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What is the current market outlook for IT.
Today's world, information technology is changing rapidly, is strongly promoting the development of social productivity. First, the high-speed development of microelectronics technology, resulting in the chip's computing power and performance-price ratio continues to grow by the law of geometric progression, thus creating conditions for large-scale, multi-disciplinary digital information processing and handling, transmission and communication; Second, the high-speed development of software technology, so that the chip and the computer hardware has a smart, thus exponentially expanding the function and application of computer technology; Third, in microelectronics, Software and laser three major technologies, communications technology to speed up the analog to digital, from low to high speed, from a single language media to multimedia transformation; Fourth, the computer, communications and media technology interpenetration and integration, is the development of communications and information technology to a new stage.

The new-generation public information network characterized by IT technology will develop rapidly in continuous evolution and become a unified platform for the next-generation information service network. Based on the network on the e-commerce, distance education, remote diagnosis and treatment, e-government, mobile office and home office and other computer Internet new applications continue to emerge and get vigorously developed. Information technology is becoming more and more widely penetrated into all fields of social production and life? Will make the IT industry in the tide of the digital revolution, at a higher rate of forward development.

I, China's IT industry development status quo

China's IT industry mainly includes the manufacture of electronic information products, software development, information technology services, such as the promotion and application. After the reform and opening up and rapid development, China's information industry has formed a more complete industrial production system. The scale of the total output value of the national electronic industry has ranked the fourth in the world, and the main electronic products have formed a large-scale production, among which the production scale of transceivers, telephones, color TVs, color tubes, audio equipments, VCDs and some basic components has ranked the first in the world.

In 1999, the national electronic information products manufacturing industry to achieve sales income of 430 billion yuan, an increase of 27.7%; to achieve profits and taxes of 33 billion yuan, an increase of 39%; the total export amounted to 39 billion U.S. dollars, an increase of 45%; exports accounted for the proportion of the total national trade and exports has reached 20%, and has become China's export trade, the pillar industry. The production of major electronic information products also showed a high-speed growth momentum, of which 39.89 million lines of program-controlled switches, an increase of 15%; 23.4 million cell phones, an increase of 102%; 3.97 million microcomputers, 35.28 million color TVs, 52 million color tubes, VCD machines 10.21 million units, 2.3 billion integrated circuits.

China's electronic information products manufacturing industry in the past decade has been maintaining a high rate of development, including computers and communications and other key products, the average annual growth rate of 45-60% or so, in 1999, China's computer market size of about 150 billion yuan, an increase of more than 20 times than a decade ago. Software products and communications products market growth is even greater, strong demand.

China's telecommunications industry, which is closely related to the IT industry, has also enjoyed rapid development. From 1989 to 1999, the total volume of business grew 35 times, an average annual growth rate of 43%, more than four times the GDP growth rate for the same period. During the same period, the total assets of public telecommunication networks grew about 35 times, at an annual rate of 43 percent.

China has preliminarily built a fiber-optic transmission backbone of 8 vertical and 8 horizontal cables and most of the local fiber-optic cable networks. The communication network has completed the transformation from manual to automatic, from analog to digital, and from single service to diversified services. The technical level of the entire communication network has been significantly improved. The size of the public telephone network has expanded 15-fold, and the telephone penetration rate has increased from 1 percent to 13 percent in a decade.

In 1999? China's telecommunications industry underwent major reforms and reorganization, and the communications industry continued to maintain the momentum of high-speed growth, with the total volume of business growing by 33-34%, and the volume of major business growth and the number of subscribers growing set new records in history. The number of new telephone exchanges for local offices increased by 23 million to 170 million; the number of new main-line fixed-line telephone subscribers increased by 21 million, bringing the total number of subscribers to 110 million; and the number of new mobile telephone subscribers increased by 18 million, bringing the total number of subscribers to 43 million, which far exceeded the original planning projections. Mobile telephones have covered densely populated areas of the country, the penetration rate of cellular phones has reached more than 3%, and data communication and information services have also developed rapidly. Six million new Internet users have been added, bringing the total number of users to 8.9 million.

