housing in 70 large and medium-sized cities in March, and the sales prices of new commercial housing in 38 cities rose month-on-month. Among the four first-tier cities, the price of new houses in Shenzhen, Guangdong Province increased the most.

The Political Bureau of the Central Committee recently held a meeting to emphasize that houses are for living, not for speculation, so as to promote the stable and healthy development of the real estate market.

According to the big data analysis report released by the Housing Big Data Project Team of the Institute of Finance and Economics of China Academy of Social Sciences, the housing prices in Shenzhen have shown a structural increase, and there is no regional real estate fever. At the same time, housing prices and transactions in most cities in China have basically recovered after the epidemic, and housing prices have generally risen steadily.

Experts interviewed by the reporter of Legal Daily believe that China is still in the accelerated stage of urbanization and the demand for urban housing is still increasing. In this context, all localities must regulate the real estate market according to law, encourage market players to increase the supply of commercial housing, implement the responsibility of affordable housing supply, and promote the stable and healthy development of the real estate market.

Housing demand is large, and housing prices in Shenzhen lead the rise.

Recently, housing prices in Shenzhen are affecting the sensitive nerves of the citizens.

For example, the price of a house in Shenzhen was raised from 6.5438+0.28 million yuan to 6.5438+0.38 million yuan, and the price of another house was raised from 6.5438+0.5 million yuan to 6.5438+0.6 million yuan.

On April 22, Shenzhen Housing and Construction Bureau said that after preliminary investigation, the listing price of some owners was too high, which seriously deviated from the market.

However, housing prices in Shenzhen are indeed rising.

16 On April 6th, the National Bureau of Statistics released the statistical data of the changes in the sales price of commercial housing in 70 large and medium-sized cities in March.

The data shows that, according to preliminary calculations, among the 70 large and medium-sized cities in China in March, the number of new houses and second-hand houses increased by 38 and 32 respectively. According to the data of February this year, the number of cities with rising prices of new houses and second-hand houses is 2 1 and 14 respectively.

"In March, as the epidemic prevention and control situation in COVID-19 continued to improve, the production and living order was accelerated. Affected by the backlog of housing demand, the real estate market prices in 70 large and medium-sized cities rose slightly, but the overall situation was relatively stable. " Relevant persons from the National Bureau of Statistics explained.

Shenzhen is included in the list of cities with rising prices of new and second-hand houses. The sales price of new commercial housing rose by 0.5% month-on-month, ranking first among the four first-tier cities in Beijing, Guangzhou and Shenzhen. The price of second-hand houses rose month-on-month, with the increase of 1.6% in Shenzhen, ranking first in the country.

Shenzhen Housing and Construction Bureau explained that according to the data released by the National Bureau of Statistics, in the first quarter of this year, the price of new houses in Shenzhen rose by 1%, and the price of second-hand houses rose by 2.8%. Prices are generally stable, with a slight increase.

According to the data of a domestic real estate information service platform, among the administrative districts of Shenzhen 10, except Dapeng New District, the prices of second-hand houses in five of the other nine districts rose, while those in four districts fell.

On April 27th, national academy of economic strategy Housing Big Data Project Team released "China Housing Big Data Analysis Report". According to the report, the current rapid rise in housing prices in Shenzhen is a structural rise, with Baoan District, Futian District and Nanshan District in Shenzhen rising rapidly, while Luohu District in Shenzhen falling slightly, and there is no regional real estate fever.

Zou, head of the housing big data project team of the Institute of Finance and Economics of China Academy of Social Sciences, told the Legal Daily reporter that nationwide, the housing prices and transactions in most cities have basically recovered after being hit by the epidemic, while the housing prices in core cities have risen steadily, with a slight rebound, and the transaction volume has generally recovered without market recession.

Zhao Xiuchi, vice-president and secretary-general of Beijing Real Estate Law Society and professor of capital university of economics and business Institute of Urban and Public Administration, told the Legal Daily reporter that the rising housing prices in Shenzhen show that Shenzhen, as a first-tier city, a pioneer demonstration area in Socialism with Chinese characteristics and an important bridgehead in Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, does have a large number of housing needs.

"From a national perspective, China is in the stage of accelerating urbanization. Every year, a large number of people enter cities, and the demand for housing is still increasing. Housing supply does not fully meet people's needs. In addition, since the strict regulation in 20 17, house prices have been relatively low, and it is reasonable for house prices to rise to a certain extent. " Zhao Xiuchi said.

The implementation of "housing without speculation" cannot be "limited"

On April 17, a meeting was held in the Political Bureau of the Central Committee. The meeting stressed that it is necessary to adhere to the positioning that houses are used for living, not for speculation, and promote the stable and healthy development of the real estate market.

This is not the first time that the Politburo meeting mentioned that "housing is not speculation".

On July 3rd, 2065438, a meeting was held in the Political Bureau of the Central Committee. At that time, the wording was determined to solve the real estate market problem, adhere to the policy of the city, promote the balance between supply and demand, reasonably guide expectations, rectify the market order, and resolutely curb the rise in housing prices. Accelerate the establishment of a long-term mechanism to promote the stable and healthy development of the real estate market.

