Stimulated by the rapid withdrawal of funds brought about by the hot market in 2009 and the large amount of capital impulse brought about by the excessive currency circulation, a large number of land purchases and accelerated development of projects appeared in Qinzhou property market from the end of 2009 to the first half of 20 10. In the first quarter of 20 10, the investment in real estate development in Qinzhou was 648 million yuan, up by 108.2%, up by 94.9 percentage points year-on-year. In the first quarter, the construction area of commercial housing in Qinzhou was 3,293,200 square meters, a year-on-year increase of 76.3%, and the growth rate increased by 65.7 percentage points. Among them, the newly started area this year is 953,600 square meters, a year-on-year increase of four times. In the first quarter, nine new buildings were started (Huaxin Real Estate Plaza, Xinlong Zhuyuan, Urban Classic, Shi Sheng Mingmen, Olin Famous City, Jinwan Pedestrian Street, Huangwutun Wangfu Commercial and Residential Quarter, Xianghe Du Jing and Jiatai Garden), with an investment of 654.38+72 million yuan. The construction speed of continued buildings was accelerated, and the real estate investment in Qinzhou showed an unprecedented growth rate. The acceleration of investment in the real estate market will definitely form an effective market supply in the second half of 20 1 1.
The impact of the New Deal was immediate.
The transformation of the whole market began after the Spring Festival. First of all, this is a publicity campaign. In addition, spring is the traditional off-season for sales. After entering the two sessions, the market began to pay close attention to the trend of policy changes, and consumers began to wait and see with money. The introduction of the new policy has opened the top priority of the property market regulation.
In the past, Fangchenggang in Qinzhou Beihai was often regarded as a typical third-tier city. In fact, in the past, the response of Qinzhou property market to the changing trend of macro situation obviously lagged behind that of first-and second-tier cities. However, after the market development in 2007-2009, especially after a large number of foreign investors settled in Qinzhou in 2008-2009, the response of Qinzhou property market to the macro market was basically synchronized with that of Nanning market, and its sensitivity to policy response was greatly highlighted, which was closely related to the speculation and development of Beibu Gulf economic circle.
In the first quarter, the cumulative sales of commercial housing in Qinzhou City was1410.2 million square meters, up by 5.6% and down by10.02.9 percentage points year-on-year, of which the residential sales area was10.28 million square meters, up by 2.5% and down by1. The price of commercial housing soared, and the average sales price of residential commercial housing was 3629 yuan/square meter, up 44.8% year-on-year, with an increase of 57.7 percentage points. Similar to the macro overall market performance, Qinzhou's performance in the first quarter is still "falling in volume and price", which is an obvious market turning point. However, during the May Day period, the Qinzhou property market showed the characteristics of "falling in volume and price". The opening volume of the project decreased and the market price remained stable. The opening of the project lacks sufficient "price increase" support, but there is no obvious price drop at present. It is estimated that the price of Qinzhou property market will continue to hover around the 4000 yuan/m 2 mark for some time. With the deepening of the regulation and control of the property market, it is not ruled out that there is a new strategy of entering the market at a low price, which has triggered a "decline" in the overall price of the property market, which is also a normal phenomenon in the current round of macro-control of the property market.
Binhai New City has become a new starting point for the property market.
The development of Qinzhou property market has completed the first round of "regional internal market demand release" and is turning to the second stage of external consumption support. With the development of Qinzhou Binhai New City and the rumored "boss" developer in the industry, Qinzhou property market has the opportunity to win the favor of more consumers outside Qinzhou and increase the rigid demand in the next round of market, and Binhai New City is expected to become a new pole in the development of Qinzhou property market.
Beihai: the property market is calm under the New Deal.
Beihai real estate market is a consumer real estate market, 90% of which is bought by foreigners, and the sales rate reaches 100%, but the average annual occupancy rate is less than 40%.
Beihai real estate market is very sensitive to changes in national policies and economic environment. It often sneezes in first-tier developed cities and catches a cold in Beihai. Recently, the New Deal has been introduced, which is especially serious for speculative housing purchase and foreigners' housing purchase. What will happen to the property market in Beihai? Will it be like the financial tsunami in 2008, when foreign customers scattered overnight, and the Beihai property market entered a long recession?
With questions, the author visited and found that the situation was special. The Beihai property market under the New Deal is unusually calm.
● Business as usual
Recently, the author visited Tianning New Town, Champagne County, Jiuzhou Jiayuan, Rongxinyuan, Yipin Bay, Waterfront Xiangdi and other projects, and found that the sales department visited and the transaction volume was as usual. Individual customers will ask about the new policy, but basically 3 or 4 of 10 will mention it, which is not sensitive to raising the down payment and interest rate.
During my visit, I met Mr. Chen, a native of Gansu, who owns 65,438+00 houses in Beihai. He thought that house prices may be affected by the New Deal, and the rate of increase will slow down, but it will never be reduced. He is optimistic about the market prospect.
● The developers are calm on the surface and busy behind them.
After the implementation of the "Four Articles of New China", developers seem very calm. There is no extra discount for booking and opening, and the price is not less than one point. However, it is extremely busy behind the scenes. According to a developer, the bank will raise the down payment overnight, and 60% of the more than 600 customers they have previously sold have to go through the formalities of bank mortgage. In order to pocket the loan as soon as possible, the whole company is working overtime to urge foreign customers to go through the formalities, and even subsidizes round-trip air tickets and accommodation for free.
May Beihai property market forecast: No smoke without fire.
Although the New Deal has dealt a heavy blow to the property market, the author believes that there is not a big bubble in the Beihai market at present, and the property market will continue to develop steadily in the next May.
● The Free Trade Zone was launched with unlimited charm.
201June 10 was officially launched, marking the beginning of a zero-tariff era in an international region composed of China and 10 ASEAN countries with a gross national product of nearly 6 trillion US dollars and a trade volume of 4.5 trillion US dollars. It is expected that a large number of mainland enterprises will flock in the future. Talent, capital, logistics and information flow to Beibu Gulf; As an important town in the Beibu Gulf Economic Zone, Beihai has a unique livable environment, attracting more investors to buy homes.
● The housing price bubble is less, and it is still the first choice for livability.
Beihai and Hainan Island have always been the first choice for northern home buyers to buy houses for the winter because of their unique natural environmental resources and climatic conditions. However, in the past six months, the housing prices in Hainan Island have been speculated by investors. The price of Sanya sea view room is 30,000-50,000 yuan/m 2, which requires a one-time payment. The house price in Beihai is generally 4500-5000 yuan/m 2. Compared with the two, Beihai's housing price is more close to the people, and it is expected that it will remain the first choice for northern buyers in the future.
Prudent bank loans and a stable property market.
Maybe it's the pain of unfinished buildings in the 1990 s Bank loans in Beihai are notoriously harsh. In order to prove that foreign customers have never borrowed money and have repayment ability, they need to prepare more than a dozen materials, which are thicker than two dictionaries. It is precisely because of the strict bank loan system that there are few bubbles in Beihai property market at present.
The author believes that the above three factors will make the future of Beihai property market more stable and calm.