The development of the telecommunication industry not only drove the rapid development of China's IT industry, but also provided communication security for the country's economic growth, opening up to the outside world and the improvement of people's living standards, and at the same time laid a certain foundation for the promotion of the national economy and the informatization of social services.

Two, China's IT industry development outlook

Looking at the development of the world economy, the process of economic globalization has accelerated significantly, information technology has become the urgent need for globalization and the necessary guarantee. World-wide industrial restructuring and information technology progress will have a profound impact on the development of China's information industry.

As we all know, information industry is the leading industry of national economy, and is the catalyst and multiplier of economic growth. According to the "Three-determination Plan" approved by the State Council, the main task of the Ministry of Information Industry is to revitalize the electronic information products manufacturing industry, software industry and communication operation industry through active and effective macro-management, and to provide advanced information technology, equipments and network services for various departments and industries, so as to promote the development of national economy and social services. The purpose of informatization.

In order to accelerate the development of China's IT industry? We will increase efforts in the following areas:

1, revitalize the information products manufacturing

Information products manufacturing industry is the main technical and material basis for the construction of information technology. The state listed information products as a new growth point of the national economy, to speed up industrial restructuring, promote technological progress, drive China's economic growth has an extremely important role. China's information products market prospects are very broad, is expected to reach 6 trillion yuan by 2010.

China will further increase the industrial restructuring and integration of enterprises, on the basis of the existing enterprise groups, to cultivate a number of national-level development and production bases, to support large-scale enterprise groups with international competitive strength, in order to form a large companies as the main body, driven by small and medium-sized enterprises **** with the pattern of development. Through the reorganization and integration of enterprises, the development and innovation of enterprises will be increased, and an efficient innovation mechanism will be formed. In the fields of chip design and manufacturing, network and communications, software and information appliances, a number of high-tech enterprises with independent intellectual property rights and competitive advantages will be created. For key products such as personal computers, mobile communications, fiber-optic communications, network equipment, network tools, high-definition TVs, DVDs, and information appliances, which have very obvious development prospects, they will be treated as key development products and formed into large-scale production.

2, vigorously develop the software industry

The most crucial factor in the development of software industry is human knowledge and intelligence, and China has a great potential advantage in software talents. China will take the software industry as a national strategic industry, and is studying and formulating the long-term development strategy and development ideas for the 21st century, and determining the development priorities in the near future. We will combine the relevant national policies and measures to support the development of the software industry, seize the key of talents, formulate incentive and distribution policies to give special preferential treatment to software talents, establish a mechanism to attract and stabilize outstanding software talents, and give full play to the creativity and enthusiasm of software talents. In accordance with the law of market economy, the implementation of the social aspects of the diversified *** with the investment mode, increase the investment in the software industry. From the experience of developed countries, in order to make a real difference in the software industry, relying solely on policy support and guidance is not enough, but also must at the same time with the power of the market, the development of China's venture capital industry, creating a group of capital, technology, talent organization of venture capitalists, really drive the rapid development of China's software industry. At the same time to encourage large enterprise groups, universities and research institutes to invest in the software industry, in order to fully mobilize all aspects of power **** with the development of China's software industry.

3, accelerate the construction of information infrastructure

To accelerate the development of China's information technology, first of all, to accelerate the development and construction of information infrastructure. Information infrastructure is also the driving force behind the rapid development of the IT industry. At present, we are in conjunction with the "Tenth Five-Year" plan, considering China's information infrastructure development strategy and planning. We will expand and improve the existing basic transmission network mainly based on fiber optic cables and promote the basic telecommunications universal service, while vigorously developing and utilizing the latest contemporary communication and information technology achievements, accelerating the construction of a nationwide coverage of large-capacity, highly flexible, safe and reliable new-generation public **** information network, and constructing a national information infrastructure for the 21st century. The construction of information infrastructure must be carried out under the overall planning and guidance of the government, with the broad participation of all social sectors, including scientific research, education, industry, and the communications operation industry, and on the basis of division of labor and fair competition, with a reasonable allocation of resources and avoidance of duplicated construction. It is necessary to build a large-capacity, highly flexible, safe and reliable basic transmission network and an affordable broadband access network, and also to rationally develop special networks and local area networks (LANs) compatible with them, so as to ultimately form a modernized network layout adapted to the requirements of informatization.