On April 20th19th, the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee Conference clearly stated: "We should adhere to the position that houses are used for living, not for speculation, and implement a long-term regulation mechanism of" one city, one policy, one policy for the city, and the main responsibility of the city government ".

More than three months later, the meeting of the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China reiterated that we should adhere to the position that houses are used for living, not for speculation, implement a long-term real estate management mechanism, and not regard real estate as a short-term means to stimulate the economy.

Lou Jianbo, director of the Real Estate Law Research Center of Peking University Law School, told the Legal Daily reporter that the signal conveyed by the central government's repeated emphasis on "housing and not speculating" is that this will be the goal of long-term regulation of China's real estate market to promote the stable and healthy development of the real estate market.

In Lou Jianbo's view, "a country and a society cannot develop by speculation. For example, buying a house is definitely unhealthy than starting a company to make money. Therefore, when regulating the real estate market, governments at all levels must adhere to the principle of "housing without speculation".

Lou Jianbo reminds us that "the house is not speculation" is our goal. However, in the process of moving towards this goal, due to the imbalance between supply and demand in the real estate market, the supply is far less than the demand, and there will inevitably be a stage of "housing and not speculating", which requires governments at all levels to rely on legal and policy means to regulate the real estate market.

On April 22nd, Shenzhen Housing and Construction Bureau said that Shenzhen will resolutely implement the decision and deployment of the CPC Central Committee in the State Council, insist on the positioning that houses are used for living, not for speculation, and strictly implement the "five limits" control measures of restricting purchases, prices, loans, sales and apartment types.

Lou Jianbo believes that in a certain period of time, it is necessary for all localities to adopt a "limited" policy, which will help to implement the goal of "housing and not speculating" according to law. However, in the case of long-term shortage of housing supply, the "limit" policy can only temporarily curb the rise in housing prices and cannot fundamentally solve the problem of rising housing prices.

"Therefore, we cannot rely on policies to regulate the real estate market, and even use' limit' as a conventional real estate regulation and control means to continuously increase prices. But to consider the relationship between supply and demand and increase market supply. " Lou Jianbo said that at the same time, for affordable housing, a simple price limit is not enough, or it should be closed.

To supply affordable housing, legislation needs to be followed up urgently.

On April 22nd, Shenzhen Housing and Construction Bureau issued the "Shenzhen Housing Development 2020 Implementation Plan", which will supply 63,000 sets of commercial housing and 40,000 sets of affordable housing this year.

However, according to the statistical bulletin of Shenzhen's national economic and social development in 20 19 issued by Shenzhen investigation team of National Bureau of Statistics, the permanent population of Shenzhen increased by 412,200 last year.

From 20 15 to 20 18, the permanent population of Shenzhen increased by 600,000, 529,700, 550,800 and 498,300 respectively.

The increase of resident population in Shenzhen is only a microcosm of urbanization in China.

In Zhao Xiuchi's view, China is still in the stage of accelerating urbanization. The urbanization rate in 20 19 is 60.6%. According to conservative estimates, about120,000 people enter cities every year, so the demand for urban housing is still increasing. On the one hand, it is necessary to solve the housing problem of new urban residents, on the other hand, there are still many gaps in the housing demand of the original urban population.

Zhao Xiuchi's judgment is that in order to meet the residents' growing desire for housing, with the continuous increase of urban population, the housing supply must continue to increase. This trend will not change until the goal of urbanization is completed.

Zhao Xiuchi believes that under the guidance of "housing without speculation", the competent departments and localities should not only strictly control real estate speculation through system design, but also vigorously develop the rental market, establish a housing system with both rent and purchase, empower tenants, increase support for individual landlords and leasing agents through tax reduction and exemption, increase the supply of rental housing, reduce the pressure on housing market to buy houses, and further promote the stable and healthy development of real estate.

Zou's suggestion in the "China Housing Big Data Analysis Report" is to further improve the speculative control measures for housing investment in first-tier cities and their surrounding satellite cities, and increase the restrictions on sales and the social security payment conditions for newly naturalized buyers according to local conditions; Accelerate the exploration of orderly circulation of non-operating collective construction land such as homestead, and reduce the housing price bubble while increasing housing supply.

Lou Jianbo believes that the regulation of the real estate market is mainly to promote the balance between supply and demand, especially on the track of the rule of law. On the one hand, increase the supply of commercial housing; On the other hand, local governments are urged to increase the supply of affordable housing, especially rental affordable housing.

"Legislation needs to keep up with the government's responsibility in increasing affordable housing." Lou Jianbo said.

"Legal Daily" reporter noted that in the the State Council 20 19 legislative work plan, urban housing security regulations and housing lease regulations should be formulated to improve the security and people's livelihood. ?

(Original title: "Regulating the property market according to law, insisting on" housing and not speculating ")