Affected by the global crude oil market, domestic refined oil prices also fell to historical lows. According to common sense, the more fuel vehicles there are at this time, the more popular they should be. But the market economy is so interesting. According to the data given by an authoritative website in China, the new energy vehicle market is hot at this stage. What the hell is going on here?
The market is accelerating its recovery.
According to the data given by the website, the purchase intention of new energy vehicles increased 10.4% in April. Although the growth rate has narrowed, it is still exaggerated for the overall passenger car market.
Divided by cities, the top five places in demand are Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Guangzhou and Tianjin. In other words, the growth of the new energy vehicle market is still firmly tied to the policy of restricting licenses, and there are still a few consumers who really like new energy vehicles themselves.
It seems that it will take time for new energy vehicles to open the market with their own charm.
In this case, we can also analyze the growth logic behind it. What is certain is that the changes in the subsidy policy for new energy vehicles in 2020 will accelerate the pace of car purchase for some consumers who originally held money on the sidelines. According to the original plan, the new energy subsidy will be reduced by 10% compared with 20 19 this year. Although some car companies choose to reduce prices to bear this part of the cost, it is not a long-term solution. At present, it seems that the sooner you start, the more cost-effective.
The subsidy threshold of 300,000 yuan allowed the Model 3 to adjust the product price, which indirectly stimulated the short-term turnover of the new energy vehicle market. But then again, it is this policy that has intensified the wait-and-see mood of some people. Some consumers think that the long-lived version of Model 3 may also adjust its price in the future, forcing Tesla to speak out and "insure the price" for the long-lived version, telling you that the long-lived version will not adjust its price. But referring to Tesla's series of operations in China, Tesla's voice did not win the trust of consumers.
Poor economy.
Let's go back to the problem of oil price and market demand for new energy vehicles. The downward adjustment of oil price is definitely beneficial to the fuel vehicle market, but the demand for new energy vehicles has nothing to do with electricity consumption and oil consumption, and it is related to the number limit and the limit policy. Therefore, even if the oil price is discounted on the current basis, it will not change the current situation that first-tier cities just need to travel. As for the fuel car market, will it pick up quickly because of the drop in oil prices? I wouldn't get my hopes up either.
The problem of oil price cannot be judged by the attribute price of conventional commodities. Ordinary people's travel oil will not have much impact on the market. What really affects oil prices is the over-exploitation of global energy, as well as the shale oil game between Saudi Arabia, Russia and the United States. This is not the point. That is to say, because of the change of economic environment, the consumption of industrial oil has decreased, and the relationship between supply and demand has changed. Have you noticed that the global oil storage facilities are full, but no one is using them ... the price will naturally come down.
Then, in the automobile industry, affected by the epidemic, the automobile market is bound to usher in a wave of spring in the next two months, mainly because public transport cannot gain consumers' trust in healthy travel in a short time. Moreover, affected by the epidemic, the income of all walks of life will be affected. Many friends around the editor have started to tighten their belts, but there is still short-term good news in the insurance industry. Off topic again. ...
With money, everyone has money, and fuel prices are also emboldened. When there is no money, everyone often has no money. Even if the fuel price is reduced, it is difficult to bring favorable space to the automobile market. Car owners will also control their desire to go out for consumption, and the snowball effect is hard to avoid.
Written at the end: Many people are also concerned about buying a car this year. If you have good anti-risk ability (less debt and more cash), May-July this year is a good time to buy a car, whether it is a fuel car or a new energy source, there will be considerable preferential measures. It is not recommended to borrow money to buy a car. Interest rates may fluctuate in the past two years, and it is difficult for you to have a good return on the money you have temporarily.
This article comes from car home, the author of the car manufacturer, and does not represent car home's position.