4, the use of competitive mechanisms, the prosperity of telecommunications and information services market

Currently, the world's telecommunication network technology is in a period of major changes, due to the rapid development of the Internet, the content and mode of information transmission has far exceeded the traditional voice communications. Rich and colorful data transmission and information services, on the one hand, is affecting and changing people's work, learning and lifestyle. On the other hand, it also brings a great opportunity for us to vigorously develop IT industry and information service industry. Firstly, the public telephone network will still have great development. Due to the emergence of the Internet, in the next ten years? China's telephone network will more than double in size, and the number of users will reach 200-300 million, with an average of about 20 million new users each year. Secondly, wireless mobile communications will also see major growth. The number of subscribers will exceed 200 million within 10 years, implying a penetration rate of about 15%. Mobile communication technology will develop in the direction of using wireless technology to provide Internet services, and the functions of the network and information servers will be played out more on the Internet and maintained and managed by specialized personnel. Third, the Internet and related services will develop very quickly. It is only a matter of time before data traffic exceeds voice traffic. A new generation of broadband high-speed public **** information network based on IP technology will mature in continuous evolution, and e-commerce, distance education and various other network-based digital existence, digital economy and digital social activity methods will be widely promoted and applied on this network. Fourth, driven by technological progress, electronic information products manufacturing, software industry will continue to grow at a rate significantly higher than GDP growth. The average growth rate should be more than 25%, this trend will be maintained for about 10 years, the status of information industry as the leading industry of the national economy is becoming more and more obvious.

China will grasp this favorable opportunity, on the basis of reform, adjustment, rationalization and improvement, to establish a fair, just and open market competition mechanism, give full play to the market-oriented and driving role, and encourage all aspects of the community to participate in a wide range of forces, and to promote China's telecom industry, especially the rapid development of the information services industry under the conditions of the market norms, as a means of further stimulating the development of the IT industry.

5, grasp the development and utilization of information resources

In accelerating the construction of information infrastructure at the same time, we will attach great importance to the development and utilization of information resources, focusing on government information, public **** information, market information, industrial information, business information and other key areas of information resources development and utilization. In the near future, the main focus will be on the development and utilization of information resources for information services and e-commerce, and on the Internet. The development and utilization of information resources should likewise introduce a competitive mechanism. We will formulate a series of supporting policies and measures to encourage the vigorous development and extensive use of all kinds of information resources and the provision of information services in all fields and at all levels. At the same time, we will strengthen the construction of market norms, technical standards, credit and security, law enforcement and supervision, and gradually establish a scientific and reasonable management system and market mechanism to promote resource ****sharing, so that information resources can better serve economic construction and social development.

6, strengthen the promotion and application of information technology

In the future, we will further increase the depth and breadth of the application of information technology in all walks of life. Strongly support finance, taxation, customs, scientific research, education, culture and health and other types of public **** departments and government agencies, and actively utilize electronic information technology and communication networks, the establishment and improvement of professional applications for efficient and reliable operation and management and social services information system; encourage enterprises, especially large and medium-sized enterprises, to promote the application of electronic information technology as a way to improve business management, accelerate technological innovation and energy saving, material saving, improve product quality and value-added, thereby improving the quality and efficiency of economic growth and promoting the adjustment and upgrading of China's economic structure.

China's IT industry is booming? is in the ascendant.

We will continue to adhere to the policy of reform and opening up, under the principle of mutual benefit, continue to strengthen economic and technological cooperation with other countries in the world, *** with the development of China's information technology and information industry, and promote the cause of national informatization and modernization.