However, in recent months, the property market continues to heat up, and housing prices in hot cities continue to rise, which makes many people wonder: Is there any way to curb housing prices in hot cities?
The heat of the property market is transmitted to second-and third-tier cities.
"Hefei is 35 years old" has become a hot topic recently. Some netizens expressed confusion about the policy that the qualification of new houses in Hefei, Anhui Province "just needs to be under 35 years old". Hefei Housing Security and Real Estate Administration subsequently responded that the new policy of Hefei real estate regulation does not rule out the purchase qualification of buyers over 35 years old. For buyers over the age of 35 who are qualified to purchase houses, they can participate in the purchase of houses by ordinary buyers.
This actually stems from the new property market policy issued by Hefei on April 6, involving eight aspects: degree system, second-hand housing purchase restriction in hot spots, and "lottery purchase restriction" in hot spots. Its core purpose is to suppress the rise in housing prices in Hefei. Because the house price in the second-tier city of Hefei has gone up by 10 months.
"Since the beginning of this year, first-tier cities have stepped up regulation and control, and the property market has shown signs of transition from first-tier cities to hot second-tier cities." Chen Xiao, an analyst at Zhuge Housing Search Data Research Center, said.
"Housing prices in big cities are unattainable. It is better to turn to second-tier cities to find a' Bashi' life. " Hefei is one of the representatives of housing prices in second-and third-tier cities.
According to the China Housing Big Data Analysis Report (20021First Quarter), in March of 20021year, the comprehensive housing price in second-tier cities increased by 2.5% month-on-month, which was 1.6 percentage points higher than that in February, leading cities of all energy levels. Among them, second-tier cities such as Ningbo, Dongguan, Hangzhou, Xi and Dalian led the gains.
Jaco, dean of the branch of 58 Anjuke Real Estate Research Institute, said that it is difficult for second-tier cities to cool down and more policy intervention is needed. It is expected that the tightening of hot city policies will be further strengthened in the second quarter.
The pressure of rising house prices has increased, and the intensity of regulation has continued to increase.
In the past four months, the super-strong policy pressure began in first-tier cities and has covered key second-tier cities.
According to the agency's rough statistics, up to now, from the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, China Banking Regulatory Commission to key cities, real estate control measures such as purchase restriction, price restriction, sales restriction (value-added tax) and loan restriction have exceeded 150 times during the year. The core of local policies is to strictly investigate the inflow of illegal funds such as operating loans, talent settlement, land supply and intermediary organization rectification.
At the same time, the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development has interviewed, supervised and investigated the property market regulation in Guangzhou, Hefei, Ningbo, Dongguan, Nantong, Chengdu, Xi, Shenzhen, Shanghai, Beijing, Hangzhou, Wuxi, Nanchang and other 13 cities this year, which is rare compared with previous property market regulation.
It is found that these cities are basically in the forefront of the national housing price increase. For example, in March, the price increase of second-hand houses in Beijing and Guangzhou led the country again, with a month-on-month increase of1.4%; Followed by Xuzhou, Hangzhou and Shanghai, which increased by 1.3%, 1.2% and 1.65 and 438+0% respectively; The price increase of new houses in Fuzhou and Guangzhou ranks first in the country.
At the same time, the interview scope of the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development has been "enlarged" and "refined", from the first line to the second or even third-and fourth-tier cities. Under the pressure of heavy supervision, the regulation of the property market in various places has been accurate to the district, such as Guangzhou, Shanghai, Nantong and other cities put forward "zoning regulation" and "one district, one policy"
In addition to strengthening the monitoring of local housing prices, organized real estate speculators are also being severely cracked down. The recent concern is that "deep housing management has been investigated". Yan Yuejin, research director of the think tank center of Yiju Research Institute, said that the "deep house survey" is self-evident, which is a shock to all kinds of housing investment groups and real estate speculators.
Is there a good way to curb the rise in house prices?
"In the short term, it is more important to strictly observe the discipline of buying houses and standardize the order of market transactions; In the medium and long term, it is necessary to actively supply land, especially in big cities, and continue to exert its strength in the total land supply and structure. " Yan Yuejin said.
In the past decade or so, with the prosperity of real estate, all the income from land sales belongs to local governments, which has become the main source of fiscal revenue in many cities, and some cities have experienced serious "land dependence".
According to the big data of Gulonghui Gougu, among the 44 major cities, there are 20 cities with "high financial dependence on land" higher than 100% in 2020, and there are 19 major cities with financial dependence on land between 50%- 100%.
"In the past few decades, these rapidly expanding' land policies' have helped the government accumulate original capital at an unprecedented speed. At the same time, these land sales revenues have supported the infrastructure construction of hundreds of cities in China and effectively promoted the economic development, urbanization and industrialization of China. " Liu Shouying, dean of the School of Economics of Renmin University of China and a member of the Expert Committee of the 14th Five-Year Plan, thinks.
"However, with the decline of urbanization speed and the accumulation of many potential problems in the" land development "model, the function of land as an engine of economic growth will not continue, and the new round of land management system should conform to the transformation of China's economic development stage." Liu Shouying said in an interview with the media.
The carding shows that since 20021,many places have implemented the "dual centralized" land supply system, 22 cities have formulated corresponding land control policies according to their actual conditions, and some local governments have implemented land price limits to prevent the price increase of "ground flour" from driving the price increase of "house bread".
The Beijing Municipal Commission of Housing and Urban-Rural Development disclosed that it will build a mechanism of "real estate linkage, one place and one policy" to guide housing prices to land transfer.
"It is expected that under the influence of the financial policy and the' double concentration' policy, local regulation and control will continue to tighten, and the overall house price will remain stable in the second quarter, especially the decline in price increases will be more common." Jaco said.
In the eyes of some industry analysts, April may become an important node for the rise and fall of the property market.
"There is no room for relaxation in real estate regulation. At present, the tone of national real estate regulation and control is clear, and the requirements for local governments are also clear, that is,' setting off the main responsibility of real estate regulation and control cities'. " Yan Yuejin believes that only by finding signs of recovery in the real estate market in time and introducing regulatory policies in time can we consolidate the existing regulatory achievements and promote the subsequent stable development of the market.
(The original title is "Housing prices continue to rise, is there any good way to curb it? 》)